China: Buiter and Krugman Views

What will be the lowest intraday value for the S&P 500 as it "retests the August lows"? (choose correct range)

The S&P 500 is starting a retest of the August lows. Should the August lows hold, the bull market might resume. Should they fail, the current market correction will deepen and might lead to a true bear market.

This prediction is not about whether or not the bull market holds up, merely about how low the S&P 500 may fall (intraday) between today and the Reckoning Date.

1929 (today's low so far)
11% (1 bet)
33% (3 bets)
11% (1 bet)
22% (2 bets)
1867 (the August low) to 1880 (the August Low holds)
11% (1 bet)
1850-1867 (kinda-sorta-mostly-hold, but slightly lower)
0% (0 bets)
< 8150 (lower lows...)
11% (1 bet)
Total bets: 9
This prediction is now closed for betting. It will be eligible for reckoning Sunday, November 1, 2015 - 12:30pm by Wisdom Seeker.
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