I would trust anyone here with my life, because they are all good people - they say so themselves. Snark

Uh, oh. CR's feeling up another housing bottom. Red flag in front of da bears.

CR wrote:

Lawler didn't mention it, but conventional sales were up about 19% compared to June 2011. So the decline in overall sales is actually a positive!

Rose Colored Glasses

robj wrote:

Uh, oh. CR's feeling another housing bottom. Red flag in front of da bears.

....uh...you know he's never been wrong, right?

You can trust me with all your money, but not your pen.

Yep, I'm a pen-stealer, or pen walker-away with.

I have a friend that I'd trust with my life, or all my money, but not my husband.

Seriously.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

ciao.

Shocker.

Cinco-X wrote:

....uh...you know he's never been wrong, right?

I read it somewhere on the intertube.

lawyerliz wrote:

I have a friend that I'd trust with my life, or all my money, but not my husband.

she's a cannibal?

lawyerliz wrote:

I have a friend that I'd trust with my life, or all my money, but not my husband.

the Nazi feels the same way about me, she thinks I'm such a ladies man, unresistable to any desperate middle aged female

my wife doesn't worry at all about me

Sad

later

She adores you and fears that all other wemmin are just waiting to snare you!!

Or, you are rich.

Ms. Griffith, 23, wouldn’t seem a perfect financial fit for a college that costs nearly $50,000 a year. Her father, a paramedic, and mother, a preschool teacher, have modest incomes, and she has four sisters. But when she visited Ohio Northern, she was won over by faculty and admissions staff members who urge students to pursue their dreams rather than obsess on the sticker price.

“As an 18-year-old, it sounded like a good fit to me, and the school really sold it,” said Ms. Griffith, a marketing major. “I knew a private school would cost a lot of money. But when I graduate, I’m going to owe like $900 a month. No one told me that.”

DEGREES OF DEBT; A Generation Hobbled by College Debt - NY Times

...Gotta go, but this is from the previous post...the one other thing that isn't said is that this moron has killed the chances of college for her younger sibs...(yes, Parents are even more moronic)..

...I only hope this is an isolated story...what passes for financial insight in the American home anymore??

Somehow, Az wise, are we sure that they have sent out the proper notices to everyone who deserves one.

Maybe that girl with the $120k student loan debt can trade her diploma for a house; after all the sheepskin cost $120k. Snark

You think it's isolated hunh?

Maybe she should sue them for financial malpractice.

I'm starting a small canal house barge company in Phoenix to capitalize on the strong housing market. I start taking orders tomorrow if you want to wait in line. Hurry, there already are 50 people in line. There is also a taco truck in the parking lot if you get hungry. I recommend the carne asada.

lawyerliz wrote:

Or, you are rich.

the appearance of wealth is better than actually being wealthy

Euro crisis deeper than 2008, summit good step: ECB Praet
| Reuters

"The euro zone crisis is now much more profound and more fundamental than at the time of Lehman," ECB Executive Board member Praet told a conference in Lisbon."

Dick Bove On Libor-Rigging: This Is Very, Very Bad - Forbes

Oops. I guess he wants it whisked away to the cornfield.

LIBOR is so universal that no bank in this country or Europe can argue that is not impacted by setting the LIBOR rates at incorrect levels. Not only is every bank in the industrialized world impacted but tens of thousands of businesses are paying the wrong rate on their loans. This means that the prices that they charge on not based on valid economics.

The fat lady has sung.

Bruce, thanks for posting that - geesh - that is crazy.

The next big bailout is probably going to be student debt.

lawyerliz wrote:

Maybe she should sue them for financial malpractice.

It was a terrific financial move for the university...

No actually, it isn't.

You can look rich (easy for a while).

You can be rich and look poor.

You can look rich and actually be rich.

The last one is reeeeealy rich.

I imagine that most of us are the second, with the word "modest" in there.

CalculatedRisk wrote:

The next big bailout is probably going to be student debt.

I believe you mean one of the next big bailouts...

So Tucker of the BoE calls the Libor crisis a "cesspit" and expects it is still going on....as well as in other markets.

"A Financial Services Authority inquiry into Libor should be extended to other self-certifying markets, he said. The Treasury said last night that the review, led by Martin Wheatley, was free to examine markets other than Libor.
An expansion of the FSA review could take in a number of other interest-rate-related data as well as some complex financial instruments measuring the difference between banks’ borrowing costs and that of the US government. Some markets in gold and oil are also based on self-certification."

'A cesspit': Libor scandal may be going on elsewhere - Telegraph

Stuff like this is inserting itself into the REO pipeline, before it goes to the auction block. Your notes on LPS this morning just begs for an explanation of where it all goes?

Blackstones $13 billion investment into REOs

CalculatedRisk wrote:

The next big bailout is probably going to be student debt backed derivatives. Fixed It For Ya

I think yer being a little harsh; after all tens of thousands of others have done the same thing prodded by establishment propaganda, government subsidy and the hope that a private school sheepskin would give an advantage in the jobsearch.

Just listen to Citizen AllenM, Josap and the Arizona gang to get the street poop.

Capitalizing on the distress requires solving a puzzle: how to buy enough homes and manage the properties in a way that’s economical.

Aye, there's the rub.

"A Financial Services Authority inquiry into Libor should be extended to other self-certifying markets,

Maybe they can get a notary in Hawaii to sign off.

Elvis, yeah - maybe the FHA is next. But I really hate to see all these people burdened with huge student loans.

rosethorn wrote:

I think yer being a little harsh; after all tens of thousands of others have done the same thing prodded by establishment propaganda, government subsidy and the hope that a private school sheepskin would give an advantage in the jobsearch.

What about the chick that ran up $500k in college and med school bills and then dropped out of medical school leaving no possible means to pay it all back...She wasn't hideous, but nowhere good looking enough to pass as a high end call girl which would be the only way she could make enough to pay it off...

CalculatedRisk wrote:

The next big bailout is probably going to be student debt.

You could 'bank' on it.

CR

the shortest way to a Keen sian jubilee is the forgiveness of student debt.

dress that up with prosecuting bankers now

a campaign ensues

CalculatedRisk wrote:

The next big bailout is probably going to be student debt.

That's the subtext of this election and the front page of the next one in 54 months. Generational entitlements/conflict and Florida.

This is why I still think Romney will have a tough time - will Get off my lawn! floridians really vote for the "austerian" guy?

Note: Arizona is a non-judicial foreclosure state, and as LPS noted this morning, the non-judicial states are recovering much faster than the judicial foreclosure states.

Like a laxative for the python with a pig stuck in it. Stand back.

lawyerliz wrote:

You can trust me with all your money, but not your pen.

When I was starting out, me and Larry you'st to try and steal each others pencil. I you'st to go home with an extra pencil every day for weeks by stealing peoples pencils looking at drawings, starting a project. Didn't even know I was Doing it until My boss larry and I made a game of it.
Now that I think about it , people probably complained. Smile

CalculatedRisk wrote:

The next big bailout is probably going to be student debt.

Will QE III be the Fed to buy up student loan backed securities from Sallie Mae at a premium and forgive some portion of it, or just set them at the FFR?

dryfly wrote:

You could 'bank' on it.

of course, the gubbermint controls it now, it won't cost us a penny either

Obamanomics is swell!

greenchutes wrote:

will floridians really vote for the "austerian" guy?

Hell ya - its gonna be YOUR austerity, not mine.

Students burdened by debt because of policy.
Home buyers burdened by debt because of policy.

Blackhalo wrote:

forgive

The Fed has the power of forgiveness? I know they play god, but...

lawyerliz wrote:

Who doesn't like hispanics much?

I thought he liked to fire them?

lawyerliz wrote:

Harvest her organs?

I don't think they're worth quite that much...might work for the Mom of the girl in Ohio, especially with a life insurance policy, if she can make it look like an accident...
Wink

energyecon wrote:

I thought he liked to fire them?

Shoot - who doesn't? Even more reasons he carries all them rube red states.

Repo the degree and find the real value.

volker the viking wrote:

bailouts for ever'body
jubilee

Except the derivatives, the Top 20% are going to disappear.

Only to reappear in 80 years, In 5 years they will begin growth.

It just won't be a inherited Free Bee. TAXXXXXXXXXX the parisites FIRE.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Repo the degree and find the real value.

That is how private colleges can find themselves in lawsuits over misrepresentations. And lose them.

Gotta run - catch up later.

Rybe-y red. FL has the plumpest grapefruits, hanging like chads in a Secretary's office.

Ummm, that would be zero.

Sippn wrote:

Blackstones $13 billion investment into REOs

FTA:

“While a lot of people are talking about it, very few have actually built significant portfolios and even fewer, if any, have achieved significant economies of scale,” said Stephen Coyle, chief investment officer of Cohen & Steers Global Realty Partners, the private-equity fund unit of the New York-based real estate stock investor. “The people who have made the most money at it are the guys who have, like, 20 houses or so.”

Wait until they figure out that there are no economies of scale in SFH management beyond a small number, like say... 20?

dryfly wrote:

Hell ya - its gonna be YOUR austerity, not mine.

"The Movement for Involuntary Complexity. The way it works is, nobody wants to join it, because it just doesn't sound at all pleasant. But then people find out that they are part of it anyway."

-Orlov

No more Chads.

Not sure if what we've got is better, now.

Bad, Florida, bad, bad.

dryfly wrote:

Repo the degree and find the real value.

That is how private colleges can find themselves in lawsuits over misrepresentations. And lose them.

Shouldn't the gubmint allow a degree to be depreciated like other assets? Maybe there's enough tax savings there to be of use...
Wink

sm_landlord wrote:

Wait until they figure out that there are no economies of scale in SFH management beyond a small number, like say... 20?

Absolutely agree, but their end game is to sell shares or monetize this just like loans were sold before, its not the property they'll make their money from. The final investor will hold the bag.

Lobbyist Ben Dover wrote:

Repo the degree

Stupid idea.

Sippn wrote:

Absolutely agree, but their end game is to sell shares or monetize this just like loans were sold before, its not the property they'll make their money from. The final investor will hold the bag.

The 'Monsanto Rider': Are Biotech Companies About to Gain Immunity from Federal Law? | Food | AlterNet 

Sippn wrote:

The final investor will hold the bag.

Future slum-lords, unite!

"Stupid idea. "

I notice you've been very short with people lately. Try not to let the heat and humidity get to you so much.

Think about those of us on the West Coast having to deal with wearing a cardigan due to the 60 degree and 0% humidity weather.

Are there enough dumb people out there who would hold that bag?

Blackhalo wrote:

Future slum-lords, unite!

Location, Location, Location.....

poic wrote:

0% humidity weather.

Damn, that's dry, brah.

"Mr. Crawford played Little League and spent hours hunting with his brother. "He'd always been healthy," said his mother, Judy Crawford. In high school, he juggled jobs at a Chinese restaurant and a retailer, where he worked his way up to becoming a jeweler.

In the summer of 1994, when he was 26, Mr. Crawford started feeling unusually fatigued. He was diagnosed with idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy; his heart was enlarged and couldn't pump efficiently. The condition had no clear underlying cause. Mr. Crawford didn't smoke, was 6-foot-2 and weighed 225 pounds

The Crushing Cost of Health Care - WSJ.com

Volker

full disclosure

I paid my and my ex-wifes loans back in the day

"Damn, that's dry, brah. "

I'm probably exagerating as usual.

Yep

"Weather for San Francisco, CA
64°F | °C Mon Tue Wed Thu
Mostly Sunny Mostly Sunny Clear Fog
Partly Cloudy
Wind: NW at 18 mph
Humidity: 60%"

It's my "humor" that has 0% humidity. Extra dry.

lawyerliz wrote:

Are there enough dumb people out there who would hold that bag?

I know, let's close all the state sponsored hospitals to pay for it!

Worst TB outbreak in 20 years kept secret | www.palmbeachpost.com

nine days after Florida Gov. Rick Scott signed the bill that shrank the Department of Health and required the closure of the A.G. Holley State Hospital in Lantana, where tough tuberculosis cases have been treated for more than 60 years.

lawyerliz wrote:

Are there enough dumb people out there who would hold that bag?

Are there enough dumb people out there to take out $1 million mortgages to buy 2/2 condos to feed a securitization pipeline that could take down the world's economy?

"60 degrees, overcast in SF is it? "

Yes, so cold that I needed an extra hot, double-soy vente, triple-shot, single vanilla swirl, half decalf mocha this morning.

poic wrote:

Yes, so cold that I needed an extra hot, double-soy vente, triple-shot, single vanilla swirl, half decalf mocha this morning.

And it's been that cold so long that the barista knew what you were going to order as soon as he saw you.

Ya I'll bet you did.

I liked San Fran.

I'll Be Back (!) Smile

Albertans never know when to quit spending.

After the double FAPaccino you had?

Bad Dawg Bobby wrote:

I'll Be Back (!)

Was there a few hours ago--- still gray, but I was on the Ocean Beach part of town.
Up in Valley of the Moon, and it is warm and sunny.

I think people who have brains and money enough to go for this sort of stuff might be wary.

But who knows?

Crazy eye Scott is Crazy.

If someone has to get tb, I hope it's him.

lawyerliz wrote:

I think people who have brains and money enough to go for this sort of stuff might be wary.

But who knows?

What to do? | Energy Bulletin

One reason may be that the public lacks some basic knowledge about energy.

Im shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on in here!

The ratio of negative equity in RRE to student loans seems to be about 3x or a little less...3 trillion RRE to 1 trillion Student loan

no quibbling over exactness CoreLogic Reports Negative Equity Increase in Q4 2011

forgiving student loans seems a less formidable freeing up of debt than the real estate solution Keen and Shiller

also particpants in student loans rather than mortgage gambles seem more forgiveable

adornosghost wrote:

Was there a few hours ago--- still gray, but I was on the Ocean Beach part of town.
Up in Valley of the Moon, and it is warm and sunny.

No white tentacles coming over the hilltops yet?

that is naive students having spent years in study are more forgiveable IMO than people jumping on the RRE bubble

energyecon wrote:

One reason may be that the public lacks some basic knowledge about energy.

Im shocked, shocked to find that gambling is going on in here!

a rudimentary understanding of thermodynamics and evolutionary biology would put a end to this blog.

sm_landlord wrote:

No white tentacles coming over the hilltops yet?

not now

Drove back from Sonoma yesterday.

85 degrees and sunny at start.
65 an hour later in SF.

A lot of fog going onto the Golden Gate Bridge.

IBEW Local: Pepco Power Outages Due To Chronic Understaffing, Hiring Of Temp Workers | Crooks and Liars

"Everything is keyed on dollars and cents profit," warned IBEW Utility Director Jim Hunter back in 2005. "Storm outages are longer, and utilities are asking for more and more help from other utilities. The problem is that other companies are in the same boat. And they are still not hiring."

Despite having a negative -57% tax rate from 2008 to 2010 and making nearly $822 million in profits during that period, Pepco has not hired a sufficient number of electricians to properly maintain the system. Griffin claims the insufficient number of linemen causes Pepco's system to go out more often not just during storms, but on hot summer days when electrical grids are maxed out from air conditioners and fans. When big storms do hit and knock down the system, PEPCO hires outside contractors from far-away states to help in repairs.

adornosghost wrote:

"The Movement for Involuntary Complexity. The way it works is, nobody wants to join it, because it just doesn't sound at all pleasant. But then people find out that they are part of it anyway."

Try explaining 'involuntary complexity' to seniors in Florida and I'd guess 90% would say they already got it - that's why they wear Depends.

adornosghost wrote:

a rudimentary understanding of thermodynamics and evolutionary biology would put a end to this blog.

Problem is, you can lead the horse to water but you can't make him think...

adornosghost wrote:

Was there a few hours ago--- still gray, but I was on the Ocean Beach part of town.

poic dances with the SF wafils and HomeGnome has bunga-bunged my sensitive Jew-Jew.

Other than that Ocean Beach sound Great.

Fog !

Sippn wrote:

Blackstones $13 billion investment into REOs

This gets complicated, at least when looking at the broader market. There was a recent report on Oakland homes ("whole neighborhoods") going this route, but even though there were a few modest-sized operations (100-300 homes) the vast majority are individuals working just a few such deals. The top three operators accounted for about 12% of the purchases but then it drops off quickly.

Further, non-profits are getting involved to arrange for financing buyers, frequently in partnership with the for-profit folks who do the rehabbing.

Cash for Clunker Degrees.

picosec wrote:

The top three operators accounted for about 12% of the purchases but then it drops off quickly.

This needs to be addressed. TBTF are going to FAIL.

Need to Control the Crash. Organize the failures as best as possible.

We are YEARS LATE.

volker the viking wrote:

you are such a juvenile

I know you are...

You know puctuated evolution, where things are gradual until they are not gradual at all, is where we are going.

Some of us are aware of it, and yet, there seems to be not much we can do to protect ourselves, much less everybody else.

The boom and bust of animals on islands, or rodents is very well known.

Perhaps the dumb are better off, since survival will be mostly luck, with a small amount of being quick on your feet to survive.

Perhaps it is better that enough of us approve of crazy eye Scott, so that a fairly large number but not all die of tb, so we don't go extinct.

By the way, my fil, who died in '84 at 84, met his wife, the hub's mother at a tb sanatarium. She was his nurse.

Greenchutes: Re Hitler and your comment to me that I need "...to understand it on an adult level."

I understand perfectly well the role of von Hindenberg and the industrialist thugs like Thyssen and his buddies at I.G. Farben, Krupp and Siemens.

I resent the implication that I don't understand these things "on an adult level."

Now you can shrug off the lessons of history, but I recommend that you do some further reading on the run-up to the takeover by Hitler rather than relying on Wiki, which is merely a good starting point. It was a more complicated story than you suggest. Hitler didn't win a majority of the Parliament in 1933 but it only took him a couple of months to consolidate his power after being named chancellor. If it happened in Germany, it can happen anywhere, anytime.

Jan. 1933 -- Hitler becomes chancellor of a coalition government, where the Nazis have a third of the seats in the Reichstag

Feb 1933 The German Reichstag is destroyed by fire. Communists accused.

March 1933 The Enabling Act passed. Powers of legislation pass to Hitler’s cabinet for 4 years, making him virtual dictator. Proclaims Nazi Party the only political party permitted in Germany. All other parties and trade unions are disbanded. Individual German states lose any autonomous powers, while Nazi officials become state governors.

April 1933 Communist Party banned.

May 1933 Socialists, Trade Unions and strikes banned.

The Enabling Act abrogated the German constitution. A series of quick moves by Hitler and his henchmen disabled the press, his rivals both within and without his own party and created the structure for the Final Solution. With several swift moves, he swept away civil rights and with it the civil society.

KarmaPolice wrote:

The Crushing Cost of Health Care - WSJ.com

From that link:

That was the fifth costliest of all Medicare beneficiaries that year and the highest among those who died by that year's end. Medicare covered Mr. Crawford's costs through federal disability insurance.

Cherry picking.

lawyerliz wrote:

You know puctuated evolution

Punctuated equilibrium is the term Gould used.

(I should not leave Eldredge out)

Just checked that pacu story. BS.

"The locals told me that this thing was like a human in the water, biting at the testicles of fishermen," Wade said.

I've seen a lot of humans in the water and never heard of one biting at the testicles of the fishermen. Maybe in Florida. I suspect Tom Stone could say something on this matter, or perhaps the avid fishermen in this group.

lawyerliz wrote:

You know puctuated evolution

Punctuated.

Look at his parents.

They don't look healthy to me. How did they feed the guy as a kid? In the womb influences.

I stand corrected, but I also stand by my punct.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Punctuated.

Darn spell check!

lawyerliz wrote:

I stand corrected, but I also stand by my punct.

As long as you're taller.

I think it is perfectly fair for the fish and the rest of nature try to avenge themselves on us.

picosec wrote:

Cherry picking.

Of course. That is the point of the article.

I was referring to the idea that Mr. Crawford had no underlying cause....other than he was obviously overweight.

lawyerliz wrote:

Look at his parents.
They don't look healthy to me. How did they feed the guy as a kid? In the womb influences.

10 pound babies ARE NOT normal.

lawyerliz wrote:

I think it is perfectly fair for the fish and the rest of nature try to avenge themselves on us.

Don't tick off the giant crab.

So if you screw up with your spelling and you're corrected do you get punct?

Was he 10 pounds, didn't read down that far.

That's a sign of diabetes.

Comrade Alexei Mikhailovich wrote:

Albertans never know when to quit spending.

Heh ...

This might help you with your humid :dust fart dreads: problem Gnome

dreads while gardening in humid area - dreadlocks - tribe.net

lawyerliz wrote:

I think it is perfectly fair for the fish and the rest of nature try to avenge themselves on us.

Sure, but generally when men are in the water,...hummmmm what the heck, we're not in the Michigan senate), the scrotum retracts the testicles towards the body. Ask your husband. Now I know they wear penis gourds in New Guinea, and pacu love squash, so maybe, just maybe, they might,...nah.

The ugliest hair style in the entire universe.

lawyerliz wrote:

Was he 10 pounds, didn't read down that far.

That isn't in the article. I was simply making the statement.

And you are right. Pre-diabetic infants.

sm_landlord wrote:

Wait until they figure out that there are no economies of scale in SFH management beyond a small number, like say... 20?

Expensive lesson, but lots of bonuses to be made in the meantime.

in your case your birth weight remained constant in that you was borned full growed

adornosghost wrote:

"The Movement for Involuntary Complexity. The way it works is, nobody wants to join it, because it just doesn't sound at all pleasant. But then people find out that they are part of it anyway."

Thanks for cheering me up. Still behind the orange curtain?

Somebody has to be most expensive.

I suppose this is forgiveable, because he was young, and thus might have a lot of life to live, rather than torturing a 90 year old for another painful month.

lawyerliz wrote:

Are there enough dumb people out there who would hold that bag?

CalPers.

This heat has wiped me out.
I'm exhausted.
Tired

lawyerliz wrote:

people out there who would hold that bag?

no, but I'll hold your hair while you vomit when the full realization of just how serious it is sinks in

Nytol Love Oh, my closing closed, people. And I have 3 or 4 scheduled, too.

It was a purchase by a church, by the way.

Tom Stone wrote:

Still behind the orange curtain?

Back in Sonoma, as of a few hours ago.
The Orange Curtain was brief, but not bad.
Lots of shiny things.

Tom Stone wrote:

Expensive lesson, but lots of bonuses to be made in the meantime.

I've looked into the Oakland situation and these homes are renting for a cap rate of about 50 based on purchase price, probably 60-70 after fixing them up. I agree that managing a herd of SFHs in this price range is challenging, but you can afford that and even some price depreciation (if that were to happen) with that level of cash flow.

I think these guys are going to do alright.

"This heat has wiped me out.
I'm exhausted.
Tired"

Put your feet up and have a cuppa tea. With milk and a bit of sugar.

Bubblisimo Gerkinov wrote:

Interesting ... BTW, he's co-author of Amazon.com: Drilling Down: The Gulf Oil Debacle and Our Energy Dilemma (9781441976765): Joseph A. Tainter: Books

If you haven't read Tainter, he nailed it. Probably proves time travel, as no one could of been that correct.

lawyerliz wrote:

It was a purchase by a church, by the way.

For what purpose?

WAKE UP!!!

adornosghost wrote:

Lots of shiny things.

The women...

Tom Stone wrote:

Still behind the orange curtain?

adornosghost are you in OC? I thought you were in the mid-west.

adornosghost,

Can you recommend any local farms for buying meat? There's seems to be a bunch on the back-road running from Sonoma to Santa Rosa. The local markets charge an arm and a leg. tia

Actually Tom if you know of any local places as well please chime in (:

damn the mp
he's already updated that 3 thousand dollar thingamajig of his
the Conjure Clock...
I promised a vid mash right after so I'd better get cooking...

picosec wrote:

I've looked into the Oakland situation and these homes are renting for a cap rate of about 50 based on purchase price, probably 60-70 after fixing them up. I agree that managing a herd of SFHs in this price range is challenging, but you can afford that and even some price depreciation (if that were to happen) with that level of cash flow.

I think these guys are going to do alright.

The landlord/tenant laws are a bitch. I don't see better than 10 as a cap rate here, doesn't work long term.

Bad Dawg Bobby wrote:

adornosghost are you in OC? I thought you were in the mid-west.

Sonoma.

poic wrote:

Actually Tom if you know of any local places as well please chime in (:

Willowside meats on Guerneville rd, there are a couple more on Adobe rd near Petaluma, one just south of E Washington.

Tom Stone wrote:

The landlord/tenant laws are a bitch. I don't see better than 10 as a cap rate here, doesn't work long term.

I may be using the "cap rate" term incorrectly. I meant it as the purchase price (+ any improvements) divided by the monthly rent.

Smile adornosghost wrote:

Sonoma.

Sonoma is nice. Close to the up and coming Hurd though.

picosec wrote:

I may be using the "cap rate" term incorrectly. I meant it as the purchase price (+ any improvements) divided by the monthly rent.

Than I would agree.

You Do Know that it is going to be Different this time, Right?

poic wrote:

Actually Tom if you know of any local places as well please chime in (:

Olivers in Santa Rosa has Hicks Ranch (one man operation), with reasonable prices.
Explore the local guys-- expanding market up here in gourmet land.

Dinner:

Pan seared Sockeye Salmon smothered in dill and dijon with shallots and leeks and homemade quick pickled vegetables.

And another one bites the dust, this time in my own backyard:

"Russ Wasendorf Sr., the founder and CEO of PFGBest, reportedly attempted to commit suicide this morning outside the corporate headquarters in rural Cedar Falls, company officials confirmed Monday afternoon."

Wonder how many farmers lost their ass in this one?

Futures Brokerage PFG Best Freezes Accounts Following Discovery Of Accounting Irregularity | ZeroHedge

poic wrote:

With milk and a bit of sugar.

like the puss you are

YUM, making me hungrey.

I resemble that.

Thanks Tom,

You've got Mail

Bad Dawg Bobby wrote:

Close to the up and coming Hurd though.

Blow a few bridges, and we will be cool.

Bad Dawg Bobby wrote:

Sonoma.

Sonoma is nice. Close to the up and coming Hurd though.

Sebastopol is off the major evacuation routes. The Valley of The Moon is far enough out to be OK in almost any situation.

adornosghost wrote:

If you haven't read Tainter, he nailed it.

Another very worthwhile read on our energy situation ... A Thousand Barrels A Second

thanks very much adhorno

I'm taking a short vacation soon but when I return I have two projects planned:

  1. Determine the price-to-rent ratio for local homes by quintile. I suspect it's small at the low end and large at the high end.
  2. Examine the historical mix of storefront usage in my neighborhood retail area.

...and people ask me if retirement is boring Wink

adornosghost wrote:

Blow a few bridges, and we will be cool.

Don't Laugh, that will definitly slow down and direct traffic.

poic wrote:

adhorno

You tell him, Jose Pervo.

All this points to a dangerous new period of political history, a deadly Hobbesian scramble to evade the falling timber in a burning house as the rudiments of a worldwide social contract go up in flames. Such is the importance of legitimacy: the basic condition for governance, especially among supposedly free people. You can meddle in a lot of distributory issues - who gets what - but when you mess with the most basic operations of money to the extent that no one is sure what it's really worth, or what it represents, then you are deeply undermining society. This is now the condition that is set to blow up republics.

The Drowning Pool by James Howard Kunstler

Dooooooooooooooom!!! redux= Nothingburger

so far

"You tell him, Jose Pervo. "

Mirror mirror on the wall, who is paying for this all?

picosec wrote:

...and people ask me if retirement is boring

Could become interesting, Could.

picosec wrote:

Determine the price-to-rent ratio for local homes by quintile. I suspect it's small at the low end and large at the high end.
Examine the historical mix of storefront usage in my neighborhood retail area.

You write well, I look forward to your posts.

Anyways Jose Pervo sounds like the name of a priest.

AWOOOOOGA!

JUST KIDDING

picosec quoted from a wsj.com article that said:

Medicare covered Mr. Crawford's costs through federal disability insurance.

And a person who's found disabled by SSA becomes entitled to Medicare coverage only after receiving SSDI monthly cash benefits for 24 months (or being entitled to receive those cash benefits). Before then if you can't somehow become eligible for Medicaid, you're out of luck.

What % of the 2 trillion or so (not including the "off budget appropriations) spent on the invasions of Afghanistan & Iraq--so far = the cost of this unfortunate person's health care?

The article does suggest that it's wise for people, particularly those w/severe chronic illnesses to complete a health care power of attorney or POLST or whatever (if anything) the equivalent is in that person's state. Some written statement of his/her wishes should he/she become fatally ill or seem to be in a vegetative state or coma or just at what point he/she wants medical treatment to end.

poic wrote:

Anyways Jose Pervo sounds like the name of a priest.

"- look around at America itself: a wasteland of futile motoring and discount shopping populated by depressed, overfed clowns bedizened with sinister tattoos, pretending to be Star Warriors. No nation ever seen in human history ever laid such a disappointing egg. Only to have it fry on the sidewalk."

JHK

adornosghost wrote:

JHK

sad, sad man

one trick pony, elitist prick

other than that, he's okay in my book

Swing State TV Stations Spiking Ad Rates As Campaign Cash Pours In : It's All Politics : NPR

According to one media buying group that provided its figures to NPR, last week alone the Obama campaign and its outside supporters spent some $345,000 on TV ads in the Columbus market, while the Romney campaign and its supporters spent around $220,000.

With all that demand, prices will go up, says Bradley.

"It's a commodity business. And when there's a large demand on that commodity and a lot of people trying to buy the same thing, the natural forces of the market cause the price to rise," says Bradley.

Eeexelent!

HomeGnome wrote:

This heat has wiped me out.
I'm exhausted.

114 here.

josap wrote

114 here

AC here a cool 78 inside

volker the viking wrote:

other than that, he's okay in my book

And is quite a entertaining writer.
Just read Amazon.com: Too Much Magic: Wishful Thinking, Technology, and the Fate of the Nation (9780802120304): James Howard Kunstler: Books
Kunsler is in ascendance, at least according to the market place-- and what else is there?

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Don't tick off the giant crab.

Now, Pavel--none of us use that nickname for you.

BarleyReturns wrote:

AC here a cool 78 inside

Nice inside here as well.
But I have been in and out of the heat all day.
Day started at 6am, I won't be done till at least 7pm tonight.

It's great to be self employed Puzzled

josap wrote:

114 here.

Wingpawn Global Cooling?

adornosghost wrote:

and what else is there?

logic and reason?

adornosghost wrote:

Wingpawn Global Cooling?

I don't know what that is, and my brain is too fried to look it up.

adorn wrote

Global Cooling?

Paging Mr. Gore. Mr. Gore pleeze answer the white phone.

volker the viking wrote:

logic and reason?

I would not say that is absent----
However, his predictions have been- colorful? Is that the correct word?

106 is freaking exhusting to be working in.

I did one of my rides this weekend in approx. 85 degree weather and was nodding off later that day LOL Big smile

josap wrote:

I don't know what that is, and my brain is too fried to look it up.

I made it up- I think it brings balance to the reason based people.

josap wrote:

It's great to be self employed

More of that easy money managing rentals!!

Nythinb happen in Yurp today?

Reality bites:

This needs to be resolved," Scranton firefighter and president of the local firefighters union John Judge told FoxNews.com. "My members are getting a check for $7.25 an hour. These are people that are the head of their households. They have mortgages. They have other living costs. They are now going to have to throw their bills in a hat and randomly pick what gets paid on time

Read more: Pennsylvania city workers to take mayor to court over across-the-board minimum wage salaries | Fox News

There was no money in the city checking account, right? Bk filed yet?

adornosghost wrote:

Is that the correct word?

derivative comes to mind

like most of the post apocalyptic doggerel

lawyerliz wrote:

Nythinb happen in Yurp today?

Just the slow unwind.

Bk the city, bust the Unions, contract out the work to connected parties, claim success, run
for higher office. Rinse and repeat.

Scranton mayor wanted to raise taxes. Council wanted to borrow. They couldn't do a little of both I guess.

BarleyReturns wrote:

This needs to be resolved," Scranton firefighter and president of the local firefighters union John Judge told FoxNews.com.

What'd Scranton do with those "The Office" royalty checks?

Don't know much about bk, but under certain circumstances creditors can force bk.

sporkfed wrote:

Bk the city, bust the Unions, contract out the work to connected parties, claim success, run
for higher office. Rinse and repeat.

Looks like Mittens is also a Koch Sucker:
http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2012/07/09/us/ROMNEY1/ROMNEY1-articleLarge.jpg

mhdoc wrote:

More of that easy money managing rentals!!

Well, from 6am to 9am I did my management work.
From 9am to 3:30 pm I went to 3 banks, 1 acct office setting up to fire the manager of our self manaaged HOA who has been stealing money. The other board members can't read the financials. We found out from the accountant this has been going on for at least 2 years. We, all of the board, are going to his place this eve to fire him and get all the records. He is my neighbor.

josap wrote:

We, all of the board, are going to his place this eve to fire him and get all the records. He is my neighbor.

Oh, man. I hope tomorrow is better than today for you.

josap wrote:

1 acct office setting up to fire the manager of our self manaaged HOA who has been stealing money.

Welcome to the HOA .

We are ok because we are and have been for the resent years,,,,,,,,,,HONEST. But we understand, it is an easy ripoff.

I explained and we are setting up systems to insure this doesn't happen again.

A little compromise all around would save Scranton a huge headache.

josap wrote:

Well, from 6am to 9am I did my management work.

Well, at least you only work half the time, and get to pick sometime what those 12 hours will be.

volker the viking wrote:

elitist prick

Nah, Has head problem with who he is. Not comfortable in own skin and must put society down to make self feel good.

So Did We, years ago and It works.

Trust but verify. Two Signatures.

josap wrote:

We, all of the board, are going to his place this eve to fire him and get all the records. He is my neighbor.

Suckage.

Adorno, any interest in that place with a stream?

Bad Dawg Bobby wrote:

Two Signatures.

yep. and all of us can look (only look) at the bank accounts any time on line.

Tom Stone wrote:

Suckage.

suckage my ass, Jail Time for the thief.

Wow. Never do biz with a neighbor? Oh yeah. Hoa. Would have to be Puzzled

It's crazy cold! We're not even halfway through Winter and I'm ready for Summer. Party

lawyerliz wrote:

Wow. Never do biz with a neighbor? Oh yeah. Hoa. Would have to be

The sence of comunity and the cost saving by organizeing # for repair is VERY COST EFFECTIVE, With out THeift . Big smile

just a plain good Idea. It works.

lawyerliz wrote:

Oh yeah. Hoa.

One very, very bad model, IMHO.

Horror stories abound.

Bad Dawg Bobby wrote:

suckage my ass, Jail Time for the thief.

Dealing with stuff like that is saddening, lots of people got hurt. Jail time is appropriate but it doesn't make people whole.

josap wrote:

I explained and we are setting up systems to insure this doesn't happen again.

I missed the organizational meeting of our commercial development "HOA" early this year. They elected me Treasurer in my absence. I figured they needed a fall guy.

sm_landlord wrote:

One very, very bad model, IMHO.

Horror stories abound.

Yes.

sportsfan wrote:

I missed the organizational meeting of our commercial development "HOA" early this year. They elected me Treasurer in my absence. I figured they needed a fall guy.

Is the commercial HOA paying for your E&O insurance?

Tom Stone wrote:

sm_landlord wrote:

One very, very bad model, IMHO.

Horror stories abound.

Yes.


You wouldn't believe the multiple ongoing Community Association sagas in Las Vegas. They overwhelm anything I ever saw in California.

HOA scandal involving millions of dollars and thousands of homes cuts wide swath across Las Vegas Valley - VEGAS INC

You can't go wrong investing in commodities.
Patriot Coal says it filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection amid weakening coal sales - The Washington Post

The company idled several mines this year and eliminated about 1,000 jobs. CEO Richard Whiting left the company in late May amid concerns that Patriot might run short on cash. The company said it was working with The Blackstone Group and the law firm of Davis Polk & Wardwell to secure more financing.

Shares of Patriot Coal lost $1.58, or 72.1 percent, to close at 61 cents.

sm_landlord wrote:

Is the commercial HOA paying for your E&O insurance?

Yup. (It's actually okay. We control the board. They know I do numbers.)

addon: Yes, two signatures.

sportsfan wrote:

They elected me Treasurer in my absence. I figured they needed a fall guy.

You weren't there to defend yourself. Shock

Hcn slow, reading autobiog of Ben Franklin. He desired to be more virtuous so he listed the virtues & made a spreadsheet of his progress in same. It really was a spreadsheet! Ole Ben truly 3was a man for all seasons & would have done just fine, reborn in the here and now

Problem with some HOA's is most owners don't show any interest and leave the door open to mischief.

We are having a police officer meet us and go with us to his unit.
He is in foreclosure (auction on the 12th)
This will be very confrontational.
He is under stress already.

Better safe than sorry.

josap wrote:

We are having a police officer meet us and go with us to his unit.

Good call. Nothing beats "keep the peace" before all hell breaks out.

sm_landlord wrote:

I missed the organizational meeting of our commercial development "HOA" early this year. They elected me Treasurer in my absence. I figured they needed a fall guy.

Is the commercial HOA paying for your E&O insurance?

OOOOOH, it only hurts while I breathe.

Time for me to go.
Later.

josap wrote:

Better safe than sorry.

Very much so. My best wishes for a peaceful resolution.

yep, all they have to do is make demand in full when the terms and conditions are not met

MaryAnn wrote:

Nah, Has head problem with who he is. Not comfortable in own skin and must put society down to make self feel good.

works for me

sm_landlord wrote:

One very, very bad model, IMHO.Horror stories abound.

The Chicago Trib has a weekly column about condo management by a housing attorney. Self managed seems to be an oxymoron meaning "nonmanaged". Nearly all the letters he discusses begin with those words and go on to tell tales of egotistical tyrannical board members, double dealing self managed managers, and stolen funds. The laws here in Illinois work pretty well and property managers have to know them and know how to follow them. A professional manager would probably also require an audit occasionally and would have caught the thief by now. They cost money but seem to be worth it in the long run.

lawyerliz wrote:

Ole Ben truly 3was a man for all seasons & would have done just fine, reborn in the here and now

Yes. Although, the utilitarian calculation of happiness isn't going to get you all the way to enlightenment. There's a limit to every vision.

YouTube - Neil Young - Imagine

sportsfan wrote:

HOA scandal involving millions of dollars and thousands of homes cuts wide swath across Las Vegas Valley - VEGAS INC

Shock Wow!

Tom Stone wrote:

Adorno, any interest in that place with a stream?

I let them know--
I'll call.
As you know, it was more than I expected- truly a gem!

traderwalt wrote:

A professional manager would probably also require an audit occasionally and would have caught the thief by now.

Even after decades of experience, it's not easy to manage properties. I can only imagine what happens when someone with no experience is given a role like that. Pros cost money, but someone with experience needs to be watching the store.

When I saw that F Ticking time bomb I was fully expecting a post from HG.

well, waddaya know, something useful from sportsfan

Tom Stone wrote:

Jail time is appropriate but it doesn't make people whole.

No but it stops the thieft of HOA moneys.

Glad I'm not in josap's shoes tonight; I'll tell you what.

Yeah, wishing josap lots of luck. That's gotta be ugly to deal with.

okay, volker in, feel bad for josap too

Are you sure?
Are you just saying that to be cool?

Any amateur psychoanalysts want to explain why I just flashed on this video?

Homecoming Queen's Got a Gun 

sm_landlord wrote:

Pros cost money, but someone with experience needs to be watching the store.

I agree. In Illinois, property managers are licensed; so they have to be somewhat knowledgeable. But it's up to the Board to hire a competent manager who hopefully has experience and to hire other members of the condo staff, like the engineer and his workers. I think too often self managed HOA Board Members are competent but never find time to oversee the manager. Timely Board meetingswhere all complaints are aired, force the Board to do its job in most cases.

"Are you sure?
Are you just saying that to be cool?"

FTicking time bomb !!!

Your reaction, while a pathetic cry for attention; is not unexpected.

adornosghost wrote:

Tom Stone wrote:

Adorno, any interest in that place with a stream?

I let them know--
I'll call.
As you know, it was more than I expected- truly a gem!

Thanks. I need to learn how to puff a place. Or maybe just find people who understand I am one critical SOB, and when I say a place is nice, it is.

Burn The MotherFuckers.

A Thief is a Thief (!)

not really cool as much as not considered a hard hearted sort

cool is never a consideration for volker

volker is cool, you can look it up

Burn The MotherFuckers and pass condo laws to protect all condo owners.

sportsfan wrote:

HOA scandal involving millions of dollars and thousands of homes cuts wide swath across Las Vegas Valley - VEGAS INC

Wow. My subdivision's HOA has problems, but nothing on this scale.

Rajesh wrote:

You can't go wrong investing in commodities.

Really, the last game.
http://www.theoildrum.com/files/3.%20Named%20Saudi%20fields.png
Elite's fighting over the dregs to see who will be the last one standing.

Global slump eroding U.S. profits - The Globe and Mail

Monday, Jul. 09 2012, 7:41 PM EDT

"Slumping global growth and the euro zone debt crisis are deepening their bite into corporate profits.

Investors are bracing for an onslaught of tepid second-quarter corporate earnings reports starting this week, amid expectations of near-zero profit growth and worries that the long upturn in North American earnings is at an end.

The main culprits are weak demand in Europe, slowing growth in China, and a U.S. economy that appears to be losing speed.

Profits are likely to drop 1 per cent from the same quarter last year, according to analysts polled by research firm S&P Capital IQ..."

<. Unfortunately I'm with retard above (who's making unsubstantiated claims)

^^ I'M WITH STUPID ^^

Quite the contrary, dear volker.

self assessment always results in grade inflation

always

traderwalt wrote:

and pass condo laws to protect all condo owners.

HaHaHa, if they are not in place you are one fucked up Condo Owner.

"self assessment always results in grade inflation

always"

A D+ is still bad, grade inflation notwithstanding.

poor Gnome, bless his short little heart

poic wrote:

A D+ is still bad, grade inflation notwithstanding.

You made a D+?

YouTube - 24. Tom Waits - Singapore (Live, Atlanta 2008)

were you a smoker?

no, that's not it

were you born to Circus parents?

OK then - some munis going under.....now its time for suppliers to fish or cut bait

(interesting)

Geezus, Volker.
Get your shit together.
This is the blogosphere; not some dank ass cajun cave, son!

HomeGnome wrote:

My growth was stented

Poor Gnome. Big smile

So in the same thread we have Josap telling us the realities of property management while upthread there are mentions of investor groups buying several hundred properties. Someone did mention that property management doesn't scale well Smile

I guess we can be sure there will be an ongoing supply of distressed property with motivated sellers.

volker the viking wrote:

God bless Tom Waits

His last album was superb!
And a local.

adornosghost wrote:

And a local.

Weirdos.
Davie

mhdoc wrote:

I guess we can be sure there will be an ongoing supply of distressed property with motivated sellers.

One can only Hope, at least where we are interested in Growing.

YouTube - ZZ TOP- LA GRANGE

mhdoc wrote:

Someone did mention that property management doesn't scale well

"The essential point to me is that unconventional fossil fuels are caught in a paradox - that their EROEI is too low for them to sustain a society complex enough to produced them."

Nothing scales well as things become this complex.

His last album was superb

I aint dead yet, so I'll reserve judgement

volker the viking wrote:

God bless Tom Waits

Ya, if I thought like that I'd have killed myself. Some brains can handle it better, I guess.

YouTube - Neko Case - Christmas Card From A Hooker In Minneapolis (Tom Waits cover)

adornosghost wrote:

Nothing scales well as things become this complex.

What about Chris Christie?

Login or register to post comments
Syndicate content