Any thoughts on the new Dow Theory sell signal?

Oh, and Nemo's Monkey

Spare a thought for Portugal and Cyprus! They are equal members of the Euro. Big smile

War, what is it good for ? Absolutely nothing, except GDP.

U.S. housing market sees signs of recovery - The Globe and Mail

Tuesday, Jun. 26 2012, 7:52 PM EDT

"Home prices rose in nearly all major U.S. cities in April from March, further evidence that the housing market is slowly improving even while the job market slumps."

Outsider wrote:

We need a summit summit.

We need a summit to determine when and where to have the summit summit.

Outsider wrote:

We need a summit summit.

If you hold it at a mountain retreat, they can build a monument at the summit, which will henceforth be the Summit Summit Summit.

It's no wonder that European play such a high level of soccer. They have so much practice at kicking the Kick Me .

Guest speaker: Pat Summitt.

The American War Racket

BRUSSELS — For most Europeans, almost nothing is more prized than their four to six weeks of guaranteed annual vacation leave. But it was not clear just how sacrosanct that time off was until Thursday, when Europe’s highest court ruled that workers who happened to get sick on vacation were legally entitled to take another vacation.
“The purpose of entitlement to paid annual leave is to enable the worker to rest and enjoy a period of relaxation and leisure,” the Court of Justice of the European Union, based in Luxembourg, ruled in a case involving department store workers in Spain. “The purpose of entitlement to sick leave is different, since it enables a worker to recover from an illness that has caused him to be unfit for work.”

Gaaw-aawl-ly!

Rickkk wrote:

YouTube - Edwin Starr - War (What Is It Good For?)

He's just rippin off Tolstoy.

It's no wonder that European play such a high level of soccer. They have so much practice at kicking the .

Laughing out loud

YouTube - CAKE "Rock & Roll Lifestyle" 

How much did you pay for the chunk of the guitar,
the one that he ruthlessly smashed at the end of the show?

And how much will he pay for a brand new guitar,
one that he ruthlessly smash at the end of another show?

U.S. housing market sees signs of recovery - The Globe and Mail

"Home prices rose in nearly all major U.S. cities in April from March, further evidence that the housing market is slowly improving even while the job market slumps."

tg wrote:

For most Europeans, almost nothing is more prized than their four to six weeks of guaranteed annual vacation leave.

I'm waiting for the oh-those-lazy-Europeans backlash. Meanwhile, back in Freedomland, dickheads think nothing of calling me on vacation over piddly bullshit. Well it's an emergency to me!

tg quoted:

Europe’s highest court ruled that workers who happened to get sick on vacation were legally entitled to take another vacation.

They're reaching terminal velocity with that one.

tg wrote:

workers who happened to get sick on vacation were legally entitled to take another vacation

While in the US if you use up your three days of allowed sick days, you can use your vacation days if you would like to be paid.

YouTube - CAKE "Rock & Roll Lifestyle"

Yeah, yeah, no one likes Nickelback I know

YouTube - Nickelback - Rockstar 

(how long till we red hat every youtube?)

josap wrote:

While in the US if you use up your three days of allowed sick days, you can use your vacation days if you would like to be paid.

In Freedomland, a law partner wearing $500 pumps rails about the lazy associate who didn't come in on the weekend, even though the associate makes $45K, in New York, and can barely scratch together the extra train fare.

Whiskey wrote:

I'm waiting for the oh-those-lazy-Europeans backlash.

Ehhh, just an extremely sweet deal that happens to be unsustainable.

Outsider wrote:

YouTube - CAKE "Rock & Roll Lifestyle"
Yeah, yeah, no one likes Nickelback I know
YouTube - Nickelback - Rockstar

YouTube - Led Zeppelin/ Rock N' Roll

Outsider wrote:

(how long till we red hat every youtube?)

Any day now.

YouTube - Oasis - Rock 'N' Roll Star

sm_landlord wrote:

Ehhh, just an extremely sweet deal that happens to be unsustainable.

Are you sure about that? What if it represents a stable equilibrium of wealth equality, sustained productivity growth, and lower birth rates? Making people do the work of two people, feeding them crap, and not letting them raise families that maintain population levels seems less sustainable to me.

josap wrote:

While in the US if you use up your three days of allowed sick days, you can use your vacation days if you would like to be paid.

. . . which is great for employees, but means nothing to the self-employed who have neither sick days nor vacation days. Wink

Whiskey wrote:

Are you sure about that? What if it represents a stable equilibrium of wealth equality, sustained productivity growth, and lower birth rates? Making people do the work of two people, feeding them crap, and not letting them raise families that maintain population levels seems less sustainable to me.

Yup, Europe is looking real stable right about now.

Outsider wrote:

Well, if you're gonna be that way about it

I can only be me.

YouTube - Bob Seger - Old Time Rock and Roll

Let's drop the big one, and see what happens!!
YouTube - Randy Newman - Political Science

Ben, let's do it, drop a $5 trillion blow on them, November 11, 2012.

Shock and awe, monetary style.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Was all that Merkel tough talk to make her coming concession look good?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Ben, let's do it, drop a $5 trillion blow on them, November 11, 2012.

HEY... if he's going to blow a fiver on someone it should be us (at least first).

sm_landlord wrote:

Yup, Europe is looking real stable right about now.

The structural problems of the EU aren't caused by vacation time.

REBear wrote:

Was all that Merkel tough talk to make her coming concession look good?

I heard a rumor that at this Euro summit all the countries start throwing f Ticking time bomb at each other. Luuuuuu-Ceeeeee, you got some splainin to do!

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Ben, let's do it, drop a $5 trillion blow on them, November 11, 2012.

I don't think the repubs will care one bit if Romney wins.

sporkfed wrote:

Absolutely nothing, except GDP.

Broken window fallacy. Borrowing to support a war, MIGHT be good for GDP, but spending that borrowed money on something with a higher multiplier than war, would likely be a better move. Say a WWII era GI bill for everyone, would work out well, with an added bonus of skipping the war part.

Whiskey wrote:

The structural problems of the EU aren't caused by vacation time.

No, they are caused by the socialized health care, Duh!

Vic wrote:

No, they are caused by the socialized health care, Duh!

OK good. Just as long as it was not over-leveraged debt.

About half of Hong Kong’s population, or 700,000 households, live in government housing of some type. That includes 2.1 million people in public rental estates (about 30% of the population), and another 1.2 million (about 17%), who live in subsidized ownership apartments.

One individual told MarketWatch his family moved out some years ago but managed to keep the keys to the government apartment where he grew up, which they now use as a storage facility.

Another woman described how she’d spent her entire childhood in public housing while her parents retired early by living off the income from multiple properties which they owned and rented out at market rates.
Hong Kong housing projects host wealthy tenants - Asia Stocks to Watch - MarketWatch

Citizen AllenM wrote:

drop a $5 trillion blow on them

How much coke would that buy? Hey! I have a great idea for how the Fed can win the war on drugs and grow it's balance sheet profitably at the SAME TIME!

Blackhalo wrote:

How much coke would that buy? Hey! I have a great idea for how the Fed can win the war on drugs and grow it's balance sheet profitably at the SAME TIME!

OK, so go long Peruvian coca fields? Is there a futures market for that?

Now I shdn't - since the man - Gary Glitter - was quite the pedophile - and extra available desperately poor Far East Asian young girls at that.

Still - we never knew ( of perhaps he didn't do it then ? - yeah right ) when this was a hit..

YouTube - *Top Of The Pops 70´s*-#14. Gary Glitter-Rock ´n´Roll

Can you pick out the OCDers in the group?

Blackhalo wrote:

How much coke would that buy? Hey! I have a great idea for how the Fed can win the war on drugs and grow it's balance sheet profitably at the SAME TIME!

Dude, let's stimulate this economy with another 8-ball.

YouTube - Denis Leary - Cocaine

Outsider wrote:

Can you pick out the OCDers in the group?

I prefer COD. Whenever possible, you should list the adjectives in alphabetical order.

TJ and The Bear wrote:

if he's going to blow a fiver on someone

Fiverr - Hire people to do things for $5

I prefer COD. Whenever possible, you should list the adjectives in alphabetical order.

I always heard it was CDO, but you're right, you can subcategorize into parts of speech. A whole new dimension. Gonna have to work on that one.

All this partying has tuckered me out. Nytol

Pleased to see all the rockers in attendance tonight, but now, for something completely different:

YouTube - YOU WERE LOVED - Whitney Houston

More durability or more goods? [pick one]

just got back and found that Nora Ephron has left us...
...
before I get to my 2 (count 'em) Nora stories let me begin the night with
a washed-up celeb sighting...
I popped into Barnes and Noble at 83rd / B'way to peruse the tech section
and lo and behold Jimmy Walker was doing a book reading/signing... (not the Jimmy Walker,
former mayor of NYC... but the DYN-NO_MITE Jimmy Walker)...
didn't catch too much his spiel but that man has a huge nose with nostrils like a horse Duke Point

aww I wanted more durable goods Sad

I trust people picked up this article from naked capitalism yesterday..

http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2012/06/philip-pilkington-neoclassical-economics-and-the-foreclosing-of-dissent-the-inner-death-of-a-social-science.html

Its about the closing of the minds - including our dear CR's - to other highly ok ways to look at "economics" - mine happens to be sort of Labour Theory of capital .. but Steve Keen's endogenous theory of money appeals too

Meantime, a quote from that article :

in economics these were characterised by what are called in the US the ‘freshwater school’ and the ‘saltwater school’, which translates to: ‘hardcore neoclassicals’ and ‘not-so hardcore neoclassicals’ – but between these schools there seemed to be a sort of solidarity that I hadn’t really encountered in other social science disciplines. I’m not the only one who thinks so. Leading neoclassical Greg Mankiw wrote the following:

What IS crap is the so-called debate between salt-water and fresh-water economists. Its like Democrats v Republican innit ?

Economists they may be.. Scientists ? Mathematicians ? New Keyboard

Anyone can search YouTube. What about songs with rock and/or roll in their lyrics but not the title?

YouTube - Dire Straits - Sultans Of Swing (Live)

Student Loan Deal Reached, Senate Leaders Say

1] including a change in how companies compute the money they must set aside to fund their pensions. The change would make their contributions more consistent year to year and in effect lower them

2] fees that companies pay to have their pensions insured by the quasi-government Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. would rise to reflect increases in inflation.

3] limit federal subsidies for Stafford loans for undergraduates to six years


all this so that a student can save 1000 over the lifetime of a loan?

Whiskey wrote:

Dude, let's stimulate this economy with another 8-ball.

YouTube - George Carlin On Drugs And Marijuana

On a referral to that link that touches on an observation that I have been mulling for some time. WRT alcohol, I have anecdotally noticed that post bender, I often have "moments of clarity", where I come up with some of my best stuff, or an epiphany, if you will. My pondering is that if my frenzied brilliance is real, or if my perception of the mundane has been altered. Anyone know of any psych studies of the preponderance of brilliant authors being juicers vs. liquor being the lube for that very brilliance?

Tarrantino made a reference to the effect in Pulp Fiction, and I just wonder if it is real or imagined.

Easy. And I'll pull another one from the same country, albeit another decade:

YouTube - The Easybeats - Gonna Have A Good Time

RATM wrote:

Euro summit all the countries start throwing f at each other.

fist? Smile

REBear wrote:

all this so that a student can save 1000 over the lifetime of a loan?

It's always for the children. Even if it's only for a year.

:7iron: Kick Me

REBear wrote:

all this so that a student can save 1000 over the lifetime of a loan?

That might be the STATED purpose...

If you are not in the profession, it is academic to you.

It is personal to us. Careers have been altered, people are not employed, real harm has been done by people over these distinctions.

You talk about it like it is some version of "just politics", but in this case it is so much more.

Entire careers can be considered wasted by this depression.

A lot of years of research has been turned to rubble, and people are mad and angry.

Why don't I have a PhD? Because I publicly doubted some of the very tenets of freshwater economics, which is poison when they have to decide who stays or goes.

Now, I am done, I have to empty the dishwasher before I unload years of anger on you.

Someday this war's gonna end...

here's something the Duke Point posted July '08 a few weeks before my first post on HaloScan (if memory serves...)
YouTube - Nora Ephron: Importance of Being Funny and Directing Comedy on Film
...
I shot that using my patented Crotch-Cam **(tm) ... under the fascist nose of Steve Jobs...
...
**Nora RIP !!!!

Bubblisimo Gerkinov wrote:

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

"Let the Good Times Roll" [Blues]

YouTube - The Cars- Let The Good Times Roll Lyrics

I think we've hit Mornington Crescent with that..

Mornington Crescent (game) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

.The apparent[1] aim is to be the first to announce "Mornington Crescent", a station on the Northern Line. Interspersed with the turns is humorous discussion amongst the panellists and host regarding the rules and legality of each move, as well as the strategy the panellists are using. Despite appearances, however, there are no rules to the game,[2] and both the naming of stations and the specification of "rules" are based on stream-of-consciousness association and improvisation.[3] Thus the game is intentionally incomprehensible.

RATM wrote:

Was all that Merkel tough talk to make her coming concession look good?

I heard a rumor that at this Euro summit all the countries start throwing f Ticking time bomb at each other. Luuuuuu-Ceeeeee, you got some splainin to do!

The whole thing is to protect the German banks. !st Ireland's government got stuck holding the bag for German bankers & their hot money, now she's trying to stick it to Spain by forcing Madrid to issue paper to cover the debt. Looks like it's not going to work.

Angela's got 2 choices:
A: Destroy Germany for a decade by leaving the Euro and keeping her Chancellorship
B: Admit she's gotten as much as she can get this go around, start the beginnings of a political, fiscal and transfer union, let the ECB turn on the spigot & lose the Chancellorship or form a grand coalition government and maybe keep her gig.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

If you are not in the profession, it is academic to you.

It is personal to us. Careers have been altered, people are not employed, real harm has been done by people over these distinctions.

You talk about it like it is some version of "just politics", but in this case it is so much more.

Entire careers can be considered wasted by this depression.

A lot of years of research has been turned to rubble, and people are mad and angry.

Why don't I have a PhD? Because I publicly doubted some of the very tenets of freshwater economics, which is poison when they have to decide who stays or goes.

Now, I am done, I have to empty the dishwasher before I unload years of anger on you.

Whoah,. unload away ( not the dishwasher.. on me.. ) I'm listening.

skk wrote:

I think we've hit Mornington Crescent with that..

That seems like an overly complex definition of Calvinball.

an insaner world: the unofficial official rules of calvinball

I say Kartoffel, you say patata. Let's call the whole thing off.

skk wrote:

Whoah,. unload away ( not the dishwasher.. on me.. ) I'm listening.

Hard truths. Economics is no more science than astrology is astronomy.

Excellent link and article, skk. The phenomenon is active in other disciplines as well.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Why don't I have a PhD? Because I publicly doubted some of the very tenets of freshwater economics, which is poison when they have to decide who stays or goes.

Which one is the part where Greenspan's Fed would not hire any clown who doubted his "flawed" ideology?

Blackhalo wrote:

Tarrantino made a reference to the effect in Pulp Fiction, and I just wonder if it is real or imagined.

having observed brilliant and certified genius young friends travel this road, it ends in tragedy at its worst or with clarity something like Michael Douglas imagined with his mild experimentation in Wonder Boys, at its best.

Run from this idea, it is without doubt part of movie fiction. The true billiance I've seen in life has been in stone cold sober people.

Mornington Crescent FTW!!!!11!!1!

The true billiance I've seen in life has been in stone cold sober people.

---easy for you to say

Suit yourself

tg wrote:

Central banks hold 30% of global GDP | Business | The Guardian

There's SO much wrong with that statement. Steve

arthur_dent wrote:

Run from this idea, it is without doubt part of movie fiction. The true billiance I've seen in life has been in stone cold sober people.

Your music collection might disagree.

Blackhalo wrote:

That seems like an overly complex definition of Calvinball.

an insaner world: the unofficial official rules of calvinball

nice.. absolutely.

HomeGnome wrote:

The true billiance I've seen in life has been in stone cold sober people.
---easy for you to say

How about "The true brilliance I've seen in life has been in stone cold sober gnomes."?

arthur_dent wrote:

The true billiance I've seen in life has been in stone cold sober people.

Captain Beefheart was apparently always sober. So I'll give you him. But an awful lot of dipsos made some great music and other art.

Whiskey wrote:

Your music collection might disagree.

more than likely any brilliance created by artists is done in spite of rather than the product of mind altering drugs, many who destroy themselves in the process.

I wonder, Arthur. Even Callas died of an overdose.

TJ and The Bear wrote:

How about "The true brilliance I've seen in life has been in stone cold sober gnomes."?

YouTube - Grateful Dead - Whiskey In The Jar

To what point? The old guys who got their PhD's in the 60s at the feet of Uncle Milton are not going to change their ways, they have tenure, a cushy extra at the Cato, nice money from Koch washed through bogus "institutes"- and you think in your engineer way you can fight that much inertia?

Progress will come through funerals.

Look at the Nobel Prize winning &^() Edward Prescott- he gets the Nobel Prize for essentially asserting Ricardian equivalence - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia  in central bank setting policy. Edward C. Prescott - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

He is a total Cato moron. Feted at ASU, where they allow him to warp yet another generation with fatuous crap.

Yet, hey, he won a Nobel Prize too!

This stuff just pisses me off. Hey, he loves austerity! He believes totally in his own mathematical models~ just don't really try and use them! He advises Federal Reserve high and mighties!

Meh, whatever, it just doesn't matter.

Keynes won, again. Now we bury the old fools who made careers arguing otherwise.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Are you sure about that? What if it represents a stable equilibrium of wealth equality, sustained productivity growth, and lower birth rates? Making people do the work of two people, feeding them crap, and not letting them raise families that maintain population levels seems less sustainable to me.

I will go one step farther. Not only is most work and most workers unnecessary - they are so unproductive organizations would be better off letting them have more vacation. A lot more.

The problem is we need them to keep consuming and without them showing up for their pay check their is no way they can do that. For the most part machines do the work and people just get in the way. Even in offices.

arthur_dent wrote:

The true billiance I've seen in life has been in stone cold sober people.

But that is the part of the effect that perplexes me. I only notice it as an after-effect while, at the time, stone, cold, sober. Drunk, I'm an idiot like anyone else, I suspect. After, I do freaking brilliant work. Illusion of perception, or functional side-effect? Side note: I do not consider myself an alcoholic as I have no cravings to use the substance outside of intermittent occasions. Plus beer (my preferred vice) tends to make me fat. Now tobacco, on the other hand, that. I am addicted to, and can recognize that for what it is.

Meh, the human condition. Such an ancient story, and it's vices too. I sure would like to see a less puritanical approach to it's study. Probably hard to get funding for that though.

It was pretty well known in the profession, and part of the reason why Alan Blinder - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia left the federal reserve board as vice chair.

Orthodoxy at the fed is strictly tied to a paycheck.

Someday this war's gonna end...

arthur_dent wrote:

The true billiance I've seen in life has been in stone cold sober people.

most great screenplays of the late 60s and 70s were written on coke...
please... drugs and booze can be a great liberator... think Lenny Bruce

arthur_dent wrote:

more than likely any brilliance created by artists is done in spite of rather than the product of mind altering drugs, many who destroy themselves in the process.

I think it's fair to say that the entire Philip K. Dick oeuvre is the inspired product of mind altering substances. I became disoriented just reading Three Stigmata of Palmer Aldritch.

ex-Duke of Con Dao wrote:

think Lenny Bruce

Or Station to Station and Tusk.

Progress will come through funerals.

I think that is why they party at funerals in New Orleans. More Kingfisher logic for your Allen.

Whiskey wrote:

Or Station to Station and Tusk.

oh God, with rock n roll where do we end... ?
Tusk? is that a Snark ?

ex-Duke of Con Dao wrote:

Tusk? is that a Snark ?

No.

This is the ultimate cocaine album -- it's mellow for long stretches, and then bursts wide open in manic, frantic explosions, such as the mounting tension on "The Ledge" or the rampaging "That's Enough for Me," or the marching band-driven paranoia of the title track, all of which are relieved by smooth, reflective work from all three songwriters. While McVie and Nicks contribute some excellent songs, Buckingham owns this record with his nervous energy and obsessive production, winding up with a fussily detailed yet wildly messy record unlike any other. This is mainstream madness, crazier than Buckingham's idol Brian Wilson and weirder than any number of cult classics. Of course, that's why it bombed upon its original release, but Tusk is a bracing, weirdly affecting work that may not be as universal or immediate as Rumours, but is every bit as classic. As a piece of pop art, it's peerless.

Tusk - Fleetwood Mac : Songs, Reviews, Credits, Awards : AllMusic

Orthodoxy at the fed is strictly tied to a paycheck.

I am so glad I didn't formally study Econ and make it a career choice (took under grad classes only) ... my father did and suggested I do engineering instead - more open minded. Considering how closed minded he thought most engineers were that says a lot.

Is caffeine a mind altering substance? In many ways, it is the drug du jour for the modern, stressed-out America, and most office drones couldn't function without it.

HomeGnome wrote:

YouTube - Sex Pistols - Problems

WTF do you know about Punk, punk?

OT, but a nicely framed argument on the GOP and access to healthcare...is it a right, or a privilege? The GOP clearly believes it's a privilege, but since McCain blurted that out, the GOP has simply remained silent while trying to kill Obamacare. The Republican idea may be Darwinian...simply let the uniinsured die off, culling the herd of the unemployable, or the chronically ill. If Obamacare is struck down, the GOP has no plans to replace it.

Health Care As a Privilege: What the GOP Won’t Admit -- Daily Intel

Citizen AllenM wrote:

and part of the reason why Alan Blinder - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia left the federal reserve board as vice chair.

He of the "Cash for Clunkers" program ?! - so sez the wiki..

Blinder was an early advocate of a "Cash for Clunkers" program, in which the government buys some of the oldest, most-polluting vehicles and scraps them. In July 2008, he wrote an article in The New York Times advocating such a program,[13] which was implemented by the Obama administration during the summer of 2009.[14] Blinder asserted it could stimulate the economy, benefit the environment, and reduce income inequality.

I'd rather he'd advocated digging 4000 holes in Blackburn Lancashire, only to be filled up again..

YouTube - The Beatles A Day In The Life (2009 Stereo Remaster) 

Pick it up at 3:15.

Still why did he leave the FRB again ? cos they wdn't listen to him ?

fried wrote:

simply let the uniinsured die off

That is impossible, they are the pro life party.

The really funny part is how many people here think I am typical for the profession.

I am a total outlier, and now talk to very few people in the profession because I am soooo radical.

I let it all hang out here, because I feel free enough to really say what I want. At work, no way.

I do my job very professionally there, and just keep macro out of the way.

Publish or perish, I choose perish.

Now, we see once again, the folly in man, the fools in politics, and the suffering of the people.

Someday this war's gonna end...

looks like Rep. Charlie Rangel is going to win again...
tough to beat a crook!
here's something I tossed together in '09...
not sure EXACTLY my message outside of Rangel being a Pigged
YouTube - Rep Charlie Rangel Defends Sleazy Harlem Reign on Capitol Hill (cameo Michael Douglas)
...

The most prolific mathematician of all time was so because he popped speed like Tic Tacs.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Erd%C5%91s

Is caffeine a mind altering substance? In many ways, it is the drug du jour for the modern, stressed-out America, and most office drones couldn't function without it.

Well look at it this way - Europeans discovered caffeine somewhere around 1400 when trading with Arabs. Look at Europe / European influence good and bad before and after addition of caffiene.

Coincidence is not causation however.

dryfly wrote:

Coincidence is not causation however.

The place was nuts long before then, when everyone was high on mead.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Economics is no more science than astrology is astronomy.

Woah there. Don't throw out the baby with the bathwater. Econ, has just been co-opted by the well connected to further their interests just like every other field. That does not mean that empirical study and the scientific method have no place in finance.

Erdos, Cayley, and Euler produced more voluminous work. That's not to say their work was as important as Gauss'.

That is impossible, they are the pro life party.

Well, they despise Darwin too, but culling the sick and the unemployed seems to be the plan. If they can't make themselves economically useful, they gotta shuffle off. Compassion is so over.

Whiskey wrote:

I think it's fair to say that the entire Philip K. Dick oeuvre is the inspired product of mind altering substances.

You say that like it's a bad thing.

Lewis Carroll
Edgar Allan Poe
Dash Hammett
Ernest Hemingway
Hunter Thompson

Feckless Ness wrote:

Hunter Thompson

F. Scott and Faulkner?
Truman and Tennessee...
Dorothy Parker and Robert Benchley

Feckless Ness wrote:

Ernest Hemingway

This is the one most lends credence to the concept of brain lube for me.

Hey Allen M,
What do you think of anna Schwartz' work? She died this week, and was a neighbor and friendly acquaintance. I knew her to chat with occasionally, walking in and out of the building.

Anna Schwartz, Economist Who Worked With Friedman, Dies at 96 - NY Times

fried wrote:

they gotta shuffle off.

Nice. I wonder if Will hit the sauce?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I let it all hang out here, because I feel free enough to really say what I want. At work, no way.

New Keyboard

Join the club mate !

A rare moment of Duke Point for me, i'm very closely related to Euler.

Blackhalo wrote:

This is the one most lends credence to the concept of brain lube for me.

John Barrymore.

The place was nuts long before then, when everyone was high on mead.

You miss the point.

People can be crazy on mead - beat their wife and kids while living in mud huts. It takes caffeinated nuts to do it on a global scale for four or five centuries enslaving most of the rest of the world (either actually or culturally).

If that doesn't help you - replace the coffee at the office with mead tomorrow and observe. Could those people colonize the planet in shockingly short period of time?

fried wrote:

What do you think of anna Schwartz' work

the sex orgies she arranged? wunderbar!

Feckless Ness wrote:

Largest...so far.

That was the subject of discussion, in a round-about way, this morning on Bloomie (or as Gloomie as they self referenced). That the default would trigger higher rates and more (and larger) defaults. But the whole discussion was surreal. The were all talking in code and subtext with the overall, overt tone crazy positive. I wonder how much of it has to do with the Econ profession unwilling to challenge the Fed policy of Newspeak

"Darmok and Jalad at Tanagra"

Darmok - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Steinhardt says hysteria on Europe unwarranted
| Reuters

Steinhardt said he is "more long than short" in equity markets and is still betting against short-term Treasuries.

"I am still short two-year Treasuries," he said, adding: "It has not worked out."

Funny. Western Civ instructor placed it at Vienna, a cultural accident of the siege.

Wonder if that's even possible.

Feckless Ness wrote:

Nora Ephron obituary: Writer of sharp-edged romances was 71 - latimes.com

hey... Feckless... see above comments... I posted some footage I shot of her 4 years ago talking about Comedy...
YouTube - Nora Ephron: Importance of Being Funny and Directing Comedy on Film

dryfly wrote:

It takes caffeinated nuts to do it on a global scale for four or five centuries enslaving most of the rest of the world (either actually or culturally).

But the Brits--the people who really DID do it on a global scale--weren't all that big on coffee. They favor(ed) tea which has less of a buzz.

Whiskey wrote:

The most prolific mathematician of all time was so because he popped speed like Tic Tacs.

was this self diagnosed as cause and effect by Erdos, or a competent doctor, or is it urban legend. Amphetamines in people with normal body chemistry are addictive and requires ever larger amounts leading ultimately to major physical and psychological problems. With chronic use withdrawal symptoms are severe and can take months to end. In people with abnormal body chemistry it can actually act as a depressant rather than a stimulant.

Oh, somewhere in this favoured land the sun is shining bright,
The band is playing somewhere, and somewhere hearts are light;
And somewhere men are laughing, and somewhere children shout,
But there is no money in Mudville—mighty Stockton has run out.

But the Brits--the people who really DID do it on a global scale--weren't all that big on coffee. They favor(ed) tea which has less of a buzz.

Strong Brittish tea (curl your teeth) has plenty of it and they drink lots of it. With sugar too. No shortage of buzz there either.

flaminia wrote:

weren't all that big on coffee.

They were big on coffee. The Bank of England was founded in a coffee house. But all the coffee plants died, so they started growing tea instead.
History of Coffee Part III - Colonisation of Coffee | Galla Coffee

The British did not seriously compete in the coffee race until 1796, when they took control of Sri Lanka from the Dutch. With the arrival of the British, even more land was cleared for coffee plantations. So much so, that the relatively small island of Sri Lanka briefly became the world's largest coffee producer in the 1860s. However, in 1869, a lethal fungus known as coffee rust arrived on the island. This fungus causes premature defoliation of a coffee plant, seriously weakening its structure and reducing its yield of berries. Since rust was not considered to be a serious disease, the British continued to clear more land for coffee plantations during the next decade. It was not until 1879 that they realised the seriousness of the situation. Unfortunately by then it was too late: the productivity of the plants had declined so greatly that they were no longer economically viable.

Luckily for the British, a successful marketing campaign led by the British East India Company for tea entitled "the cup that cheers", back in the early 18th Century, had laid the foundations for tea to become the British national drink. Between 1700 and 1757 the average annual tea imports into Britain more than quadrupled and consumption continued to grow steadily for the rest of the century. So when coffee rust devastated the coffee plantations of Sri Lanka, and later India, production simply switched and the coffee plants were uprooted and replanted with tea. Although Britain continued to cultivate coffee on a limited amount of colonial land, mostly in Jamaica, Uganda and Kenya, by the end of the 19th Century tea had surpassed coffee as the beverage of choice.

arthur_dent wrote:

was this self diagnosed as cause and effect by Erdos, or a competent doctor, or is it urban legend.

Urban legend, but he had so many collaborators that your chances of meeting someone with a good Erdos story were always high. Like, for instance, his habit of showing up in grad student offices at 2 AM, or the time he gave up speed for a month on a bet..

She was Milton Friedman's partner in crime.

Freshwater to the core. Can't even admit Fisher was right about debt deflation.

The real problem is they tied Keynes to the welfare state, and have beat him like a drum.

The really funny part was that they thought they had really won, and went too far in 2001. That was the beginning of the end. The economic response to 9/11 was appalling.

And now we all pay, in suffering and unemployment.

Now we sit here and debate austerity, making all the mistakes of the last century yet again.

Someday this war's gonna end...

dr munch wrote:

Go Betweens

Who certainly didn't do their best work in sobriety either. Though perhaps a little more sobriety would still have Grant McLennan here today.

dryfly wrote:

Could those people colonize the planet in shockingly short period of time?

The only thing those people can colonize is the break room, and half of them are on anti-depressants. Too many things happened in Europe circa 1400 for me to ascribe European imperialism to caffeine.

TruthInSunshine
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Meredith Whitney wasn't wrong, just premature.

Anticipation...

Thanks Rajesh. That was interesting.

LetThemEatRand
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Whitney was only premature because of the massive money printing.

Jackdawracy wrote:

A rare moment of Duke Point for me, i'm very closely related to Euler.

It's late, and I'm too tired to construct an Euler characteristic joke. Good night, everyone. See ya in rehab.

TruthInSunshine
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Stockton now, many to follow.

The war between the last bastion and Alamo of unions, i.e. government employees, and taxpayers, is only beginning to heat up.

Taxpayers can't afford the present level of inefficiency, redundancy and bloat currently being served up by their local, unionized, government job banks, and are being bled dry.

Gee, I wonder what the outcome will be?

Fireworks will last well past the 4th of July.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Now we sit here and debate austerity, making all the mistakes of the last century yet again.

I'm pretty sure the Republican want to repeat the mistakes of the fourteenth century, instead.

new homer8043
So Stockton holds the record for how long until Detroit goes under?
new Conman
But Obama says he saved detroit.

Laughing out loud

Jackdawracy wrote:

A rare moment of Duke Point for me, i'm very closely related to Euler.

We've struck oil, mates! (A little pronunciation joke. Very little.)

The real problem is they tied Keynes to the welfare state, and have beat him like a drum.

It was easy to do - stick to beat them with was handed to them. The people who seem to understand the least about Keynes often describe themselves as Keynsians. At least nowadays.

I think we're awfully hard on the gifted, especially when they're not yet grown or haven't been given the 'blessing' of recognition - had someone locally 'famous' guarantee their worth.

It's no mystery to me that a working class youth - particularly one possessed of a genuine gift - might crawl into a bottle or medicine cabinet.

flaminia wrote:

But the Brits--the people who really DID do it on a global scale--weren't all that big on coffee. They favor(ed) tea which has less of a buzz.

hang on a minute.. - maybe I should hang on.. looks like you are right..

first it was ale..

I went from thence, and in my way went into an alehouse and drank my morning draft with Matthew Andrews

Here's the long list of references of starting the day with a "pint" ( no not milk ) 1660s

Morning draught (Pepys' Diary)

He saw and participated the change among the toffs to. Early Brit mercantile capitalism was practiced in coffee -houses - but seems they drank TEA - sheesh...

Before it became Britain's number one drink, China tea was introduced in the coffeehouses of London shortly before the Stuart Restoration (1660); about that time Thomas Garraway, a coffeehouse owner in London, had to explain the new beverage in pamphlet and an advertisement in Mercurius Politicus for 30 September 1658 offered "That Excellent, and by all Physicians approved, China drink, called by the Chinese, Tcha, by other nations Tay alias Tee, ...sold at the Sultaness-head, ye Cophee-house in Sweetings-Rents, by the Royal Exchange, London". [2] In London "Coffee, chocolate and a kind of drink called tee" were "sold in almost every street in 1659", according to Thomas Rugge's Diurnall.[3] Tea was mainly consumed by the fashionably rich: Samuel Pepys, curious for every novelty, tasted the new drink in 1660: [25 September] "I did send for a cup of tee, (a China drink) of which I had never had drunk before".

Bloody shameless retailers - a coffeehouse serving TEA ? - o wait - what's that I see at Burnt Swill - er - Starbucks Coffee ( they are opening a tea only store. shameless lot.. -

Starbucks Corp. (SBUX), the world’s largest coffee-shop operator, will open its first tea-only store in October under the Tazo brand.

The shop will sell more than 80 varieties of loose-leaf tea,

Imagine if there were no more coffee. Life as we know it would stop.

edit: for a while anyways

km4 wrote:

The war between the last bastion and Alamo of unions, i.e. government employees, and taxpayers, is only beginning to heat up.

Come on, we can read ZH, but I do appreciate the removal of "bitchzes" from the lines. Wink

Hey I posted 3 links on Stockton Bankruptcy i.e BBC, SF Chronicle and ZH bitchzes

Laughing out loud

loub215
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what's that blond analysts name? early butright?

Wink

America going cold turkey on anti depressants would be interesting to watch, if not a little frightening.

Comrade Canadien avec popcorn wrote:

Imagine if there were no more coffee. Life as we know it would stop.

That is by far the doomiest thing I have ever read on this board.

At least Poona Coffee House stuck with its principles ( and the archaic name - no Pune for them no siree - ( cue iambroke to correct me ) -

Many in Pune still remember Suresh Kalmadi as a young man in his early 30s sitting at the cash counter of Poona Coffee House — a meeting point for established as well as aspiring politicians.
...a meeting place for politicians who would discuss and strategise Maharashtra politics over coffee. The place was soon replaced by Poona Coffee House which became a central meeting point for established as well as aspiring politicians,” says a politician associated with Suresh Kalmadi since his early years and who describes him as an aggressive and ambitious young man during those days.

I remember it - sort of - during the Emergency times.

Comrade Canadien avec popcorn wrote:

Imagine if there were no more coffee.

OK ... enough.

Can we discuss something less horrible like impending resource wars or Snark assassinations?

Bubblisimo Gerkinov wrote:

Can we discuss something less horrible

L-Theanine with Caffeine, underrated nootropic - Brain Health - LONGECITY

L-Theanine synergics effects with Caffeine.
The non-proteinic amino acid L-theanine and caffeine, a methylxanthine derivative, are naturally occurring ingredients in tea. The present study investigated the effect of a combination of 97 mg L-theanine and 40 mg caffeine as compared to placebo treatment on cognitive performance, alertness, blood pressure, and heart rate in a sample of young adults (n = 44). Cognitive performance, self-reported mood, blood pressure, and heart rate were measured before L-theanine and caffeine administration (i.e. at baseline) and 20 min and 70 min thereafter. The combination of moderate levels of L-theanine and caffeine significantly improved accuracy during task switching and self-reported alertness (both P < 0.01) and reduced self-reported tiredness (P < 0.05). There were no significant effects on other cognitive tasks, such as visual search, choice reaction times, or mental rotation. The present results suggest that 97 mg of L-theanine in combination with 40 mg of caffeine helps to focus attention during a demanding cognitive task. [4]

L-Theanine is an amino acid found naturally in tea. Despite the common consumption of L-theanine, predominantly in combination with caffeine in the form of tea, only one study to date has examined the cognitive effects of this substance alone, and none have examined its effects when combined with caffeine. The present randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind, balanced crossover study investigated the acute cognitive and mood effects of L-theanine (250 mg), and caffeine (150 mg), in isolation and in combination. Salivary caffeine levels were co-monitored. L-Theanine increased 'headache' ratings and decreased correct serial seven subtractions. Caffeine led to faster digit vigilance reaction time, improved Rapid Visual Information Processing (RVIP) accuracy and attenuated increases in self-reported 'mental fatigue'. In addition to improving RVIP accuracy and 'mental fatigue' ratings, the combination also led to faster simple reaction time, faster numeric working memory reaction time and improved sentence verification accuracy. 'Headache' and 'tired' ratings were reduced and 'alert' ratings increased. There was also a significant positive caffeine x L-theanine interaction on delayed word recognition reaction time. These results suggest that beverages containing L-theanine and caffeine may have a different pharmacological profile to those containing caffeine alone. [5]

The aim of this study was to compare 50 mg caffeine, with and without 100 mg L-theanine, on cognition and mood in healthy volunteers. The effects of these treatments on word recognition, rapid visual information processing, critical flicker fusion threshold, attention switching and mood were compared to placebo in 27 participants. Performance was measured at baseline and again 60 min and 90 min after each treatment (separated by a 7-day washout). Caffeine improved subjective alertness at 60 min and accuracy on the attention-switching task at 90 min. The L-theanine and caffeine combination improved both speed and accuracy of performance of the attention-switching task at 60 min, and reduced susceptibility to distracting information in the memory task at both 60 min and 90 min. These results replicate previous evidence which suggests that L-theanine and caffeine in combination are beneficial for improving performance on cognitively demanding tasks. [6]

JP wrote:

That is by far the doomiest thing I have ever read on this board.

How much would you pay for a cup of coffee? How much for a can of grounds?

Is that the common element, then? We're all of us coffee hounds?

tsuki
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Ship all the jobs overseas, lower interest rates to promote homeownership, have the populace draw out the equity of the house to live in lieu of wages. What can go wrong?

Laughing out loud

km4 wrote:

Taxpayers can't afford the present level of inefficiency, redundancy and bloat currently being served up by their local, unionized, government job banks, and are being bled dry.

Barfly bait. Whatever happened to that guy?

Comrade Canadien avec popcorn wrote:

Imagine if there were no more coffee. Life as we know it would stop.

Go long chocolate.

burnside wrote:

Is that the common element, then? We're all of us coffee hounds?

definitely. but oddly I'm an instant coffee man.. must be the ads.. ( note same ad as the US but Brit accents and brand name change to Tasters Choice)..

YouTube - Classic advertising from the past - Nescafe Gold Blend (New York Flight episode)

burnside wrote:

Is that the common element, then? We're all of us coffee hounds?

No fewer than three porkoglyphs. Burnt Swill - er - Starbucks Coffee Swill - er- Dunkin Donuts Coffee Lets take a coffee break

adr
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48% of the recently passed levy in my town goes to pay for government retiree benefits. Five years from now 65% of the money will go to pay for pensions. Hmmmm.

Still, people voted to pass it. I voted against it, but now an extra $40 a month goes out of my paycheck to the city. The backers of the levy claimed it needed to pass to keep firefighters and police. We have 28 squad cars and the tallest building is 8 stories, that is a section 8 building not even owned by my city, let that burn. Our school system can't hire new teachers until a pensioner dies, thanks to the average pension package worth $90k.

Four cops, one fire engine, is all we need. My neighbors would rather take care of the local burglar ourselves, the cops haven't done shit. If it's some punk 16 yr old kid, I'll have no problem blowing his guts allover the sidewalk. His friends probably won't think it's cool anymore. If it's trash from the ghetto, bring the war, we're ready.

km4 wrote:

If it's some punk 16 yr old kid, I'll have no problem blowing his guts allover the sidewalk. His friends probably won't think it's cool anymore. If it's trash from the ghetto, bring the war, we're ready.

drinking is cool

The only thing those people can colonize is the break room, and half of them are on anti-depressants. Too many things happened in Europe circa 1400 for me to ascribe European imperialism to caffeine.

I am not saying it was all of it. I think it is a part. Caffiene is a very powerful pyschotropic drug. One of the very best stimulants because it doesn't have a lot of serious psychotic side effects (like speed) yet really powers the mind and body beyond what it wants to do. And it didn't just do it to Europeans - Arabs had a pretty nice run 7th century on to recent times. They didn't always have coffee available to them - some time around 6th 7th century.

Cocaine had similar effects and also powered a civilization (Inca) - they didn't purify it so didn't have all the nasty side effects you see with modern coke abuse.

Stimulants seems to be coupled with civilization pretty tightly. Again correlation is no proof of causation.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Four: Lets break for coffee

Big smile

Nice.

km4 wrote:

I'll have no problem blowing his guts allover the sidewalk

YouTube - The Kinks - Have a Cuppa Tea, 1972

hmmm... the L-Theanine study is interesting, especially for an overwhelmed and understudied bar examinee.

dryfly wrote:

Stimulants seems to be coupled with civilization pretty tightly.

everyone want's an edge

HomeGnome wrote:

YouTube - Heart - Barracuda (1977)

I'd bet my last dollar these guys did their best work, stoned.

"Heart's first Mushroom Records single How Deep it Goes b/w Here Song (M-7008) received little attention when released in Canada in 1975. But the second single Magic Man..."

And the lyrics to the song don't matter a whit in comparison to the brilliance of it's rhythm guitar hook. Duh duh d-duh, duh d-duh duh, duh d-duh duh [silent pause] [insert any remotely cool four syllable word here you want, for a colossal hit record, but Barracuda is pretty good] bonus points for a remotely hot vocalist.

"a reporter suggested, backstage after a live appearance, that the sisters were sex partners, the infuriated Ann returned to her hotel room and began writing the lyrics to "Barracuda" to relieve her frustration."

"In 1995 Nancy decided to take a break from music to concentrate on raising a family with husband Cameron Crowe."

Wait what? Mr Almost Famous? That is mega meta.

F'n Penny Lane is right up there on the list with Roller Girl...

Flash mobs of teen thugs in Philly, Chicago, etc. A few need to get shot in the head to discourage that behavior.

dr munch wrote:

A few need to get shot in the head to discourage that behavior.

That's nice

Comrade Canadien avec popcorn wrote:

How much would you pay for a cup of coffee? How much for a can of grounds?

That information is highly proprietary, mainly because I don't want the coffee providers knowing my number.

you'd rather get assaulted by 20 youths for walking home after work?

Just when you thought the Loan Star State couldn't be any more draconian than it already is...

Harsh Punishment for Misbehavior in Texas Schools | PBS NewsHour | June 26, 2012 | PBS

As the zero tolerance movement grew, many Texas school districts began creating their own police departments. And the state soon expanded the types of behavior punishable by misdemeanor tickets and made a pivotal legal decision in terms of where the cases would be heard.

These types of cases have included a 13-year-old special-needs student ticketed for disruption of class by singing the ABC song too loudly, a high school student ticketed for throwing paper airplanes in class, and a middle school girl ticketed for spraying herself with perfume.

hmmm... the L-Theanine study is interesting, especially for an overwhelmed and understudied bar examinee.

Lesson - alternate coffee and tea - why take chances.

sm_landlord wrote:

Ehhh, just an extremely sweet deal that happens to be unsustainable.

Utter "pay-me motherfucker" rent-seeker bullshit.

Our GDP is $50,000 per man, woman, and child in this country.

Graph: Gross Domestic Product, 1 Decimal (GDP)*1000000/Total Population: All Ages including Armed Forces Overseas (POP) - FRED - St. Louis Fed

We have a distribution problem not a productivity problem.

How much per-capita GDP does an economy require to be "sustainable"?

dr munch wrote:

you'd rather get assaulted by 20 youths for walking home after work?

is it mad max where you live?

dr munch wrote:

you'd rather get assaulted by 20 youths for walking home after work?

false dichotomies anyone ?

A List Of Fallacious Arguments 

Gosh I haven't linked to that for bloody ages.. HCN must have improved..

Whiskey wrote:

The only thing those people can colonize is the break room, and half of them are on anti-depressants.

OK. Which alkie author/comedian did you crib that from?

Rickkk wrote:

"Home prices rose in nearly all major U.S. cities in April from March, further evidence that the housing market is slowly improving even while the job market slumps."

No one 17 and under admitted Familyblogfamilyblogfamilyblog No one 17 and under admitted bull Familyblogfamilyblogfamilyblog

Do we consider higher energy prices an "improving" market?

System is rotten to the core.

About Keynes. The comment which inevitably follows any abbreviated exposition on JMK is that building reserves in times of plenty is a political non-starter. As if he should have found some alternative rather than proposing what was wanted.

Have any theorists shown a model which takes into account a complete lack of fiscal/monetary discipline?

Comrade Troyski wrote:

We have a distribution problem not a productivity problem.

Evenly redistribute and you'll soon have a productivity problem.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

How much per-capita GDP does an economy require to be "sustainable"?

There's no such thing as sustainability ... only growth.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

How much per-capita GDP does an economy require to be "sustainable"?

Can you fix that chart for real GDP. Cause then I think then, you have a real point.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

Do we consider higher energy prices an "improving" market?

Trying to make sense of it will only land you in a psych ward on heavy meds.

Look ahead

After Rio, we know. Governments have given up on the planet | George Monbiot | Comment is free | The Guardian
The post-summit pledge was an admission of defeat against consumer capitalism. But we can still salvage the natural world

Sick

km4 wrote:

But we can still salvage the natural world

Maybe not...

Guy McPherson: We’re Done

TJ and The Bear wrote:

Evenly redistribute and you'll soon have a productivity problem.

Somewhere in-between is and optimally equitable balance. I for one, believe that we are on the diminishing return side of the Laffer curve.

Hell, combine firearms, Calvinism and caffeine and you've really got something.

burnside wrote:

Have any theorists shown a model which takes into account a complete lack of fiscal/monetary discipline?

To do that, they'd have to throw out every risk:reward theory.

Yes, taxes are far below optimal. That seems to be around 90% for a top rate.

About Keynes. The comment which inevitably follows any abbreviated exposition on JMK is that building reserves in times of plenty is a political non-starter. As if he should have found some alternative rather than proposing what was wanted.
Have any theorists shown a model which takes into account a complete lack of fiscal/monetary discipline?

Can't speak on the fiscal monetary discipline theory study but can say this - the alternative [austerity] is every bit the political nonstarter Keynsian 'discipline' is - as we see in Europe. People will not stave in the streets waiting for banker's finances to improve. They will eat the rich if nothing else is available.

Blackhalo wrote:

Somewhere in-between is and optimally equitable balance.

Yep. Our GINI coefficient's bordering on violent territory.

dr munch wrote:

Nope, a good area of Chicago.

Intentionally obtuse snark or just a bit dim? Looking at your other posts leaves me unsure. Gonna have to go with Occam on this one.

Exactly. So we deep-six Keynes. Small wonder it's a tender subject to dryfly and Allen.

I think that there are many possible equilibria. In South America the elites have a long history of prospering while the people starve.

dryfly wrote:

They will eat the rich if nothing else is available.

They'll tenderize'em first.

Risible.

We cut taxes, and got less gross- cf 2001 until now data.

We are on the bottom of the Laffer curve, and nobody wants to admit that one.

Especially the taxes on capital.

But hey, everyone should be enjoying the liquidation of the rentier.

I sure am, and as things get worse, they all should go and read the guy trying to keep capitalists in kibble: PIMCO | Investment Outlook - The Great Escape:Delivering in a Delevering World 

Good luck and good nite, because anyone who thinks fiddling at the edges is going to solve these problems should just take a job at the Cato Institute and get paid to be risible.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Comrade Troyski wrote:

Do we consider higher energy prices an "improving" market?

Unfortunately there is a correlation ... yes.

FRED Graph - FRED - St. Louis Fed

blue is real GDP per capita

red is systemic debt / nominal GDP

1955-1980 is an interesting course for the debt leverage, as is the 1990s.

1960-1980 and 1990-2000 were the "organic" growth periods, accomplished without increasing debt leverage.

I do wonder if leverage curve is going to staircase upwards again. It wouldn't surprise me, but it's going to cause some TPer Pitchforks and Torches Rant My Head Just Exploded (rightfully so, LOL)

burnside wrote:

Have any theorists shown a model which takes into account a complete lack of fiscal/monetary discipline?

Now that you mention it, this isn't the first time the majority has been fleeced for the benefit of the few. It's happened over and over. Someone must have modeled it.

Hell, combine firearms, Calvinism and caffeine and you've really got something.

Please - don't forget our ally - smallpox.

aleister perdurabo wrote:

L-Theanine synergics effects with Caffeine.

have you ever posted something under say 1000 words?
...
Beer **o'clock **

Winston wrote:

In South America the elites have a long history of prospering while the people starve.

The people there haven't known much else, as opposed to (the middle class) here...

dryfly wrote:

Stimulants seems to be coupled with civilization pretty tightly. Again correlation is no proof of causation.

Rome?
Greece?

Am I missing something obvious?

Argentina's income distribution looked like that of the U.S. in the 1890's.

burnside wrote:

Exactly. So we deep-six Keynes. Small wonder it's a tender subject to dryfly and Allen.

All hail Marx Mises .. - but until its acknowledged and Marx does so IMO - that's its all a SOCIAL thang - not a "natural" thing - that its POLITICAL economy - which puts in the realm of astrology or human interactions.. I won't touch anything that calls itself a theory.

Especially the taxes on capital.

That is probably the worst - unless it's estate taxes.

Winston wrote:

Hell, combine firearms, Calvinism and caffeine and you've really got something.

Hey! What happened to the coke, black-jack and hookers? And I am flexible on the coke and black-jack...

Winston wrote:

Argentina's income distribution looked like that of the U.S. in the 1890's.

Yeah, but this is a "what have you done for me lately" world.

Feckless Ness wrote:

It's happened over and over. Someone must have modeled it.

Probably a touchy subject for the few. Good luck funding a study. Perhaps Sweeden will step in? Or not, after that last peace prize...

TJ and The Bear wrote:

Comrade Troyski wrote:

We have a distribution problem not a productivity problem.

Evenly redistribute and you'll soon have a productivity problem.

Ah, so you want the Wal*n family to have ALL the money and everyone else to be in abject poverty.
Hah!

See "false dichotomy" above.

Winston wrote:

Yes, taxes are far below optimal. That seems to be around 90% for a top rate.

I would be pretty pleased with 50% and no deductions. I wonder if Buffet would stand for that?

That sounds more like a recipe for a good weekend than a recipe for world conquest.

This guy always comes out on top in times like these...
YouTube - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones - The Rascal King

Rome?
Greece?
Am I missing something obvious?

No you missed nothing. They didn't have a lot of stimulants.

But ancient India and China did. Tea, caffiene again. The correlation isn't perfect but it seems to be there.

TJ and The Bear wrote:

Maybe not...

Guy McPherson: We’re Done

Now that's doom

Winston wrote:

a good weekend than a recipe for world conquest.

to-may-to, to-mah-to...

steinly wrote:

Ah, so you want the Wal*n family to have ALL the money and everyone else to be in abject poverty.

Sheesh, you must be a world-class contortionist to have come up with that.

Feckless Ness wrote:

Now that you mention it, this isn't the first time the majority has been fleeced for the benefit of the few. It's happened over and over. Someone must have modeled it.

Old solution was disruptive technology - of an invading army looting the emperor's treasury: cf Alexander in Persia, Augustus in Egypt and Cortez in South America.

The majority being fleeced for the benefit of the few is the normal state of humanity.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

blue is real GDP per capita

You know what? I kinda knew you had a damn good point, and THIS chart is GOLD JERRY!

Adorno, give me a call if you want to head to guerneville tomorrow.

We look mostly at the effects of housing on life planning here, but I'd say favoring capital and exclusions in estate taxation have drawn many in middle America into an unexamined alliance with the rentier mentality.

Except for the 'unexamined' part, I include myself.

sorry...
the washed up celeb sighting tonite was of JJ Walker from Good Times!
DYN-NO-MITE! ...
guess he has a new book cause he was doing a reading at Barnes and Noble on the Upper Westside...
man has nostrils the size of a horse... Duke Point

TJ and The Bear wrote:

steinly wrote:

Ah, so you want the Wal*n family to have ALL the money and everyone else to be in abject poverty.

Sheesh, you must be a world-class contortionist to have come up with that.

Thanks, but nah, not really, you left the straight line out there for me.

It is, as you also note a few comments later, a quantitative problem - you can't have a completely flat income distribution and you can't have an extreme wealth concentration.
By first theorem of calculus there therefore exists at least one local optimum in income distribution, as measured, for example, by the gini coefficient, for some suitable measure of goodness of income distribution.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

Do we consider higher energy prices an "improving" market?

So, if the economy, and life in general is in the shitter, low energy prices tend to follow... So yeah, absent rampant speculation, "high" energy prices are probably a good thing.

The Romans knew of and used Ephedra.

- NY Times?
...
Charlie Rangel Wins Again... tells you every thing you need to know about our state of politics...

. . . but you've turned the fallacy on your own comment, steinly. Well done!

dryfly wrote:

But ancient India and China did. Tea. caffiene again. The correlation isn't perfect but it seems to be there.

Dunno about China - but India - definitely ancient gods did not drink tea - they drank अमृत Amrit ( amṛta | amrut in Marathi ) iand is often referred to in texts as nectar... soma, the drink which confers immortality upon the gods. It is related etymologically to the Greek ambrosia.

Milk was BIG - lots of references to milk.

The more raucous lot of gods drank मध् ( madh ) - now if you want to make that - a la Louis Farrakhan and say- seeee madh - mead - tole' ya - go ahead - without more analysis I ain't going there - but मध् was definitely alcoholic.

Tea was a East India Company thang to the best of my knowledge.

darn there is literature on maximizing social goodness as a function of gini coefficients and optimal transfer payments through progressive taxation - optimizing function is a pseudo-entropy

goes back decades

Winston wrote:

The majority being fleeced for the benefit of the few is the normal state of humanity.

Without question.

ex-Duke of Con Dao wrote:

sorry...
the washed up celeb sighting tonite was of JJ Walker from Good Times!
DYN-NO-MITE! ...
guess he has a new book cause he was doing a reading at Barnes and Noble on the Upper Westside...
man has nostrils the size of a horse... Duke Point

Fuck you

Tom Stone wrote:

Adorno, give me a call if you want to head to guerneville tomorrow.

I will call in the early AM.
The chaos gods are still visiting me.

steinly wrote:

on maximizing social goodness as a function of gini coefficients

It is obvious, and always true.

Comrade Canadien avec popcorn wrote:

Fuck you

what the fuck is that about, Canuck?

steinly wrote:

By first theorem of calculus there therefore exists at least one local optimum in income distribution,

Oh dear lord thank goodness there is someone else that can grasp the dual concept that the Laffer curve is not invalid, but that we are on the "raise taxes now" side of it.

Winston wrote:

The Romans knew of and used Ephedra.

ah, infused into Posca, a drink popular in the legions...
hmm

adornosghost wrote:

Adorno, give me a call if you want to head to guerneville tomorrow.

I will call in the early AM.
The chaos gods are still visiting me.

Any time after 6 is fine. And bring them with you, we'll feed them a latte' at hardcore.

ex-Duke of Con Dao wrote:

what the fuck is that about, Canuck?

cuz you're a punk, bitch

burnside wrote:

Exactly. So we deep-six Keynes. Small wonder it's a tender subject to dryfly and Allen.

It's not a tender subject to me. I always find it funny when people talk about risk reward then go to their 9-5 paycheck job everyday. They act like they are taking risk and deserve reward basd on that criteria. Under those rules almost none of you deserve even minimum wage.

Risk reward are not the only criteria we use to allocate resources - if we did what risks should our children be expected to perform for the reward of a place to sleep or food to eat.

Most people have reward because they were born into it. No other reason. The wealth they inherited OR the social benefits they inherited. They have risked nothing but reap wonderful rewards. And of those who have to take risks to get by? Most don't make it - they come up total losers. But hey it's their fault they weren't born into a rich family and were sent to Ivy.

Sweet Jesus I want to scream some days.

Comrade Canadien avec popcorn wrote:

Fuck you

dude, do you have a problem with me?
sorry I don't live in Bum Fuck Canada like you do where nothing and I mean nothing ever happens...
I pop into a bookstore to buy a book and lo and behold JJ Walker...
and yes, his nostrils were the size of a small horse... obviously, he use them well in
hooving up all that coke he did ....

dryfly wrote:

They have risked nothing but reap wonderful rewards.

You could say that about just being born first-world vs. third-world, let alone being part of the "elite".

dryfly wrote:

Most people have reward because they were born into it.

Aside from the occasional white shirt, if you are into being a cubicle serf, it is all luck and previous conditions.

dryfly wrote:

Sweet Jesus I want to scream some days.

yup

TJ and The Bear wrote:

You could say that about just being born first-world vs. third-world, let alone being part of the "elite".

http://i362.photobucket.com/albums/oo69/HereinHalifax/Breakfast.jpg

TJ and The Bear wrote:

You could say that about just being born first-world vs. third-world, let alone being part of the "elite".

that's a good point

burnside wrote:

building reserves in times of plenty is a political non-starter.

And yet grain silos got built? Saving for a rainy day is not a radically new concept. Historically, some empires grasped the business cycle and embraced it. Although all, eventually, get consumed I suspect. Glass-Steagall and all.

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