In point of fact, the State Bar’s so-called interpretation of a California law incredibly may soon prevent homeowners from hiring a lawyer to assist with a loan modification even if they want one.
Do you ever worry about compound interest on this govt. debt and the speculative attacks which are making the rounds... focusing on Europe right now...
Data is just data but there's no data on the shadow banking system threatening the global economy... much is off the balance sheets...not under SEC supervision... or in offshore jurisdictions... or proprietary... or confidential... see the big problem? (this part was to CR)
Maybe we should look to Europe for a role model on fiscal responsibility.
Yes, really.
the Estonians cut back.
Public-sector wages got a 10 percent cut. They're raising the retirement age slowly from 61 to 65 over the next 14 years.
They reduced eligibility for government health benefits instead of broadening them. They're even working on cutting the income tax.
Do you ever worry about compound interest on this govt. debt and the speculative attacks which are making the rounds... focusing on Europe right now...
Are you aware that there is no country in modern times that got out of its economic quagmire using austerity?
The only country up for debate is Denmark in 1983-1984 and Ireland a little later. However, as shown in the article, even these examples have been debunked.
The problems of 2008 are here now and greater. Derivatives still challenge the entire system at a greater level. A major under the covers audit is being done right now of some major banks for serious OTC derivative problems. Market miscreant activity allowed the break to near nothing for many financial institutions. The activity specifically is the absence of the uptick rule, which is still missing. The regulators are controlled by Washington which in turn is owned by the hedge fund and bankster's lobby.
The rescue will come in the form of QE to infinity for the entire western world's financial system.
The euro and the dollar, in that order, will be bailed out. QE will rise to infinity the longer Bernanke plays chicken with the present administration for perseverance of the private bank, the Fed, and its power.
If this opinion (and it's only one opinion) is accurate, mp & CitizenA can stop worrying... sheeesh.
"Economic theory tells us that it is precisely the fickle nature of confidence, including its dependence on the public's expectation of future events, which makes it so difficult to predict the timing of debt crises. High debt levels lead, in many mathematical economics models, to "multiple equilibria" in which the debt level might be sustained – or might not be. Economists do not have a terribly good idea of what kinds of events shift confidence and of how to concretely assess confidence vulnerability. What one does see, again and again, in the history of financial crises is that when an accident is waiting to happen, it eventually does. When countries become too deeply indebted, they are headed for trouble. When debt-fueled asset price explosions seem too good to be true, they probably are. But the exact timing can be very difficult to guess, and a crisis that seems imminent can sometimes take years to ignite."
– From This Time Is Different, by Carmen Reinhart and Ken Rogoff
And a speculative attack on the US Treasury ends how?
Speculative attacks pick the weaker nations so Southern Europe now... then others maybe as the whole global economy struggles when the risk transfers fail one way or another... and the cascade picks up steam... as the risk becomes more systemic... the Dollar is no safe haven in the long run... if this really gets going... so I know....more QE and we can extend and pretend some more... and ward off the Big speculators...
I am a retired medical doctor and worked in the LA area in 2004. I mentioned to some colleagues that I thought the housing market there was going to collapse and that all the Washington Mutual Savings branches, which were on practically every major street corner, would disappear. Needless to say, I was considered a little crazy which is true. One of my kids who works for a hedge fund sent me this speech today by Dr Michael Burry, a medical doctor who went into economics, made a fortune shorting the stock and housing markets, and was the commencement speaker at UCLA this year. Referring to Wall Street and the Fed, he states that their "ignorance was willful", that they chose "long term risk for short term profits", and never considered the medical oath, "Do no harm". Dr. Michael "The Big Short" Burry's "Brutal Hangover Is Inevitable" State-Of-The-World UCLA Commencement Speech | ZeroHedge
what government-managed services Estonia and Switzerland provide to all of their citizens.
In 2010, the economic situation stabilized and started a growth based on strong exports. In the fourth quarter of 2010, Estonian industrial output increased by 23% compared to the year before.[117]
Today's Estonia is a multinational country where, according to the 2000 census, 109 languages are spoken.
Upon giving birth, the Estonian government grants one of the parents 100% of their former salary for 18 months, plus 320 euros of one-time support per child. After 18 months, the parent has the right to resume her/his former position. In addition, the parent and child will receive free healthcare. Parents who did not work before giving birth (unemployed, students, etc.) receive 278 euros a month
the Nostradumbasses here say were doomed any day now CR what gives?
Don't underestimate the lulling and fraudulent concealment of insolvencies to extend & pretend this gigantic bubble racket.
People think an entity that's insolvent should fail so forgive their ignorance at how the scam keeps working against all odds.
Since 1990, Estonia lost about 15% of its population (230,000 people). The population decreased to 1,340,194 in January 2011, which is even lower than the number of people that lived in Estonia in 1970.
So, instead of following the Estonia model, are you saying we should retire earlier, borrow more, increase govt handouts....to fix the economy?
Absolutely, we need more demand. which can only be achieved via printing or taxes/redistribution. More demand combined with more private sector savings via government deficits allows the paydown/defaul of debt without crashing the economy.
BTW, I hope you don't call this a success? Otherwise you'd have to say that Obama was incredibly successful, now would you?
Referring to Wall Street and the Fed, he states that their "ignorance was willful", that they chose "long term risk for short term profits", and never considered the medical oath, "Do no harm".
He offers good advice to Young people starting out.
Are you aware that there is no country in modern times that got out of its economic quagmire using austerity?
Who said I was for 'austerity'... I'm against austerity and other scam risk transfers of bad debt liabilities... the concealment of insolvencies must end... you are stuck in some talking points...
Blinder said he agreed with Lacker’s assessment that the program will provide little boost to growth yet said the central bank should still do what it can to help.
A more effective program, he said, would be to provide $400 billion to $500 billion of fiscal stimulus including infrastructure and jobs programs. Republicans are unlikely to report such programs, he said.
Greece debt deal near.
Spain finds $1T in couch cushions.
Canada discovers a million years worth of easy to get to oil.
Mexico rids itself of drug cartels.
US unemployment to be 3% by year end.
Absolutely, we need more demand. which can only be achieved via printing or taxes/redistribution. More demand combined with more private sector savings via government deficits allows the paydown/defaul of debt without crashing the economy.
BTW, I hope you don't call this a success? Otherwise you'd have to say that Obama was incredibly successful, now would you?
Not at all.... Obama is a disaster. Demand is great, but where will those dollars go.... leave the country? We also need to increase productivity and competitiveness.... early retirements and government handouts runs counter to that goal. I don't have a huge problem with debt if spent on job creation instead of CATV ratings.
I'm thinking roughly 1.5 trillion a year for "defense" is just a tad bit much. We have lots of things that need doing in this country. Our infrastructure is a freaking disaster and yet, we do nothing to fix it. Certainly we could find something better to do with our money than kill people and blow shit up.
Ed Yardeni has published a very important chart showing the decline in the difference between long-term rates and short-term rates. Some of this may be due to Operation Twist, but it is also likely the result of the dramatic slowdown that has occurred recently in money supply (M2) growth.
We cannot afford to improve or infrastructure. The process has been financialized to the point that it takes a dozen dollars of debt to get a dollars worth of dirty moved. Don' believe me? Compare the cost of China's high speed rail to California's.
Expansionary fiscal contraction - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
So where are your examples of success?
Check some of the reference sources for your wiki link:
NBER Macroeconomics Annual 5 & International Monetary Fund... An IMF working paper[4] on Expansionary Austerity and the Expansionary Fiscal Contraction hypothesis that examined changes in policy designed to reduce deficits found that austerity had contractionary effects on private domestic demand and GDP. This report concluded that other studies appeared biased to overstating the expansionary effects of austerity.
I know some people who moved back to Norway from New York. From what I can gather, their quality of life went way up. More money, more free time, and less stress.
Defense Department spending -- which understates total defense costs, of course -- still only runs about 1/5th of the overall budget.
IIRC, defense spending was about 1/3 of the budget under Reagan, and he increased it dramatically, though in all fairness even the Dems realized how badly the military had been treated after Vietnam, and Carter's last budget already had large increases scheduled...
Somebody just linked something that it was more like 50% of the budget if you include all the defense spending and defense related categories and categories that don't sound like defense but are defense...
Defense Department spending -- which understates total defense costs, of course -- still only runs about 1/5th of the overall budget.
It understates it by a lot. When you include the VA, the Department of Energy, the NSA, supplemental war spending, and the pro rata share of debt payments, the true amount is more than double.
The only explanation I can think of is that the people who think the Euro is screwed are exactly balanced by those who think the Euro will be more valuable as nations drop the currency.
That was just one example of wasteful spending and there's many more... point is don't spend more just spend what there is more wisely and cut out the skim...
The market bounced back in late trading to finish off the lows of the day. Traders found buying opportunities as evil short traders site the end of the world.
Yes, it is vastly under reported. The Pentagon is half a trillion alone IIRC. I posted an article here awhile back that broke it all down by each sucking leech agency.
The only explanation I can think of is that the people who think the Euro is screwed are exactly balanced by those who think the Euro will be more valuable as nations drop the currency.
Also, whining the word "freeeeedom" over and over is not an argument. I had this happen to me Friday night. But what about our "freeeeedom". We aren't free is my standard answer. Unless being free to work yourself to death for next to nothing to enrich some already rich bastard is the new definition of "freedom".
Somebody just linked something that it was more like 50% of the budget if you include all the defense spending and defense related categories and categories that don't sound like defense but are defense...
Somebody just linked something that it was more like 50% of the budget if you include all the defense spending and defense related categories and categories that don't sound like defense but are defense...
There are a substantial number of defense budget items that sound like they're defense related, but for all practical purposes they're pure pork. I believe that the V-22 Osprey is one such item. OTOH, the Interstate Highway System and DARPA-net (aka the internet) were definitely on the defense budget but have dramatically benefited the country as a whole...
Interstate Highway System and DARPA-net (aka the internet) were definitely on the defense budget but have dramatically benefited the country as a whole...
In 2010 the taxpayers of Estonia received from the European Union 486 euros per head over what they contributed. Since its accession to the EU the country has received from the European Union EUR 1876 million over what it has contributed. Select a year in the upper right-hand corner to see details for other years.
gosh, i was present when slumdog made his infamous call ...
Oh wait my bad...The world is going to end tomorrow and only the true 1% that we all work for will survive and they will take all your toilet paper from under your bed.
And the grocery stores will be empty and dogs and cats WILL BE sleeping together...hope this helps.
Don't forget the interest on all that past DoD spending.... Some of which is owed to the "entitlement" side of the budget.
No worries mate!
They've all been stuffed into a "lock box" and dropped into the Marianas...So sorry, hope you weren't counting on that for retirement.
P.S. An "entitlement" is something you get for nothing (like a Fraud St. bonus), not like SS which is paid back based on what you actually contributed (well, that's what was suppose to happen).
Oh wait my bad...The world is going to end tomorrow and only the true 1% that we all work for will survive and they will take all your toilet paper from under your bed.
And the grocery stores will be empty and dogs and cats WILL BE sleeping together...hope this helps.
The central banks have to make things look 'normal'... ya know...
Last week, however, Europe's chief monetary watchdog wasn't looking nearly as happy in photos taken in front of a circle of blue-and-yellow stars inside the Euro Tower, the ECB's Frankfurt headquarters, where he was congratulating the winners of an international student contest. He smiled, shook hands and handed out certificates. But what he had to tell his listeners no longer sounded optimistic. Instead, Draghi sounded deeply concerned and even displayed a touch of resignation. "You are the first generation that has grown up with the euro and is no longer familiar with the old currencies," he said. "I hope we won't experience them again."
And yet, even stretching "defense related" to extremes, it's still less than entitlements (which was my original point).
Entitlements flow from workers to workers with little direct skim (other than the Medicare skim, but that is a problem with the private health sector's rents in general)
Defense spending is largely the equivalent of lighting $800B/yr afire.
Worse, since this act of waste involves the consumption of copious amounts of natural resources, raising their prices the real wealth-creating economy has to pay.
----->Because of classified nature, budget is an estimate and may not be the actual figure (for defense intelligence)
Plus: This does not include many military-related items that are outside of the Defense Department budget, such as nuclear weapons research, maintenance, cleanup, and production, which is in the Department of Energy budget, Veterans Affairs, the Treasury Department's payments in pensions to military retirees and widows and their families, interest on debt incurred in past wars, or State Department financing of foreign arms sales and militarily-related development assistance. Neither does it include defense spending that is not military in nature, such as the Department of Homeland Security, counter-terrorism spending by the FBI, and intelligence-gathering spending by NASA.
Yeah, we've had some minor flooding but nothing too bad. Of course another couple days of this and it could be a problem. Poor Tampa, they are just soaked.
The Executive Branch spends the money authorized by the Legislative Branch. How did you ever pass the bar?
The President routinely sends a budget to Congress based on the perceived internal needs of the various departments under the Executive Branch ...what they send back for him to sign may or may not resemble what was sent to them...
Defense spending is largely the equivalent of lighting $800B/yr afire.
You make it sound like there's nobody employed in defense whatsoever. Regardless, you're still missing the point. You can't fix the budget entirely through defense, and it's not the part of the budget that's been growing the fastest in recent years.
There was a little leak at the hose fitting under the avocado tree that got a little damp. Other than that no rain until September.
72°/58° dayafterdayafterday....
Are yours seedless? I usually buy the seedless, way less work when carving them up for snacks.
We usually put in one or two for fun. The dollar store has 12-14" seedless watermelons so spending $4 on watering them to size is just not conservative.
You nasty motherfucker. All I said was that JFK spent 35% of the federal budget on defense. You took a cheap shot at me implying that I didn't know how the federal budget process worked. Take you lumps for being an asshole and STFU.
you're still missing the point. You can't fix the budget entirely through defense, and it's not the part of the budget that's been growing the fastest in recent years.
My proposal was cutting $40B/yr for ~15 years and putting that money into actual wealth-accreting investments.
So yes, I do think we can fix the present shortfall entirely through defense cuts.
And as for defense sector jobs, we'd get better ROI just paying 5M people $50,000/yr to play xbox all day.
"As a warm-up, consider first a simple contract. Let’s say you have lent 1 million euros to a German bank, payable three months from now. If the euro suddenly ceases to exist and all countries revert to their original currencies, then you would probably receive payment in deutsche marks. You might be fine with this -- and congratulate yourself on not lending to an Italian bank, which is now paying off in lira.
But what would the exchange rate be between new deutsche marks and euros? How would this affect the purchasing power of the loan repayment? More worrisome, what if Germany has gone back on the deutsche mark but the euro still exists -- issued by more inflation-inclined countries? Presumably you would be offered payment in the rapidly depreciating euro. If you contested such a repayment, the litigation could drag on for years.
What if you lent to that German bank not in Frankfurt but in London? Would it matter if you lent to a branch (part of the parent) or a subsidiary (more clearly a British legal entity)? How would the British courts assess your claim to be repaid in relatively appreciated deutsche marks, rather than ever-less- appealing euros? With the euro depreciating further, should you wait to see what the courts decide? Or should you settle quickly in hope of recovering half of what you originally expected?
What if you lent to the German bank in New York, but the transaction was run through an offshore subsidiary, for example in the Cayman Islands? Global banks are extremely complex in terms of the legal entities that overlap with business units. Do you really know which legal jurisdiction would cover all aspects of your transaction in the currency formerly known as the euro? "
Oh shut up asshole. Quit projecting your own personality flaws on others. (Yeah, I know, you'll retort with , hahhahhah). You can't win at dawgiecalvinball.
On the flip side, how come no one is pointing to the most successful economic story in Europe...Norway?
This left-libertarian hearts Norway. I'd move there if they weren't so latidunally-challenged, plus their moon-man language looks harder than Japanese.
Something we in the US haven't done for the last 30 years or so.
Yes, josap. I recall the good old days that were not all that good really for many, and I think of Appalachia in the 60s and again today. I also recall that savings bonds were a frequent gift or award and that we bought them for our future or our parents bought them for our future. Despite so many exposes. the Gordon Gekko mantra lives even stronger 25 yrs on.
Anonymous mobs...hmmmm. You mean like JP Morgan and GE and Fox News and Goldman Sachs...Our government is completely captured by multinational business interests. So no, they care about nothing but the profits for their keepers. I assume that is what you meant?
"That's because we quite simply do NOT care about people at all. Profit is the only thing that matters. CK
Individuals care. Anonymous mobs don't. Guess which your government is.... "
I was at a couple of companies during mass layoffs. It was always interesting, in a sad way, watching the change in people when their livelihoods were on the line.
I'd argue $40B out of defense isn't nearly enough, but how you cover $1.4T with $40B is beyond me. New math?
$40B/yr cuts every year, pushing the defense expense down to $200B/yr by 2030.
Now, the Medicare tax could use doubling, and we'll also need to work on getting our $8000/capita health expense a bit close to the global median (of $4000).
Anonymous mobs...hmmmm. You mean like JP Morgan and GE and Fox News and Goldman Sachs...Our government is completely captured by multinational business interests. So no, they care about nothing but the profits for their keepers. I assume that is what you meant? CK
What say we adopt JFKs last budget adjusted for inflation/population/whatever just keeping the percent of GDP and percent of Federal budget by department the same?
Oooops, Dept of Education. There's a $94 billion savings right there.
I also recall that savings bonds were a frequent gift or award
Yes, the gift that expressed anticipation of the future. The idea that a little saved, and added to over time, brought a reward in the future. A small way to invest in both the child, the country and the dreams those held.
I, BARACK OBAMA,... find that the risk of nuclear proliferation created by the accumulation of a large volume of weapons-usable fissile material in the territory of the Russian Federation continues to constitute an unusual and extraordinary threat to the national security and foreign policy of the United States, and hereby declare a national emergency to deal with that threat. I hereby order:
...
Sec. 2. Government of the Russian Federation assets directly related to the implementation of the HEU Agreements currently may be subject to attachment, judgment, decree, lien, execution, garnishment, or other judicial process
I also recall that savings bonds were a frequent gift or award
Yes, the gift that expressed anticipation of the future. The idea that a little saved, and added to over time, brought a reward in the future. A small way to invest in both the child, the country and the dreams those held.
And when the inflations came the lesson was learned. Burned into their brains actually.
I remember visiting Beijing back in 2005. I visited and stayed in the areas that foreigners don't visit very often.
Buildings being built 24/x with blow-torching going on at midnight.
I recall seeing a migrant worker being pulled out of a super-market (most likely to have his ass kicked) for cutting in line at the roast-duck line.
The migrant workers get pushed into the crappy areas to live. If they can afford a place to live.
They can't send their children to school because you need a permit to live in Beijing (as well as most major cities in China). Of course you can purchase that if you have enough money.
And that's Beijing, which is WAY,WAY better than the 2nd or 3rd tier cities.
That's the under-belly of the "libertarian free-market" miracle in Asia.
I've always wondered why the libertarians gloss over this part of the Asian "free-market" miracle.
I have absolutely no clue what libertarians you are talking about in this regard. The only admirers of asian state capitalism that I see are generally from the left.
Here's Simon Johnson's view on what will happen as the Euro collapses one nation at a time:
Thanks for putting this up. I for one do not mind the length of such posts. I tend to focus on the micro or even nano level of my neighborhood and my personal experiences by tending my Voltarian garden and reporting on how things seem to be going. A collapse of the euro will never be orderly. Johnson lays out a few problems. I tried to indicate a few more in my comments on printing in Greece and the euronotes that bear different serial number codes depending on the country that issued them. Imagine trying to redeem Greek euronotes from Greece with a new drachma. My cash holdings have probably 10 different euronote issuers in them. This is just the tip of the iceberg.
Should Greece somehow be induced or forced to leave the euro, I think all hell will break loose as the dominoes fall. There is no mechanism for dealing with what will happen if countries are forced out of the euro or induced to leave. One likely consequence will be that those countries will introduce currency controls, and that will be the end of those countries adherence to the EU treaties. Please correct me anyone who knows more than I do about these mechanisms and many of you follks must, but I ad this simply because I have not seen it in the comments, but then I am seven time zones + away from many of you and more for some.
Oooops, Dept of Education. There's a $94 billion savings right there.
education. who needs it.
The majority of funding went to just three programs: Elementary and Secondary Education Act Title I Grants to Local Education Agencies, the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) State Grants, and the Pell Grant program for college students. Collectively these three programs received $48.9 billion in fiscal year 2011.
"The only admirers of asian state capitalism that I see are generally from the left. "
GMAFB I read the dreck on this board and others every day. How we just need to get rid of worker rights, environmental regulation and the rest of the garbage. Then we can get back to what made us great as a country.
and was the commencement speaker at UCLA this year.
He was the commencement speaker at the ECONOMICS department. When I was there it was full-speed Supply-Side craziness. Infinite machines like "hamburger replaces a steak because there are infinte choices." Economics was on full-speed physics mathmatifaction in an effort to lose the "social science" stigma too.
What I remember most clearly was how beholden these guys were to the Fed. It was the ultimate signal that you "made it" at Economics. Perhaps a distant second was working for a presidential campaign. Yet another signal I had made the wrong choice.
Putting a deficit ceiling fight with the potential consequence of automatic defense cuts right before the election doesn't look like such a good idea now...but is hardly evidence of a conspiracy...
And that's Beijing, which is WAY,WAY better than the 2nd or 3rd tier cities.
That's the under-belly of the "libertarian free-market" miracle in Asia.
I sure as heck don't want to buy locally manufacturer galvanized roofing nails. Let them bear the environmental and health burden of my cheap construction materials.
I have absolutely no clue what libertarians you are talking about in this regard.
any (right-) libertarian. China is exactly what libertarians want, those with the gold making the rules, with approximately zero democratic institutional power to restrict that.
That's the Koch/Olin vision in a nutshell. An apt receptacle.
How we just need to get rid of worker rights, environmental regulation and the rest of the garbage. Then we can get back to what made us great as a country.
Laws and regulations are artificial constructs that restrict freedom and separate man from the higher reality of the almighty God dollar and the Universal Law (caveat emptor).
GMAFB I read the dreck on this board and others every day. How we just need to get rid of worker rights, environmental regulation and the rest of the garbage. Then we can get back to what made us great as a country.
Yep. A blowout of mega proportions. It's ballooning bigger and bigger. Some HCNers have been pointing it out. We really don't know what's lurking in the dark matter.
I have absolutely no clue what libertarians you are talking about in this regard. The only admirers of asian state capitalism that I see are generally from the left.
Probably the same libertarians that are quoted as advocating anarchy and/or stifling austerity...there's probably a commune of them somewhere in Northern California kept specifically for this purpose, though they may have been replaced with a web page that generates "Random Libertarian Quotes"™
any (right-) libertarian. China is exactly what libertarians want, those with the gold making the rules, with approximately zero democratic institutional power to restrict that.
Bullshit. The most prominent proponent of China's way of doing things is Tom Fucking Friedman. I can't think one single libertarian that admires China.
Ah, cumulative -- okay, now I understand. You'll never get down to $200B; 3% of GDP is pretty much the historical low. The rest will have to come from elsewhere.
Bullshit. The most prominent proponent of China's way of doing things is Tom Fucking Friedman. I can't think one single libertarian that admires China.
LBJ's whiz kids were working that page of the playbook in the mid-1960s too.
Yet it was us evacuating our embassies in 1975, not them.
If we were just smarter, more intelligent and more educated, we wouldn't need ethics or honesty. We could just outwit the other team and do whatever we wanted.
And when the inflations came the lesson was learned. Burned into their brains actually.
Yes, RD. I recall the guns and butter speech. I was in 8th grade in a small village that was very working class with ag and some mills. Several of our teachers explained the metaphor to us, and none of them presented it a a fallacy. It took me another five yrs and well into the campaign in VietNam to realize the disconnect.
"Bullshit. The most prominent proponent of China's way of doing things is Tom Fucking Friedman. I can't think one single libertarian that admires China. "
I can think of many faux libertarians who admire China.
At least in California the reverse is the norm. Spending inverse to outcomes. In 1978 California was among the top 5 in education. Exactly one K-12 education cycle later California was in the bottom 5. What happened in 1978? And to stop the first 50 replies; it was not Prop 13. Public school funding went up that year, way up.
When the rubber meets the road very, very few people are true to their principles.
That's why I use the term libertarian rather than Libertarian.
I also differentiate socialists and Socialists the same way.
And capitalists and Capitalists.
Like I said, watch what happens to people during a big layoff at a company.
LOL. "You know, I've lost the South for the Democratic Party"
busting the trusts
Teddie was so disgusted with the Republican Party that he created his own, and beat them in 1912.
civil rights
That was a northern initiative, and if you didn't have your head completely up your ass you'd know there are few, soon to be no, northern Republicans today.
.
Pointless...
Tanta Vive!
Just a note - I get angry emails every time I post anything slightly positive. Hmmm ...
I'm sure this will really bother some people. The "Surges" is from the Dallas Fed and is in quotes.
Texas was never really part of the United States anyhow.
Just a thought ...
Cyprus population 1.1 million.
Texas population 25.7 million.
CalculatedRisk wrote:
I'm angry, and I'm going to take it out on CR too!
CalculatedRisk wrote:
No kidding? I thought KP was all about the
... 
Seriously, if all indicators went one way then the world wouldn't need you to help sort them out. Keep up the good work, CR!
Gon'a make me feel better.
CalculatedRisk wrote:
What would happen if you posted nothing but negative news? We would probably try to elect you king of Dawgifornia!
One can only hope for a positive sign, even if it will be revised later:
Euro Slips as Japanese Yen Rebounds Amid Rising Italian and Spanish Yields - Yahoo! Finance
BRICs Biggest Currency Depreciation Since 1998 to Worsen - Bloomberg
"Just a note - I get angry emails every time I post anything slightly positive. Hmmm ... "
That's probably just Sebastian
Just a note - I get angry and derisive comments every time I post anything slightly negative
.
JP, TJ and The Bear, thanks - it is just an interesting observation.
I remember getting angry emails any time I posted something negative back in 2005 and 2006. That pretty much stopped.
I understand why many people are angry - weak job and wage growth, European crisis, and on and on. I get angry too.
But I don't get angry at the data - it is just data.
I think they're all making heat shields.
Best to always shoot the messenger.......
CalculatedRisk wrote:
+1
gruntled wrote:
And drones! Won't somebody think of the drones?
California State Bar Court Lacks Fundamental Knowledge of Loan Modifications - Mandelman Matters
ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:
CalculatedRisk wrote:
The Cyprus thing is psychological -- it creates the impression that the bailouts and panics are never going to end.
You seem utterly unable to learn. Your ideology completely blinds you.
Government deficits are the ONLY way the private sector can net save.
Private Sector Surplus or Net Saving = Government Deficit + Current Account Balance
http://neweconomicperspectives.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/untitled-32.png
Or, at the very least, as the number of countries requiring bailout increase, it lessens the stigma of doing so for the next one.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
I'm counting on it!
INO.com Markets - Chart for Silver Spot (FOREX:XAGUSDO)
C'mon Bernank, don't fail me now!
2016, here we come!
'mericans love surges. Except perhaps for power surges.
ac wrote:
How would ending bailouts help the banks?
Good afternoon peeps!
Government Deficit +
Do you ever worry about compound interest on this govt. debt and the speculative attacks which are making the rounds... focusing on Europe right now...
Data is just data but there's no data on the shadow banking system threatening the global economy... much is off the balance sheets...not under SEC supervision... or in offshore jurisdictions... or proprietary... or confidential... see the big problem? (this part was to CR)
Cinco-X wrote:
Well the issue is that anytime somebody new asks for a bailout that comes across to people as "Help we're f88ked over here!"
Texas is surging.
Spunkmeyer wrote:
Just like foreclosures, walking away or short sales.
Funny how that works.
Think about that one, for a minute or two...
:House-of-cards:
Texas Service sector survey out tomorrow morning ... i'll be F5ing away ...
merchants of fear wrote:
And a speculative attack on the US Treasury ends how?
RE wrote:
And all those farmers who thought they were saving by stockpiling food for the winter... if only those poor fools knew!
Why Are American Kids So Spoiled? : The New Yorker
Maybe we should look to Europe for a role model on fiscal responsibility.
Yes, really.
the Estonians cut back.
Public-sector wages got a 10 percent cut. They're raising the retirement age slowly from 61 to 65 over the next 14 years.
They reduced eligibility for government health benefits instead of broadening them. They're even working on cutting the income tax.
The result?
Incredible economic growth. 7.6%!
Read more: Europe Could Be Our Financial Role Model. And No, I Haven't Gone Crazy! - GerriWillis.com Blog - Fox Business
Damn tea partiers!
Just wait until Maxine Waters hears about this "hoarding"!
/
Estonia has about the same population as the Hartford metro area.
The Matsigenka hunt for monkeys and parrots
merchants of fear wrote:
Are you aware that there is no country in modern times that got out of its economic quagmire using austerity?
The only country up for debate is Denmark in 1983-1984 and Ireland a little later. However, as shown in the article, even these examples have been debunked.
Expansionary fiscal contraction - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
So where are your examples of success?
The same way the attack on the integrity of our glorious housing bubble ended - with copious printing that swamps any and all attacks.
It would also be interesting to learn what government-managed services Estonia and Switzerland provide to all of their citizens.
Jim Sinclair's latest newsletter 'Mineset'...
The problems of 2008 are here now and greater. Derivatives still challenge the entire system at a greater level. A major under the covers audit is being done right now of some major banks for serious OTC derivative problems. Market miscreant activity allowed the break to near nothing for many financial institutions. The activity specifically is the absence of the uptick rule, which is still missing. The regulators are controlled by Washington which in turn is owned by the hedge fund and bankster's lobby.
The rescue will come in the form of QE to infinity for the entire western world's financial system.
The euro and the dollar, in that order, will be bailed out. QE will rise to infinity the longer Bernanke plays chicken with the present administration for perseverance of the private bank, the Fed, and its power.
If this opinion (and it's only one opinion) is accurate, mp & CitizenA can stop worrying... sheeesh.
ah, more junkie logic.
whoever beat a mean hangover with sobreity?
YouTube - Steely Dan - Pretzel Logic
the only answer is MOAR PUBLIK DET.
Nice!..surge..but but but the Nostradumbasses here say were doomed any day now CR what gives?
Close above 12,504 is bullish...green day tomorrow.
"Economic theory tells us that it is precisely the fickle nature of confidence, including its dependence on the public's expectation of future events, which makes it so difficult to predict the timing of debt crises. High debt levels lead, in many mathematical economics models, to "multiple equilibria" in which the debt level might be sustained – or might not be. Economists do not have a terribly good idea of what kinds of events shift confidence and of how to concretely assess confidence vulnerability. What one does see, again and again, in the history of financial crises is that when an accident is waiting to happen, it eventually does. When countries become too deeply indebted, they are headed for trouble. When debt-fueled asset price explosions seem too good to be true, they probably are. But the exact timing can be very difficult to guess, and a crisis that seems imminent can sometimes take years to ignite."
– From This Time Is Different, by Carmen Reinhart and Ken Rogoff
[gasp]BUY [wheeze]MOAR [rattle]EUROZ!
Lurking Lawyer wrote:
And
Estonia is producing ca 75% of its consumed electricity.[114] Over 85% of it generated with locally mined oil shale
RE wrote:
So, instead of following the Estonia model, are you saying we should retire earlier, borrow more, increase govt handouts....to fix the economy?
ac wrote:
Obviously net savings apply to the financial/dollar economy only.
However, the comment you responded to was:
Most Americans don't have nearly enough money stashed away for emergencies and more than one-in-four don't even have a single penny saved.
It might be tough for J6P to stockpile food and commodity markets are quite unpredictable.
josap said:
the Estonians cut back.
Yes, but they also raised taxes by as much as 15% of GDP. Do you still think the elite will want to emulate Estonia?
And a speculative attack on the US Treasury ends how?
Speculative attacks pick the weaker nations so Southern Europe now... then others maybe as the whole global economy struggles when the risk transfers fail one way or another... and the cascade picks up steam... as the risk becomes more systemic... the Dollar is no safe haven in the long run... if this really gets going... so I know....more QE and we can extend and pretend some more... and ward off the Big speculators...
maybe the orders to fix this beast caused the surge:
Insight: In hours, caustic vapors wreaked quiet ruin on biggest U.S. refinery
| Reuters
I am a retired medical doctor and worked in the LA area in 2004. I mentioned to some colleagues that I thought the housing market there was going to collapse and that all the Washington Mutual Savings branches, which were on practically every major street corner, would disappear. Needless to say, I was considered a little crazy which is true. One of my kids who works for a hedge fund sent me this speech today by Dr Michael Burry, a medical doctor who went into economics, made a fortune shorting the stock and housing markets, and was the commencement speaker at UCLA this year. Referring to Wall Street and the Fed, he states that their "ignorance was willful", that they chose "long term risk for short term profits", and never considered the medical oath, "Do no harm".
Dr. Michael "The Big Short" Burry's "Brutal Hangover Is Inevitable" State-Of-The-World UCLA Commencement Speech | ZeroHedge
Spunkmeyer wrote:
In 2010, the economic situation stabilized and started a growth based on strong exports. In the fourth quarter of 2010, Estonian industrial output increased by 23% compared to the year before.[117]
Today's Estonia is a multinational country where, according to the 2000 census, 109 languages are spoken.
Upon giving birth, the Estonian government grants one of the parents 100% of their former salary for 18 months, plus 320 euros of one-time support per child. After 18 months, the parent has the right to resume her/his former position. In addition, the parent and child will receive free healthcare. Parents who did not work before giving birth (unemployed, students, etc.) receive 278 euros a month
Estonia is running on FDI in a country of 1.3 million... good luck with that.
the Nostradumbasses here say were doomed any day now CR what gives?
Don't underestimate the lulling and fraudulent concealment of insolvencies to extend & pretend this gigantic bubble racket.
People think an entity that's insolvent should fail so forgive their ignorance at how the scam keeps working against all odds.
black dog wrote:
http://pytnet.org/shows/WizardofOz10/Dramaturgy/images/tornado_farmhouse.jpg
Since 1990, Estonia lost about 15% of its population (230,000 people). The population decreased to 1,340,194 in January 2011, which is even lower than the number of people that lived in Estonia in 1970.
Demographics of Estonia - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
for what it's worth, declining population
Has
woken up yet today?
Sippn wrote:
Absolutely, we need more demand. which can only be achieved via printing or taxes/redistribution. More demand combined with more private sector savings via government deficits allows the paydown/defaul of debt without crashing the economy.
BTW, I hope you don't call this a success? Otherwise you'd have to say that Obama was incredibly successful, now would you?
Estonian Rhapsody - NYTimes.com
Maria B is on mp's, CitizenA, and your side as she just said on CNBC: "Get it done."
Comrade Elmer Fudd wrote:
Probably why the gov has very nice benefits for having a kid.
t r orwell wrote:
He offers good advice to Young people starting out.
We need a couple more late day rumors.
I'll take extend and pretend over Rapture and Armageddon any day thank you.
No way! That
ster, KP assured me that Texas sucks.
Cinco-X wrote:
But not Poicless.
Are you aware that there is no country in modern times that got out of its economic quagmire using austerity?
Who said I was for 'austerity'... I'm against austerity and other scam risk transfers of bad debt liabilities... the concealment of insolvencies must end... you are stuck in some talking points...
Princeton’s Blinder Says Fed Has Weak Weapons for Growth - Bloomberg
poic wrote:
Greece debt deal near.
Spain finds $1T in couch cushions.
Canada discovers a million years worth of easy to get to oil.
Mexico rids itself of drug cartels.
US unemployment to be 3% by year end.
shill wrote:
And that is what we will get, until THEY can't.
josap wrote:
KP has taken over Josap's ID!!!
josap wrote:
They just need to check the - what the heck was it, the ginaormic slush fund one of the SIFI's had - the something or other vault?
Expansionary fiscal contraction - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
So where are your examples of success?
Are you one of these people who think the military budget can't be cut and we have to grow militarization with more govt. spending?
Date, time...Year, anyone? I want to make sure I have enough Toilet paper for trade and such.
Student-loan deal in sight as deadline looms - Political Watch - MarketWatch
Expansionary fiscal contraction - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
So where are your examples of success?
If we are going to build infrastructure in Afghanistan with govt. money, why not spend the money in the U.S. to improve infrastructure?
:Microwave_Frozen_Burrito:
Ken?
RE wrote:
Not at all.... Obama is a disaster. Demand is great, but where will those dollars go.... leave the country? We also need to increase productivity and competitiveness.... early retirements and government handouts runs counter to that goal. I don't have a huge problem with debt if spent on job creation instead of CATV ratings.
I'm thinking roughly 1.5 trillion a year for "defense" is just a tad bit much. We have lots of things that need doing in this country. Our infrastructure is a freaking disaster and yet, we do nothing to fix it. Certainly we could find something better to do with our money than kill people and blow shit up.
Ed Yardeni has published a very important chart showing the decline in the difference between long-term rates and short-term rates. Some of this may be due to Operation Twist, but it is also likely the result of the dramatic slowdown that has occurred recently in money supply (M2) growth.
EconomicPolicyJournal.com
Comrade Kristina,
We can't improve OUR infrastructure until we're done destroying everyone else's.
Hmmm, slow down in supply? Hehehehe.
merchants of fear wrote:
because in the 'stan, you don't really have to build any infrastructure, pure skim
Yep, or supply clean water or edible food...ask KBR they are experts at charging for inferior goods and services
The Austerity crowd loves Estonia because it was a communist country that embraced the free market.
On the flip side, how come no one is pointing to the most successful economic story in Europe...Norway? Economic trends for Norway and foreign countries
Oh, wait...they're socialist.
We cannot afford to improve or infrastructure. The process has been financialized to the point that it takes a dozen dollars of debt to get a dollars worth of dirty moved. Don' believe me? Compare the cost of China's high speed rail to California's.
They prefer to be called Commies, actually.
Norway bears a certain resemblance to the kingdom
Comrade Kristina wrote:
>
Expansionary fiscal contraction - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
So where are your examples of success?
Check some of the reference sources for your wiki link:
NBER Macroeconomics Annual 5 & International Monetary Fund...
An IMF working paper[4] on Expansionary Austerity and the Expansionary Fiscal Contraction hypothesis that examined changes in policy designed to reduce deficits found that austerity had contractionary effects on private domestic demand and GDP. This report concluded that other studies appeared biased to overstating the expansionary effects of austerity.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Defense Department spending -- which understates total defense costs, of course -- still only runs about 1/5th of the overall budget.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:U.S.Federal_Spending-_FY_2011.png
I know some people who moved back to Norway from New York. From what I can gather, their quality of life went way up. More money, more free time, and less stress.
no doubt we can multiply that cost yet a few more times if the blasted thing ever gets built
Gimme a K!
Gimme a E!
Gimme a R!
Gimme a M!
Gimme a I!
Gimme a T!
Goooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
!!
TJ and The Bear wrote:
JFK spent 35%.
the something or other vault?
they possess al capone's real vault? ... geraldo on line 2 ...
no
today for
because in the 'stan, you don't really have to build any infrastructure, pure skim
sheeeesh... nothing is as it seems or we're told...
merchants of fear wrote:
I'm all for it. I opposed the Afghanistan adventure from the start.
But that's not going to be enough. $60 billion at $5.3 billion a month just won't cut it even if it could be done on relatively short notice.
Is this the same high speed rail built on soil that is still sinking?
Euro back at 1.25
TJ and The Bear wrote:
I do not think that word means what you think it means...
I said go,not go away.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
IIRC, defense spending was about 1/3 of the budget under Reagan, and he increased it dramatically, though in all fairness even the Dems realized how badly the military had been treated after Vietnam, and Carter's last budget already had large increases scheduled...
Somebody just linked something that it was more like 50% of the budget if you include all the defense spending and defense related categories and categories that don't sound like defense but are defense...
The process has been financialized to the point that it takes a dozen dollars of debt to get a dollars worth of dirty moved.
the map of napoleon's march to moscow and back comes to mind
Nobody cares but here anyway.
edit
reply
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhgggghhhhhhhhh.;
The Equation
Run for the hills!! Oops, well, I'm already on the 2nd floor. It will have to do.
Whiskey wrote:
No problem, in CA, we have inspectors that can fix that report....
It understates it by a lot. When you include the VA, the Department of Energy, the NSA, supplemental war spending, and the pro rata share of debt payments, the true amount is more than double.
shill wrote:
The only explanation I can think of is that the people who think the Euro is screwed are exactly balanced by those who think the Euro will be more valuable as nations drop the currency.
CalculatedRisk wrote:
And activity is just activity.
I'm all for it.
That was just one example of wasteful spending and there's many more... point is don't spend more just spend what there is more wisely and cut out the skim...
The market bounced back in late trading to finish off the lows of the day. Traders found buying opportunities as evil short traders site the end of the world.
Vassilis Rapanos resigned because of ill health...
Perhaps he found out that further austerity might be bad for his health...
Greek finance minister resigns, crisis deepens - Yahoo! Finance
Risk transfers are just risk transfers...
Yes, it is vastly under reported. The Pentagon is half a trillion alone IIRC. I posted an article here awhile back that broke it all down by each sucking leech agency.
Well we close below the 12,504 target 12,502..we may lose another 150 pts from here. Key word May markets are trading on rumor so anything can happen.
josap wrote:
More gold toilets and massages? Hurray for Estonia.
How about all of the black hole programs?
Rob Dawg wrote:
Nicely put!
Also, whining the word "freeeeedom" over and over is not an argument. I had this happen to me Friday night. But what about our "freeeeedom". We aren't free is my standard answer. Unless being free to work yourself to death for next to nothing to enrich some already rich bastard is the new definition of "freedom".
Soros needs a bailout within 3 days. Wonder who he is taking down with him?
merchants of fear wrote:
Military budget of the United States - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
For all "defense related" expenditures... Total Spending $1.030–$1.415 trillion
merchants of fear wrote:
There are a substantial number of defense budget items that sound like they're defense related, but for all practical purposes they're pure pork. I believe that the V-22 Osprey is one such item. OTOH, the Interstate Highway System and DARPA-net (aka the internet) were definitely on the defense budget but have dramatically benefited the country as a whole...
we may lose another 150 pts from here.
gosh, i was present when slumdog made his infamous call ...
TJ and The Bear wrote:
Don't forget the interest on all that past DoD spending.... Some of which is owed to the "entitlement" side of the budget.
Cinco-X wrote:
Ummm no. the IHS was entirely self funded.
How about all of the black hole programs?
old school - bloated budgets hid black budgets
new school - CIA running afghan opium trade to fund black budgets
josap wrote:
And several thousand lost churros.
josap wrote:
More on Estonia:
MONEY-GO-ROUND.EU -
In 2010 the taxpayers of Estonia received from the European Union 486 euros per head over what they contributed. Since its accession to the EU the country has received from the European Union EUR 1876 million over what it has contributed. Select a year in the upper right-hand corner to see details for other years.
Oh wait my bad...The world is going to end tomorrow and only the true 1% that we all work for will survive and they will take all your toilet paper from under your bed.
And the grocery stores will be empty and dogs and cats WILL BE sleeping together...hope this helps.
Even an IMF research paper found that austerity had contractionary effects on private domestic demand and GDP.
black dog wrote:
Well, at least we're not selling arms to Iran...
Rob Dawg wrote:
I'm sorry; you are correct, but the purpose of the IHS was military.
The Dwight D. Eisenhower National System of Interstate and Defense Highways (commonly known as the Interstate Highway System)
Well, it's ok then, since the taxpayers aren't paying!
Comrade Elmer Fudd wrote:
China can build one from one end of the country to another for what it will cost California to build from one end of an empty county to another.
Rob Dawg wrote:
The President was making the budget in those days?
With tax receipts of $2.5 trillion. It is approx 50%. Something to think about, when it comes to tax time to realize half of it goes to "defense".
Cinco-X wrote:
The President was making the budget in those days?
No, but atleast there was a budget.
Gee, weren't there a lot of Chinese involved in building the Pacific end of the railroads?
Where are some good Chinese laborers when you need them?
Yes but we have to keep our freeeeeeedddoooommmmmm. They hate us for it, you know?
black dog wrote:
That's old school.
CIA and Contras cocaine trafficking in the US - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
As luck would have it, the largest group of immigrants to the US now are Asians! #winning!
You must see the Sorkin thing Kristina. You'd rise up and cheer.
Someone on CNBC just said the banks had a lot of cash so they could handle clawbacks.
Blackhalo wrote:
Read the link -- it's in there.
No worries mate!
They've all been stuffed into a "lock box" and dropped into the Marianas...So sorry, hope you weren't counting on that for retirement.
P.S. An "entitlement" is something you get for nothing (like a Fraud St. bonus), not like SS which is paid back based on what you actually contributed (well, that's what was suppose to happen).
Adios gringos, I'm off to the fiesta!
I was gonna say that whole scenario sounded vaguely familiar and was long before the Stan.
I missed it, is it on youtube?
HBO.
shill wrote:
dreamer wrote:
And yet, even stretching "defense related" to extremes, it's still less than entitlements (which was my original point).
merchants of fear wrote:
And yet they still can't handle mark-to-market.
Oh wait my bad...The world is going to end tomorrow and only the true 1% that we all work for will survive and they will take all your toilet paper from under your bed.
And the grocery stores will be empty and dogs and cats WILL BE sleeping together...hope this helps.
The central banks have to make things look 'normal'... ya know...
Oh cool, I can watch it on on demand probably then.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
It is, we do, and we are. That's what happens when you 'monetize' everything. But hey, at least we get kickass toys, a nice house and reality teevee.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Yup.
"China can build one from one end of the country to another for what it will cost California to build from one end of an empty county to another. "
When you strip away worker safety requirements, zero cost when expropriating the land, no safety over-view etc.. things tend to go faster.
I've always wondered why the libertarians gloss over this part of the Asian "free-market" miracle.
Perhaps after another round of fat bonuses they can think about mark-to-market but for now...no can do.
Because they are, you know, INSOLVENT.
And yet they still can't handle mark-to-market. My Head Just Exploded
That could be a form of a clawback...
Hatzius: Fed to ease on July 4th.
(Darn, am I too late?)
Yeah, more and more I'd just as soon pass on all that. I want to shake people until they wake up out of their zombie trances.
Because they are, you know, INSOLVENT.
No that would the the govt's and consumers around the world...
This is sounding more than ever like a bad Ayn Rand movie.
Another bout of weather coming through.
It doesn't fit their Paradigm
Comrade Kristina wrote:
but usually their heads fall off then
We are all insolvent now.
Yeah liz, we just had another band come through a bit ago but it's calmed down again now. I'm about tired of rain now.
All your insolvents are belong to us.
I'm in Florida so that's not a problem, we just eat 'em.
Any flooding?
Fears Grow of Consequences of Potential Euro Collapse - SPIEGEL ONLINE
TJ and The Bear wrote:
Entitlements flow from workers to workers with little direct skim (other than the Medicare skim, but that is a problem with the private health sector's rents in general)
National Defense Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment (FDEFX) - FRED - St. Louis Fed
Defense spending is largely the equivalent of lighting $800B/yr afire.
Worse, since this act of waste involves the consumption of copious amounts of natural resources, raising their prices the real wealth-creating economy has to pay.
Again what will Ben do?
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-TCB9uatH0mQ/T-iCZ55IcBI/AAAAAAAAA-g/eLWWR4oCsZ0/s1600/Yield+Curve.png
Crash and burn or fire up the pumps?
Comrade Kristina wrote:
For most, it will be an end of life realization.
Read the link -- it's in there.
----->Because of classified nature, budget is an estimate and may not be the actual figure (for defense intelligence)
Plus: This does not include many military-related items that are outside of the Defense Department budget, such as nuclear weapons research, maintenance, cleanup, and production, which is in the Department of Energy budget, Veterans Affairs, the Treasury Department's payments in pensions to military retirees and widows and their families, interest on debt incurred in past wars, or State Department financing of foreign arms sales and militarily-related development assistance. Neither does it include defense spending that is not military in nature, such as the Department of Homeland Security, counter-terrorism spending by the FBI, and intelligence-gathering spending by NASA.
Yeah, we've had some minor flooding but nothing too bad. Of course another couple days of this and it could be a problem. Poor Tampa, they are just soaked.
lawyerliz wrote:
Brutal:
Atlas Shrugged Part I - Rotten Tomatoes 11% fresh...
1 currency now -yogi wrote:
The Executive Branch spends the money authorized by the Legislative Branch. How did you ever pass the bar?
I have a soon to be big enough watermelon, and a lot of water for it to soak up.
What we need are more watermelons, for all the water.
Good old Ayn, she hated gubmint cheese until she needed it to pay her doctor bills...go figure. Just another douche bag hypocrite.
I'm going to grow some next year. I love them and eat about one a week in the summer at least. I bought one today I'm going to cut up later on.
lawyerliz wrote:
Needs wodka, keptin!
Rob Dawg wrote:
The President routinely sends a budget to Congress based on the perceived internal needs of the various departments under the Executive Branch ...what they send back for him to sign may or may not resemble what was sent to them...
Comrade Troyski wrote:
You make it sound like there's nobody employed in defense whatsoever. Regardless, you're still missing the point. You can't fix the budget entirely through defense, and it's not the part of the budget that's been growing the fastest in recent years.
Get the ones that promise to be 25 pounders. The little ones weren't nearly as tasty.
lawyerliz wrote:
There was a little leak at the hose fitting under the avocado tree that got a little damp. Other than that no rain until September.
72°/58° dayafterdayafterday....
Are yours seedless? I usually buy the seedless, way less work when carving them up for snacks.
poic wrote:
And the poic comes through Again.
Nope not seedless.
Hub just checked the rain guage.
Coming down at 3.4 inches per hour. Won't last an hour though. (I don't think.)
Here is Obama's budget plan....good luck reading.
http://24.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lx953nHjPh1qd9a66o1_500.jpg
You can't fix the budget entirely through defense
yes ... and i get a kick out of Rs who think they can fix budget mess by targeting discretionary spending ("evil" epa) sans defense.
non defense discretionary spending ~ $500 billion/yr
budget deficit ~ $1.2 trillion
Wow, that's some downpour. I hate when it rains that hard here. Let's hope it doesn't last long or you'll need an ark.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
or at least a TARP
merchants of fear wrote:
So THAT'S where my cash went!
Comrade Kristina wrote:
We usually put in one or two for fun. The dollar store has 12-14" seedless watermelons so spending $4 on watering them to size is just not conservative.
Run liz, get away from the TARP there's
s under it.
Gridlock wrote:
They also have oil and have had it for a generation+ I think. They used the proceeds to create a fund for their future.
So JFK got exactly what he requested?
How did you ever pass the third grade?
Lightening up already.
Swale not overflowing yet, but some puddles forming on the front lawn.
CalculatedRisk wrote:
That's why using
strikeis great for editorial clarity ..Example # 1: The
"Surges"is from the Dallas Fed, or one can use the word udder bullshit :moo:Yes, they have oil and they gasp haven't privatized it to enrich only the top 1% of their population like we, quite clearly superior capitalists do.
YESSSSSSSS!!!! D
FIGHT TIME!!
lawyerliz wrote:
Lightning or lightening?
1 currency now -yogi wrote:
You nasty motherfucker. All I said was that JFK spent 35% of the federal budget on defense. You took a cheap shot at me implying that I didn't know how the federal budget process worked. Take you lumps for being an asshole and STFU.
Haralambos wrote:
Because they thought about the future.
Something we in the US haven't done for the last 30 years or so.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Which type of infrastructure? City of Atlanta, GA : Municipal Option Sales Tax (MOST)
TJ and The Bear wrote:
My proposal was cutting $40B/yr for ~15 years and putting that money into actual wealth-accreting investments.
So yes, I do think we can fix the present shortfall entirely through defense cuts.
And as for defense sector jobs, we'd get better ROI just paying 5M people $50,000/yr to play xbox all day.
Here's Simon Johnson's view on what will happen as the Euro collapses one nation at a time:
U.S. Banks Aren’t Nearly Ready for Coming European Crisis - Bloomberg
Here's a sample worth thinking about:
"As a warm-up, consider first a simple contract. Let’s say you have lent 1 million euros to a German bank, payable three months from now. If the euro suddenly ceases to exist and all countries revert to their original currencies, then you would probably receive payment in deutsche marks. You might be fine with this -- and congratulate yourself on not lending to an Italian bank, which is now paying off in lira.
But what would the exchange rate be between new deutsche marks and euros? How would this affect the purchasing power of the loan repayment? More worrisome, what if Germany has gone back on the deutsche mark but the euro still exists -- issued by more inflation-inclined countries? Presumably you would be offered payment in the rapidly depreciating euro. If you contested such a repayment, the litigation could drag on for years.
What if you lent to that German bank not in Frankfurt but in London? Would it matter if you lent to a branch (part of the parent) or a subsidiary (more clearly a British legal entity)? How would the British courts assess your claim to be repaid in relatively appreciated deutsche marks, rather than ever-less- appealing euros? With the euro depreciating further, should you wait to see what the courts decide? Or should you settle quickly in hope of recovering half of what you originally expected?
What if you lent to the German bank in New York, but the transaction was run through an offshore subsidiary, for example in the Cayman Islands? Global banks are extremely complex in terms of the legal entities that overlap with business units. Do you really know which legal jurisdiction would cover all aspects of your transaction in the currency formerly known as the euro? "
That's because we quite simply do NOT care about people at all. Profit is the only thing that matters.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
We will soon enough... with the slight difference that the enemies killed in the game are also dead IRL.
:shudder: Yep.
No lightning, some wind.
Actually, it's heavy rain again.
Oh shut up asshole. Quit projecting your own personality flaws on others. (Yeah, I know, you'll retort with
, hahhahhah). You can't win at dawgiecalvinball.
Gridlock wrote:
This left-libertarian hearts Norway. I'd move there if they weren't so latidunally-challenged, plus their moon-man language looks harder than Japanese.
trouble in paradise though:
Statoil: Strike to cost $19M a day in lost revenue - MarketWatch
Y'all get out of the way. We want to watch the fight.
Testosterone alert.
Going downstairs to cook some sphaghetti.
Hope power doesn't go out.
Paradigm Lost wrote:
Total cluster f
Financial universe will hit full stop.
Yeah, it's not an easy language to learn but it might be worth it to get away from these nuts here.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
I'd argue $40B out of defense isn't nearly enough, but how you cover $1.4T with $40B is beyond me. New math?
we need :olympic scorecards: that we can hold up
Good luck, liz. I just pulled the Shepherd's pie out of the oven a little while ago. I cooked it early in case we lost power later.
lawyerliz wrote:
Good luck! Stay safe...
i love the smell of F bombs in the afternoon
It will be fun to watch, for awhile. Until we get hungry and stuff.
THE CANARY IN THE GOLD MINE
Amphora Report
http://www.atomcapital.co.uk/wp-content/files_mf/1337350830AR_0512b.pdf
FDIC: Press Releases - PR-68-2012 06/12/2012
Got

Yes thats Tier 1...
Individuals care. Anonymous mobs don't. Guess which your government is....
Haralambos wrote:
You're going to like this:
Norway Buys Greek Debt as Sovereign Wealth Fund Sees No Default - Bloomberg
Norway Oil Fund Rejected Greek Debt Swap, CEO Slyngstad Says - Bloomberg
Kinda bogus that Norway invests its rentier profits in Greece, then complains about getting burned.
Easy come, easy go, eh.
Former Idealist wrote:
My government is a democratic republic. As long as we can keep it, as the man allegedly said.
josap wrote:
Anonymous mobs...hmmmm. You mean like JP Morgan and GE and Fox News and Goldman Sachs...Our government is completely captured by multinational business interests. So no, they care about nothing but the profits for their keepers. I assume that is what you meant?
"That's because we quite simply do NOT care about people at all. Profit is the only thing that matters. CK
Individuals care. Anonymous mobs don't. Guess which your government is.... "
I was at a couple of companies during mass layoffs. It was always interesting, in a sad way, watching the change in people when their livelihoods were on the line.
I keep thinking about how quickly things "flipped" in September/October 2008.
Haralambos wrote:
Now, you hand 'em a credit card and welcome them to the machine.
but how you cover $1.4T with $40B is beyond me.
W/O tax cuts
my money on extension for everyone
but some Ds are pushing for raising them on the "rich" ... @ $250K level some $800+ billion over 10 years ... @ $1 million about half that.
either case - :dropinbucket:
TJ and The Bear wrote:
$40B/yr cuts every year, pushing the defense expense down to $200B/yr by 2030.
Now, the Medicare tax could use doubling, and we'll also need to work on getting our $8000/capita health expense a bit close to the global median (of $4000).
Snapshots: Health Care Spending in the United States & Selected OECD Countries - Kaiser Family Foundation
But defense is clearly the long pole in the tent here. I welcome the sequesters, LOL.
yep
"An "entitlement" is something you get for nothing (like a Fraud St. bonus),"
Errr, no. You should look up the definition of the word.
What say we adopt JFKs last budget adjusted for inflation/population/whatever just keeping the percent of GDP and percent of Federal budget by department the same?
Oooops, Dept of Education. There's a $94 billion savings right there.
Haralambos wrote:
Yes, the gift that expressed anticipation of the future. The idea that a little saved, and added to over time, brought a reward in the future. A small way to invest in both the child, the country and the dreams those held.
Executive Order--Russian Highly Enriched Uranium | The White House
Also,
EU Confirms Full Iran Oil Embargo to Start Sunday - WSJ.com
josap wrote:
And when the inflations came the lesson was learned. Burned into their brains actually.
I welcome the sequesters, LOL.
MIC will be sending out mass layoff notices ... right before the election ... dem boyz know how to play cards
Now we would call them "suckers".
RATM wrote:
PressTV - China says oil imports from Iran fair, reasonable
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Tips hat. You said it far better.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
Or muppets.
Yes, or muppets.
Asian gold bugs eye price weakness, c.bank buying
| Reuters
Sure there is weakness, but they are buying....Just tossing this out there for a swim.
black dog wrote:
http://growabrain.typepad.com/growabrain/Morans.jpg
was a defense worker in St Louis, yes.
I remember visiting Beijing back in 2005. I visited and stayed in the areas that foreigners don't visit very often.
Buildings being built 24/x with blow-torching going on at midnight.
I recall seeing a migrant worker being pulled out of a super-market (most likely to have his ass kicked) for cutting in line at the roast-duck line.
The migrant workers get pushed into the crappy areas to live. If they can afford a place to live.
They can't send their children to school because you need a permit to live in Beijing (as well as most major cities in China). Of course you can purchase that if you have enough money.
And that's Beijing, which is WAY,WAY better than the 2nd or 3rd tier cities.
That's the under-belly of the "libertarian free-market" miracle in Asia.
Comrade Kristina wrote:
I think we call them Marx.
Also,
EU Confirms Full Iran Oil Embargo to Start Sunday - WSJ.com
Good timing. Yeah they are trying to make things worse.
poic wrote:
I have absolutely no clue what libertarians you are talking about in this regard. The only admirers of asian state capitalism that I see are generally from the left.
Paradigm Lost wrote:
Thanks for putting this up. I for one do not mind the length of such posts. I tend to focus on the micro or even nano level of my neighborhood and my personal experiences by tending my Voltarian garden and reporting on how things seem to be going. A collapse of the euro will never be orderly. Johnson lays out a few problems. I tried to indicate a few more in my comments on printing in Greece and the euronotes that bear different serial number codes depending on the country that issued them. Imagine trying to redeem Greek euronotes from Greece with a new drachma. My cash holdings have probably 10 different euronote issuers in them. This is just the tip of the iceberg.
Should Greece somehow be induced or forced to leave the euro, I think all hell will break loose as the dominoes fall. There is no mechanism for dealing with what will happen if countries are forced out of the euro or induced to leave. One likely consequence will be that those countries will introduce currency controls, and that will be the end of those countries adherence to the EU treaties. Please correct me anyone who knows more than I do about these mechanisms and many of you follks must, but I ad this simply because I have not seen it in the comments, but then I am seven time zones + away from many of you and more for some.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Big boy table. Big boy rules. China is making a very serious miscalculation.
Rob Dawg wrote:
education. who needs it.
The majority of funding went to just three programs: Elementary and Secondary Education Act Title I Grants to Local Education Agencies, the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) State Grants, and the Pell Grant program for college students. Collectively these three programs received $48.9 billion in fiscal year 2011.
"The only admirers of asian state capitalism that I see are generally from the left. "
GMAFB I read the dreck on this board and others every day. How we just need to get rid of worker rights, environmental regulation and the rest of the garbage. Then we can get back to what made us great as a country.
//gotta keep breathing slowly.
t r orwell wrote:
He was the commencement speaker at the ECONOMICS department. When I was there it was full-speed Supply-Side craziness. Infinite machines like "hamburger replaces a steak because there are infinte choices." Economics was on full-speed physics mathmatifaction in an effort to lose the "social science" stigma too.
What I remember most clearly was how beholden these guys were to the Fed. It was the ultimate signal that you "made it" at Economics. Perhaps a distant second was working for a presidential campaign. Yet another signal I had made the wrong choice.
black dog wrote:
Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity
Putting a deficit ceiling fight with the potential consequence of automatic defense cuts right before the election doesn't look like such a good idea now...but is hardly evidence of a conspiracy...
poic wrote:
I sure as heck don't want to buy locally manufacturer galvanized roofing nails. Let them bear the environmental and health burden of my cheap construction materials.
poic wrote:
...as it should be...
The great thing about the Asian Capitalism Miracle is it meets everyone's needs.
The left can point to the benefits of state capitalism.
The libertarians/right can point to the benefits of reduced regulation.
Yancey Ward wrote:
any (right-) libertarian. China is exactly what libertarians want, those with the gold making the rules, with approximately zero democratic institutional power to restrict that.
That's the Koch/Olin vision in a nutshell. An apt receptacle.
Paradigm Lost wrote:
The transition from a sovereign currency to the Euro had to go through the same thing. Why would going back be any different?
The why this is the new bogeyman is a transition out of the Euro means, haircuts for the lenders. More than one haircut if the sovereign is creative.
poic wrote:
Laws and regulations are artificial constructs that restrict freedom and separate man from the higher reality of the almighty
Goddollar and the Universal Law (caveat emptor).OHMMMMMM..... OHMMMMMMMMMMM.....
Rob Dawg wrote:
Republicans, eagerly supporting the race to the bottom since 1880.
dirty_juheesus wrote:
The currencies were stable when the conversions-to-euros was fixed.
poic wrote:
You beat those strawmen to death, Poic.l
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Aka rewarding the worst performing.
"Financial universe will hit full stop. "
Yep. A blowout of mega proportions. It's ballooning bigger and bigger. Some HCNers have been pointing it out. We really don't know what's lurking in the dark matter.
China pretends to meet embargo rules, and Clinton pretends to believe them.
Yerps gotta enforce the embargo while they are still a going concern....
Rob Dawg wrote:
LBJ's whiz kids were working that page of the playbook in the mid-1960s too.
Yet it was us evacuating our embassies in 1975, not them.
Yancey Ward wrote:
Probably the same libertarians that are quoted as advocating anarchy and/or stifling austerity...there's probably a commune of them somewhere in Northern California kept specifically for this purpose, though they may have been replaced with a web page that generates "Random Libertarian Quotes"™
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Bullshit. The most prominent proponent of China's way of doing things is Tom Fucking Friedman. I can't think one single libertarian that admires China.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
A great decal is thus made.
JP wrote:
Time is smoothing over the instabilities for you. The exchange rates will be negotiated. This is not new.
Rob Dawg wrote:
chicken meet egg.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Ah, cumulative -- okay, now I understand. You'll never get down to $200B; 3% of GDP is pretty much the historical low. The rest will have to come from elsewhere.
no doubt Iran won't sell some oil at $80 that it will soon be able to sell at $200
Yancey Ward wrote:
Friedman is a libertarian.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Freeing the slaves, busting the trusts, civil rights, EPA but what have they done lately?
Comrade Troyski wrote:
If we were just smarter, more intelligent and more educated, we wouldn't need ethics or honesty. We could just outwit the other team and do whatever we wanted.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Proof that you are completely ignorant of who Tom Friedman is.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Yes, RD. I recall the guns and butter speech. I was in 8th grade in a small village that was very working class with ag and some mills. Several of our teachers explained the metaphor to us, and none of them presented it a a fallacy. It took me another five yrs and well into the campaign in VietNam to realize the disconnect.
Yancey Ward wrote:
the guy who's married to a billionaire?
"Bullshit. The most prominent proponent of China's way of doing things is Tom Fucking Friedman. I can't think one single libertarian that admires China. "
I can think of many faux libertarians who admire China.
poic wrote:
Then they aren't libertarians, are they?
Comrade Troyski wrote:
At least in California the reverse is the norm. Spending inverse to outcomes. In 1978 California was among the top 5 in education. Exactly one K-12 education cycle later California was in the bottom 5. What happened in 1978? And to stop the first 50 replies; it was not Prop 13. Public school funding went up that year, way up.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Yeah. Are you telling me that makes him a libertarian?
"Then they aren't libertarians, are they? "
When the rubber meets the road very, very few people are true to their principles.
That's why I use the term libertarian rather than Libertarian.
I also differentiate socialists and Socialists the same way.
And capitalists and Capitalists.
Like I said, watch what happens to people during a big layoff at a company.
Rob Dawg wrote:
LOL. "You know, I've lost the South for the Democratic Party"
Teddie was so disgusted with the Republican Party that he created his own, and beat them in 1912.
That was a northern initiative, and if you didn't have your head completely up your ass you'd know there are few, soon to be no, northern Republicans today.
NRDC: The Bush Record
Hmmm Anarchists and anarchists...