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Will Art Berman's Prediction of 600K/BBLS/DAY Decline In Tight Oil Be Right?

The art Berman article referenced:
Tight Oil Production Will Fall 600,000 Barrels Per Day By June | Art Berman

Within 10% of predicted value - solid yes
Within 20% of predicted value - squishy yes
Otherwise, a miss

Based on the four large formations Berman names in the beginning of the article: the Bakken, D-J Niobrara, Eagle Ford and Permian basin.

(Lag from bets closing to making the call is due to delay in reported production data)

Yes
25% (2 bets)
No
75% (6 bets)
Total bets: 8
This prediction will close for betting Monday, June 1, 2015 - 2:24pm.
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