Occupancy rates? SRSly? I mean, can't we at least talk about DSK occupancy rants? Or just stick to plain old vanilla rumors?

Occupany 100% anywhere within 90 miles of Yellowstone until September.

Romney is the second most liberal person to ever run for president.

You're telling me, hell I had the Dope as a Governor...Another useless Hack. America hasn't a clue about this man.

shill wrote:

You're telling me, hell I had the Dope as a Governor...Another useless Hack. America hasn't a clue about this man.

And when his policies don't work it will be because he was such a "radical right-winger".

Politics is a form of insanity.
Economics is a form of politics.

"I should tell my story. I'm also unemployed."

—Mitt Romney, speaking in 2011 to unemployed people in Florida. Romney's net worth is over $200 million.

At least Romney knows how to run a business (into the ground.)

Apparently New Democracy is going to win ... at least that is the rumor Wink

The Central Bank rumor was hilarious ... uh, duh, if there are financial strains, the CBs will provide liquidity. Not much of a rumor. The question is: Will there be financial strains next week?

Also on Greece: Golden Dawn (far right) shot themselves in the foot (the face slap incident), and that will hurt them at the polls. That is a little bit of good news - extremists groups are pretty scary.

Hotel Occupancy rates are up, gas prices are down, coincidence ?

Would have saved time to shoot themselves in the face.

U.K. Aims to Mute Impact of Crisis - WSJ.com

Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne and Bank of England Gov. Mervyn King announced plans to flood banks with cheap funds in a dual attempt to jump-start lending to British households and businesses and to fend off potential financial problems at big U.K. lenders.

Romney will be Bush/Obama 2.5 revision...so expect nothing and you will be ok.

Like I said he was useless in Massachusetts and he will be useless in Washington as well. But I am sure the acting classes are paying off for him.

"Corporations are people, my friend… of course they are. Everything corporations earn ultimately goes to the people. Where do you think it goes? Whose pockets? Whose pockets? People's pockets. Human beings, my friend."

—Mitt Romney to a heckler..

CalculatedRisk wrote:

shot themselves in the foot (the face slap incident)

Watch the mixed metaphors...

So spoketh Kennedy to Romney. He's just a mouthpiece for the SCOTUS.

shill wrote:

Like I said he was useless in Massachusetts and he will be useless in Washington as well.

In MA he didn't even have the votes to sustain a veto...the legislature ran the state and he was just along for the ride...

Googled financial repression. yep

so expect nothing and you will be ok.

Rose Colored Glasses Kool-Aid

Romney: a hard cap on federal spending

In MA he didn't even have the votes to sustain a veto...the legislature ran the state and he was just along for the ride...

You are correct Cinco

Rickkk wrote:

Everything corporations earn ultimately goes to the people. Where do you think it goes? Whose pockets? Whose pockets? People's pockets. Human beings, my friend."

If you agree, this is just another reason to vote for Mitt Romney.

CalculatedRisk wrote:

announced plans to flood banks with cheap funds in a dual attempt to jump-start lending to British households and businesses and to fend off potential financial problems at big U.K. lenders.

The flood of money that hits the lenders will stay with the lenders.

Announcement of one shot gun loaded, aimed and ready to be fired.
I think UK, US, EU, maybe China, India, Au do a co-ordinated shot gun blast - it will be the last shot fired.

Pigged Rickkk wrote on Thu, 6/14/2012 - 3:20 pm

  • This is almost as good as a 3D horror movie.

Piranha 3DD (2012) - IMDb
...that 3 "double D" Wink ...saw that trailer when i went to see Prometheus... Facepalm

shill wrote:

In MA he didn't even have the votes to sustain a veto...the legislature ran the state and he was just along for the ride...
You are correct Cinco

Yup the buck stops over there!

Q?1: How many hotels are in this sample? Did we increase the amount of hotels in the last 5 years or was there a decrease? Gaaw-aawl-ly!

CalculatedRisk wrote:

New Democracy

Usually when you start seeing the word "New" in political party names war isn't too far off...

Mitt Romney has stated that he wants to eliminate unemployment insurance and replace it with private investment accounts.

Romney: Tax deal, bad deal - USATODAY.com

I hope he is successful in this endeavour.

Pitchforks and Torches

ac wrote:

Usually when you start seeing the word "New" in political party names war isn't too far off...

Typcall indicative of same ol', same ol' policies too....

Yup the buck stops over there!

Lol for sure Trader...here is in Mass suit cases full of money hang like ornaments at the state house. Just pick one with your name on it.

josap wrote:

The flood of money that hits the lenders will stay with the lenders.

That's why I think we should be fading whatever "easing" or "stimulus" comes along.

Sebastian

RATM wrote:

a site to behold

Stop abusing your monkey....

Mitt Romney has stated that he wants to eliminate unemployment insurance and replace it with private investment accounts.

http://www.blackradionetwork.com/images/userfiles/chaingang.jpg

I mean if we have fewer hotels in the mix and the revenue pool is going into a smaller consolidated group, it stands to reason that these metrics are totally meaningless:

Number of Bank Foreclosed Hotels in California Shot Up to 62

==> Hence, let's go backwards to this 2008 value:

The industry now has about 6,000 new hotels, with nearly 800,000 rooms, under development, a 27 percent increase from last year, according to Lodging Econometrics ...

Baw Humbug:

Financing Constraints Continue to Impede Project Migration Toward Construction in the U.S.

shill wrote:

Lol for sure Trader...here is in Mass suit cases full of money hang like ornaments at the state house. Just pick one with your name on it.

Didn't the last couple of speakers end up on the hoosegow?

Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne and Bank of England Gov. Mervyn King announced plans to flood banks with cheap funds in a dual attempt to jump-start lending to British households and businesses

how will that help (lack of) demand?

black dog wrote:

how will that help (lack of) demand?

Transubstantiation, infidel.

Useless. What's needed there and here are WPA, CCC type programs where people can work on domestic projects

Step 1) Lots of liquidity
Steps 2-99) ????
Step 100) Lots of organic demand

I would think they will reload and fire again and again.

BREAKING

AIG says Maiden Lane III loan fully repaid

Goldman Sachs $573,080
JPMorgan Chase & Co $415,075
Bank of America $398,850
Morgan Stanley $373,850
Credit Suisse Group $317,410
Citigroup Inc $301,550

awesome

shill wrote:

AIG says Maiden Lane III loan fully repaid

Totally politically motivated

Foreclosures up for first time in 27 months - CNBC

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Foreclosure starts rose year-over-year in May for the first time in more than two years - though they fell on a month-to-month basis - as banks resumed dealing with distressed properties after a mortgage abuse settlement earlier this year, data firm RealtyTrac said on Thursday.

The $25 billion settlement between major banks and states, formally approved in April, had been expected to jump-start foreclosure proceedings that were previously stalled by uncertainty about the liability of banks.

Overall foreclosure activity, which includes default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions, affected 205,990 properties in May, a 9.1 percent increase from April.

CalculatedRisk wrote:

Apparently New Democracy is going to win ... at least that is the rumor

You can bank on it, assuming there is a bank that is open.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Occupany 100% anywhere within 90 miles of Yellowstone until September.

Staycations. Stay in the US that is.

Cinco-X wrote:

that 3 "double D"

nice to see Doc Brown from Back to the Future making a good career reversal
from the days of sending DeLoreans into the past/future...

gab wrote:

I would think they will reload and fire again and again.

They don't have the money, the ability or the political backing.
Once more is all they get. And it will be very big. If the money can get to main street there is a chance. If it simply stays in the banks as it has in the past - all that money is of no productive use at all.

rosethorn wrote:

Useless. What's needed there and here are WPA, CCC type programs where people can work on domestic projects

How about compulsory military service since WWII got us out of the Great Depression.

Spain's Housing Market May Need Four More Years To Rebalance

The unwinding has begun: House prices have dropped 22% in nominal terms between first-quarter 2008 and first-quarter 2012, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. That's more than in any other eurozone country except for Ireland. However, the magnitude of the decline has to be juxtaposed against the 150% rise in prices in Spain between 2000 and the peak in 2008. We note that prices climbed 116% in Ireland and 60% in the eurozone on average over the same period.

RATM wrote:

Truly a man of the people.

unlike my Senator Chuck Schumer?

ac wrote:

How about compulsory military service since WWII got us out of the Great Depression.

It could be military, Peace Corps, Ameri Core, nursing homes, teachers aids.
And it needs to be 4 years. Need time for the oldsters to die off or retire.

josap wrote:

Really and possible reality, doom.

Too optimistic.

Brass want fewer bodies and more hardware. They want to cut soldier pay and health benefits. Facepalm

Duke of Con Dao wrote:

unlike my Senator Chuck Schumer?

You part of the !%? Do you own a a Senator? Congrats!

rosethorn wrote:

Brass want fewer bodies and more hardware.

Robots building war robots.
Now if we could just have them killing robots.

josap wrote:

How about compulsory military service since WWII got us out of the Great Depression.

Way too many bloaters. Medical bills would outweigh the benefits.

traderwalt wrote:

Congrats!

no. I was thinking Chuck and he quoted me filet mignon.

Georgia is #1!!!

Your morning jolt: Georgia jumps to national lead in foreclosure rates | Political Insider

Georgia leapfrogged past Arizona, Florida, California and Nevada to post the nation’s highest state foreclosure rate in May, the first time since February 2006 that Georgia’s foreclosure rate has ranked highest among the states.

WWII got us out of the Great Depression

people not having any jobs for 10 years, and then (thanks to rationing) having nothing to buy for 4, immense capital destruction in the rest of the modern world, significant advancements in dozens of tech areas -- aircraft, electronics, nuclear science, management science --millions of Americans getting years of free OJT in all kinds of fields in the military, and a totally deleveraged private sector had a lot to do with the eventual post-war recovery, which didn't show up until the 1950s IIRC.

Thinking that government can give us a better economy now is cargo cult thinking at its finest.

Our problem is the rent-seeking allowed to go on. That, along with the trade deficit, is the sucking chest wound of the system.

rosethorn wrote:

We note that prices climbed 116% in Ireland and 60% in the eurozone on average over the same period.

friends bought a place back in '91 in the new SoHo-like area of Barcelona for about 235k.
sold it in '03 and walked away with 500k in profit...

josap wrote:

Need time for the oldsters to die off or retire.

I was thinking since economics isn't about morality why don't we just "get rid of" all the people over 60.

Since morality is only for Republicans and religious freaks doesn't it make sense to do what is best for the economy?

Interesting comment from an Agora pub...

"By the way, did anyone else notice Dimon’s cufflinks yesterday? They had the presidential seal. "

Crown

Since morality is only for Republicans and religious freaks doesn't it make sense to do what is best for the economy?

Keep on drinking that Red Team Kool-Aid. Although I would avoid the grape variety if I were you.

ac wrote:

I was thinking since economics isn't about morality why don't we just "get rid of" all the people over 60.

Hey, I resemble that comment!

Heh. You know a topic is a bit of a yawner when the blog host is one of the first to zoom off topic. More Yerp! More Yerp! More Yerp!

Comrade Troyski wrote:

Our problem is the rent-seeking allowed to go on. That, along with the trade deficit, is the sucking chest wound of the system.

The trade deficit is currently supporting the private sector. The private sector would look even worse without it.

Obviously, a balanced current account is preferable but during deleveraging the private sector needs support wherever it can get it.

If we cut the budget deficit as well as the current account deficit in a balance sheet recession/depression then all hell will brake loose.

Private Sector Surplus or Net Saving = Government Deficit + Current Account Balance

people over 60 are economic deadweight but they're not a problem to be solved.

we could raise taxes to pay for their retirements.

but we the people do not want to raise taxes. we want to have our cake and eat it too, and will vote out any politician that does threaten to raise taxes.

we demonstrated that most convincingly in 1994.

List of countries by tax revenue as percentage of GDP - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia 

wass

ac wrote:

I was thinking since economics isn't about morality why don't we just "get rid of" all the people over 60.

Waiting.

CalculatedRisk wrote:

extremists groups are pretty scary.

So are the economic conditions that give them voice.

The Central Bank rumor was hilarious ... uh, duh, if there are financial strains, the CBs will provide liquidity. Not much of a rumor. The question is: Will there be financial strains next week?

well, why did they feel the need to announce this? Almost like announcing that they know something we do not.

RATM wrote:

Now hiring: U.S. Needs Another 600 Humans to Fly Its Robot Planes | Danger Room | Wired.com

I wonder if teenage gamers are hard to find.

Blackhalo wrote:

So are the economic conditions that give them voice.

POTD candidate

U.S. Needs Another 600 Humans to Fly Its Robot Planes

I found this last week:

http://i.imgur.com/mvIaA.png

and now is a good time to share.

(note the date)

dwb wrote:

Almost like announcing that they know something we do not.

Yes they do, but that doesn't mean they know what to do about it.

Keep on drinking that Red Team Kool-Aid. Although I would avoid the grape variety if I were you.

I hear the Blue Team flavored Kool-Aid tastes Wicked Pissah!

yuan wrote:

"Since morality is only for Republicans and religious freaks doesn't it make sense to do what is best for the economy?"
Keep on drinking that . Although I would avoid the grape variety if I were you.

On the basis of that idea Dostoevsky predicted the rise of Stalinism and the mass murders in Russian around 60 years before they actually happened.

I think it is one of the most uncannily accurate predictions in history.

He even almost got the name of the movement right!

Eric wrote Don't make the mistake of thinking everyone who trades something knows what it is.

What? I wanna be like Mike...er Jamie...... Smile

OK. So if you were going to bet your liquid net worth on one option contract tomorrow, what would it be?

Let the World print money. We will then see if:

MV=PQ

After taxes and negative interest rates, savers will be eating cat food. This is Bens plan.

Have you priced cat food recently. There is inflation.

RE wrote:

The trade deficit is currently supporting the private sector.

You have it backwards. The trade deficit is a financial drain on the private sector.

comrade mike wrote:

Have you priced cat food recently. There is inflation.

and veterinarian bills... oy ve

Former Idealist wrote:

savers will be eating cat food

the hedonics will work out nicely for them!

comrade mike wrote:

Let the World print money. We will then see if:
MV=PQ

If only the CBs could print velocity.

The trade deficit is a financial drain on the private sector

the trade deficit is pulling $600B/yr out of the private sector, which is being back-filled by the $1.2T fiscal deficit.

it's not the trade that's the issue, it's the money that is leaving our paycheck economy and not coming back (as wages).

follow the money.

dwb wrote:

well, why did they feel the need to announce this?

ding ding ding

umop apisdn wrote:

If only the CBs could print velocity.

oh, they can.

Its a chopper, baby Its a chopper, baby Its a chopper, baby Its a chopper, baby
Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt
Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt Cash, and no, I dont need a receipt

literally

OK. So if you were going to bet your liquid net worth on one option contract tomorrow, what would it be?

Pick one

AGNC goes Ex div Tuesday ( potential $39 dollar stock )

SVU Div gets paid tomorrow.

2 dice tosses.

Oh and MTGE goes Ex div as well.

Comrade Troyski wrote :

The trade deficit is a financial drain on the private sector

the trade deficit is pulling $600B/yr out of the private sector, which is being back-filled by the $1.2T fiscal deficit.
it's not the trade that's the issue, it's the money that is leaving our paycheck economy and not coming back (as wages).
follow the money.

Correct. The back-fill has been positive since 2009. It was negative from 1997 through 2008.

energyecon wrote:

ding ding ding

yup.

:shit: -> :fan:

the home equity withdrawal bubble of 2003-2007 was a close simulation of a mass money drop.

I don't see how the system can rig up something of that scale again.

we're talking a spike that was 20% of total wages:

Graph: Household Sector: Liabilities: Household Credit Market Debt Outstanding (CMDEBT)/Compensation of Employees, Received: Wage and Salary Disbursements (A576RC1) - FRED - St. Louis Fed

Way too many bloaters.

The junk food and fast food industry is a big part of the eCONomy too.

adding mzmv to my above chart:

FRED Graph - FRED - St. Louis Fed

shows how the housing bubble itself was a minor reversal on the overall trend

justaskin wrote:

Eric wrote Don't make the mistake of thinking everyone who trades something knows what it is.
What? I wanna be like Mike...er Jamie......

Markets.....

Erie County has had a state mandated "Control Board" (nice budget for those folks, I might add) for several years now......they recently transitioned to a "soft" board....
Right now the county is fighting with the board over bond issuance...going back into our "capitol" (sic) markets for some "capital improvements" funding...(hmm,,,Bills stadium improvements, anyone)....
Seems the CB gets a better rate than the County, but the new County exec. is worried that if he (that's the royal "he" there) doesn't float something , our credit rating might get, shall we say, old & tarnished.....

It's all fascinating.....almost like Wallenda over the Falls, except they've insisted on a tether for him....watch on Friday, maybe he'll flip the 'biner.....

Have you priced cat food recently. There is inflation.

Cans and cartons with the junk food are smaller but prices increase.

poic wrote:

"oh, they can."

I still haven't gotten a check in the mail. you want me to panic into moving cash? - send me a $100k check and send one to all my neighbors.

"I still haven't gotten a check in the mail. you want me to panic into moving cash? - send me a $100k check and send one to all my neighbors. "

You said they can change money velocity by dropping money. I don't see that in any graphs that track money velocity.

What do you mean "they don't have the money(?)" The Fed and other central banks have unlimited power to create money.

savers will be eating cat food

And then get sick and use the medical system...

You said they can change money velocity by dropping money. I don't see that in any graphs that track money velocity.

the can change it, but it would require adding a zero onto the checks.

$250 stimulus checks about to hit mailboxes » Corpus Christi Caller-Times

The 2% FICA cut was taken by the landlord, of course.

O.C. apartment rents up $40 a month - Lansner on Real Estate : The Orange County Register

The Fed and other central banks have unlimited power...

Many people don't see it that way thanks to the media/govt. brainwashing and many people don't even know what a central bank is.

poic wrote:

Velocity of M2 Money Stock (M2V) - FRED - St. Louis Fed

LOL. You can lead a horse to money supply, but you can't make him spend.

BTW, is there any HCN award for terrible and/or mixed metaphors? I feel like I'm way ahead in this regard lately.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

$250 stimulus checks
The 2% FICA cut

That was Congress, not the Fed.

the problem is we can't inflate our way out of our demographic challenge, our housing rents, nor our energy costs, nor our health care costs.

this is where I part intellectual company with the Krugs. Being a neoclassical, he lacks the perspective of the heterodox peeps who I think are closer to the ugly truths here.

JP wrote:

BTW, is there any HCN award for terrible and/or mixed metaphors? I feel like I'm way ahead in this regard lately.

:MMMI: Steel Toed Bunny SlipperSteel Toed Bunny Slipper

OT: I'm behind the conversation as usual. Quick question for any takers about CPI inflation numbers from previous thread: why are dollar values from past years always low when adjusted forward through the inflation calculator?

Example: Hoover Dam. Say it was completed the year it was started in 1931 for the reported $49million cost. What cost $49,000,000 in 1931 would cost $694,788,524 in 2010. Does anyone really believe the Hoover Dam would cost less than $1Billion today? The CPI would say the Pentagon was built in 1941 for $1.2Billion in 2010 dollars. In fact, if I take the purchase price for any house that is 40 years old or so, the current price always seems less than what I think it could even be CONSTRUCTED for today.

What am I missing? Serious question, not a rant against "official government" numbers.

That was Congress, not the Fed.

Last I checked, the money has FEDERAL RESERVE stamped on it. Their money, their rules.

JP wrote:

poic wrote:

Velocity of M2 Money Stock (M2V) - FRED - St. Louis Fed

LOL. You can lead a horse to money supply, but you can't make him spend.
BTW, is there any HCN award for terrible and/or mixed metaphors? I feel like I'm way ahead in this regard lately.

Tanta used to muddle metaphors like a mad bartender. Delicious.

Anyway. The Fed thinks that when balance sheets are repaired anf inflation heats up they will be able to just pull all that money back. Fuggedaboutit. Call it a POMO and move on. Brace for the inflation storm when it leaks out.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

The 2% FICA cut was taken by the landlord, of course.

Thought it was to help cover the increase in gas prices.
Or maybe the jump in utility costs.
Then again, could have helped offset medical or education costs.

Why no Its a chopper, baby Its a chopper, baby s?

How about they have a certain amount of time to lend out X dollars, or they have to give it back again?

What am I missing? Serious question, not a rant against "official government" numbers.

quality of construction. The Pentagon, as built, was a pile of crap for one.

safety costs money, too

Hoover Dam - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

back then there was more oversight on waste perhaps. People were a LOT hungrier and willing to work for very low wages, too.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

Last I checked, the money has FEDERAL RESERVE stamped on it. Their money, their rules.

I was referencing the stimulus checks from the Treasury, and the 2% FICA cut. Did not see the Fed's name stamped on any of those. And both of those took acts of Congress in order to happen.

(But yes, somebody else's rules. Why are we arguing about this??)

Just send everyone $10K and see what happens.
Lots will be spent, some will pay off debt.
But that money will move - and fast.

not_going_to_post wrote:

What am I missing? Serious question, not a rant against "official government" numbers.

Prevailing wages. Oversight. Bidding process. Gold plating. My old company bid a part for the shuttle program that was NTE less than the winner's deliverable charge for the documentation alone. We lost because we declined to provide enough paperwork.

(But yes, somebody else's rules. Why are we arguing about this??)

It will all be important when the contagion unfolds and later when the trials begin.

and the 2% FICA cut

the 2% FICA cut is close to Fed money printing. Treasury is just printing the bonds to "fund" that.

The next step is, of course, the Fed buying the Treasury bonds to fund the next money drop.

Just like China et al were buying the Agency bonds that were funding the mortgage bubble money recirculation.

Now, I don't think the Fed will start sending charged-up VISA debit cards to 100 million households every month.

But they could, I suppose.

I wouldn't think Krugman believes that the Fed targeting an inflation rate will solve what are essentially fiscal problems.

I'm certain he wouldn't believe that's the answer to our health care cost issues.

not_going_to_post wrote:

why are dollar values from past years always low when adjusted forward . . .
Example: Hoover Dam. Say it was completed the year it was started in 1931 for the reported $49million cost. . . Does anyone really believe the Hoover Dam would cost less than $1Billion today?

Don't buy it. I don't care how much they say it's worth now. And that Brooklyn Bridge? It's not exactly a bargain either.

Yeah, but the Hoover Dam was supposedly this HUGE government works project to create jobs. Less than 1Billion today is NOTHING. If we had a 30s style stimulus project today, no one would even start debating a number smaller than $100B.

I wouldn't think Krugman believes that the Fed targeting an inflation rate will solve what are essentially fiscal problems.

I think his thesis is missing the possibility that money drops will make things a lot worse, that the rent-seekers will just skim the intervention off in the end, leaving the masses no better off.

Comrade Troyski wrote:

Now, I don't think the Fed will start sending charged-up VISA debit cards to 100 million households every month.
But they could, I suppose.

That would be the high-tech equivalent of the helicopter money drop that gave rise to Bernanke's nickname.

josap wrote:

Just send everyone $10K and see what happens.

Laddered CDs with differing maturing dates. Can't wait? Sell the note FMV.

"no one would even start debating a number smaller than $100B. "

Go big or go home!!

poic wrote:

"no one would even start debating a number smaller than $100B. "

Go big or go home!!

Beware of Greeks paring grift.

California Hedge Fund Is Latest Europe Crisis Casualty - Bloomberg 
Hedge-fund manager Paul Sinclair is the latest casualty of Europe’s sovereign-debt turmoil, almost six thousand miles away from the epicenter of the crisis.
Sinclair, who is based in Los Angeles, is liquidating his $458 million health-care equities fund, Expo Capital Management LLC, after more than five years, as political decisions made on the other side of the globe have undermined his stock picks and spurred losses for a second year
.

merchants of fear wrote:

as political decisions made on the other side of the globe have undermined his stock picks

He must be a regular here. Blame the unanticipated that should have been.

How many transactions does it take before a dollar winds up overseas ?
How long until that dollar finds it's way back ? Perhaps we have to worry
about velocity at home and abroad.

I should send Sinclair an invite to my loss-diversification newsletter. Seems like he needs it.

If you're homeless, are you always on straycation?

The latest scam seems to be to say that American companies are not affected by what is happening or will happen in Europe. As the article linked above indicates about hedge funds shutting down:
The turmoil in the global markets has spurred stocks across industries to rise and fall in tandem.

Interesting discussion, but alas, the Real World calls.
Nytol

Jackdawracy wrote:

If you're homeless, are you always on straycation?

We'll go under that bridge when we get to it.

umop apisdn wrote:

You have it backwards. The trade deficit is a financial drain on the private sector.

I apologize you and Troyski are right.

http://neweconomicperspectives.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/untitled-32.png

Maxed Out Mama makes the claim that the US economy is not being hurt at the
moment by the euro crisis . She says lower gas and lower mortgage payments
have delayed the negatives so far.

Blame the unanticipated that should have been.

Or call the anticipated unanticipated.

My take is that the guy sucked at investing OPM and he used Europe, the Fed, China, etc. as a convenient excuse.

He couldn't very well say, "I'm no good at my job so I'm hanging it up." now could he?

not under a Miami Bridge, hopefully.

How's the pyramid scheme going in Cairo?

Yep. I agree.

No flation for a while more.

Maxed Out Mama makes the claim...

Maxed Out Mama would know what's going on, right?

lawyerliz wrote:

not under a Miami Bridge, hopefully.

Facing the future.

Hard to be serious when two male Allen's Hummingbirds are just outside the door fighting over a female or territory.

I don't know, seems like maybe something about the scale is wrong. 49M in 1931 was 1.37% of federal spending. 1.37% of 2010 federal spending is 43.9 Billion! In 1931 the cost of the Hoover Dam was 63X the budget impact as the inflation adjusted value on the 2010 budget. This makes my head hurt. Are we really that much more productive now? I'll stop hijacking the thread now....

Well, she gives her opinion. I don't think she claims to be Kreskin.

Yep. I agree.
No flation for a while more
.

You must be avoiding grocery stores.

Don't stop, not going to.

productivity is bad!

lawyerliz wrote:

No flation for a while more.

Yes, but when it does come back... It is going to be particularly hard to explain to the American people that they are being outbid for all things domestic.

Well, she gives her opinion. I don't think she claims to be Kreskin.

I was sorta making a joke if she's 'maxed out', maybe she's not the best source.

A few threads ago I noted that a candy bar that now costs a dollar was but a nickel in 1966, and the 'official' inflation index has a 1966 dollar being worth close to $7 now, so they missed reality by almost 3x on an everyday product.

Gasoline was a quarter a gallon back then, and I don't see any for $1.75 a gallon out there, do you?

Gas down, clothes very cheap, houses cheap (except you-know-where), electronic stuff cheap, groceries up.

lawyerliz wrote:

Don't stop, not going to.

Ok then, help me think of a new handle. Since I have posted a few times now I should change my name.

She used to post here. She was verrry good

lawyerliz wrote:

Gas down

91 octane (regular) petrol: NZ$2.059/litre = NZ$7.79/US Gallon = US$6.07/US Gallon

clothes very cheap

Guess you haven't been to Kohl's or those kinds of chain clothing stores lately.

not_going_to_post wrote:

help me think of a new handle

now posting

She used to post here

Oh yeah. U R rite.

Think big! New handle:

now_gonna_post_a_lot

Paid $3.249 on Merritt Island, and today $3.379 in Miami; happened to be a black area. Signs up to $3.459.

That's about as creative as I could come up with. rarely_going_to_post? Maybe slow_rollin'_trollin'?

Kohl's or those kinds of chain clothing stores lately

I paid $6 for some $40 cargo pants last year. Clearance rack sales at Kohls are awesome.

Food, clothing, are not the long poles in the budgetary tent. Rent, gasoline, health care, education, government "protection" are.

"slow_rollin'_trollin'? "

Good one Laughing out loud

Jackdawracy wrote:

so they missed reality by almost 3x on an everyday product.

Feature, not bug Under-reporting inflation is a profitable endeavor. Now more than ever with COLA clauses.

Bought 12 pairs of Jockey tighty-whitey underware a little over a year ago and half of them have little holes in them from regular washing.

I've probably owned 100 pairs previously, and heretofore, never a problem.

Rents high, housing cheap in Miami.

Can't hardly get a loan.

Clearance rack sales at Kohls are awesome.

True. Lately not as great. And you have to like bright orange with funky stripes. Those are on clearance.

lawyerliz wrote:

clothes very cheap

A single pair of Levi's cost NZ$130

not_going_to_post wrote:

Ok then, help me think of a new handle. Since I have posted a few times now I should change my name.

Schroedinger's Post

edit: better with the umlaut

Comrade Troyski wrote:

I paid $6 for some $40 cargo pants last year. Clearance rack sales at Kohls are awesome

Discovered JC Penny's online clearance a few weeks ago. Jackets for $10-$20 bucks. Got a sweet zippered fleece pullover for $5. They basically were giving away the winter stock.

not_going_to_post wrote:

I'll stop hijacking the thread now....

It's an interesting topic! CPI is by-and-large an incremental measurement. The fact that the long term integration of the short increments would lead to largish errors is not surprising, but quantifying how far off is a worthy pursuit.

"slow_rollin'_trollin'? "

Or support_da_scamz

merchants of fear wrote:

Clearance rack sales at Kohls are awesome.

True. Lately not as great. And you have to like bright orange with funky stripes. Those are on clearance.

Let's just say it is a good thing Tom Stone and I are different sizes.

Jackdawracy wrote:

half of them have little holes in them from regular washing.

perhaps you should suspect the toxic nature of your farts? Innocent

So, Obama and Romney are liberals?

Boys, keep drinking the kool-aid.

The John Birch Society loves you.

lawyerliz wrote:

New Z == Kali?

Rent is expensive and houses are expensive.

merchants of fear wrote:

you have to like bright orange with funky stripes.

Those are Tom's shirts. Smile

lawyerliz wrote:

New Z == Kali?

Minus 40 years in many aspects. Mostly good. Some of their prices mystify me however. Like $130 jeans. And $50/kg salmon.

lawyerliz wrote:

Don't they have salmon??

Yes, just twice as expensive as ours. No data on penguin steaks.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Minus 40 years in many aspects. Mostly good. Some of their prices mystify me however. Like $130 jeans. And $50/kg salmon.

Permanent stimpak for Hawaii? I know Aussies go there just to shop.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Some of their prices mystify me however. Like $130 jeans. And $50/kg salmon.

Live mussels for NZ$2/Kg. Om-nom-nom-nom

30 years ago a home in Auckland was $75k and a newer car say 3 years old was closer to $50k (because of restrictive import duties)

Now the home is $500k and the car is closer to $10k

JP wrote:

CPI is by-and-large an incremental measurement.

If inflation is a monetary thing, isn't it at least tied to monetary base and correlated with GDP? Also, if CPI is just a Consumer Index, and not reflective of all prices, why would it be used to value All Dollars?

Full disclosure: Don't listen to me. I haven't got teh economic training. Most of my posts are just cries for help in understanding.

A long time ago, I represented a client who dealt in jeans.

He said the expensive ones were made in the same factory with the same people and the same cloth as the cheap ones. Label different. Don't know if this is still true.

I suppose if you have embroidery or sparkles on them, they might be more. But, maybe not.

lawyerliz wrote:

Don't they have salmon??

Introduced, and limited.

I fly fish there, mostly South Island.
Introduced Trout (Brown, and Rainbow), and some of the best fishing on Earth, but not always easy.

scone wrote:

Permanent stimpak for Hawaii? I know Aussies go there just to shop.

For Aussies, that makes sense. They are the 51st state, after all.

Also on Greece: Golden Dawn (far right) shot themselves in the foot (the face slap incident),

SNL so has to do a skit on that.

Someone please link it if they do.

josap wrote:

merchants of fear wrote:

you have to like bright orange with funky stripes.

Those are Tom's shirts. Smile

Them's mah huntin' shirts. They go real well with the blaze orange vest and the pink urban camo cargo pants. And man, them croc's make comfy shoes!

Jackdawracy wrote:

and the car is closer to $10k

How do you define "newer"? You obviously haven't been to a new car dealer in NZ.

Ok, so it's imported from far away. Aren't there tasty native fish?

lawyerliz wrote:

made in the same factory with the same people and the same cloth as the cheap ones.

The $198. Levis are made in US.
The $98. Levis are made elsewhere.

A newer 3 year old car with 60,000 miles, if you want to get specific.

lawyerliz wrote:

Aren't there tasty native fish?

Eels it you are into that.
Great Salt water fishing, with all those tasty treats.

In MA he didn't even have the votes to sustain a veto...the legislature ran the state and he was just along for the ride...

I'm only certain about two things in life.

I'm not voting for Romney, and I'm not voting for Obama.

lawyerliz wrote:

Ok, so it's imported from far away. Aren't there tasty native fish?

No. The salmon is raised in fisheries here in NZ.

The $198. Levis ...

$198?

Seriously?

Antipodes wrote:

Live mussels for NZ$2/Kg.

[Counts rapidly on fingers and toes... airfare... taxi...]
I'll be right over. Wink

What should I bring in addition to wearing three pair of Levis on the plane? Last time my sister (Aussie) was here she brought her iPad original and went home with and iPad2 in the same old case.

back to the Hotel Occupancy topic...

In 2010 at this time, we were all watching DWH spewing oil all over the gulf. In 2011, based on vehicle logs, retail fuel prices were spiking up close to $4/gal. This is the first summer since 2009 with no catastrophe, and with fuel prices finally moderating. It may be a collision of decent events for a change.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Antipodes wrote:

Live mussels for NZ$2/Kg.

[Counts rapidly on fingers and toes... airfare... taxi...]
I'll be right over. Wink

What should I bring in addition to wearing three pair of Levis on the plane? Last time my sister (Aussie) was here she brought her iPad original and went home with and iPad2 in the same old case.

Chardonnay, Sonoma County Chardonnay. kate's corner would be a good choice.

Jackdawracy wrote:

A newer 3 year old car with 60,000 miles, if you want to get specific.

A bit cheaper for a 5 year with 50,000 Km from Japan, as the Japanese sell their cars after 5 years. However, the gov't has recently introduced some restrictions on importing "New In NZ" cars from Japan.

New cars are astronomically expensive. I have no idea how people can afford many of the new cars. Puzzled

I'm trying to convine my wife to drop the satellite and buy a gym membership.
They have tv's on the stationary bikes, it's 2 blocks away, and it would save us
$40 per month. So far she is not convinced.

Way back when, all you needed to do to pay for your Aussie trip was to have about 100 sovereigns with an Australian mintmark on them. Sell them at the first bullion dealer you stopped at in Sydney or Melbourne.

Easy-peasy.

adornosghost wrote:

... some of the best fishing on Earth, but not always easy.

You say that without admitting the two go hand in hand.

Rob Dawg wrote:

What should I bring in addition to wearing three pair of Levis on the plane? Last time my sister (Aussie) was here she brought her iPad original and went home with and iPad2 in the same old case.

Any outdoor gear. All outdoor gear in NZ costs 3X what you pay for it in the US.

Rob Dawg wrote:

... some of the best fishing on Earth, but not always easy.

You say that without admitting the two go hand in hand.

Rotenone, plastique.

Jackdawracy wrote:

half of them have little holes in them from regular washing.

stop using a full cup of the new concentrated detergent (no Snark)....or, stop washing them in the crick.....

Antipodes wrote:

For Aussies, that makes sense. They are the 51st state, after all.

Me-ow. Are we just an itsy bitsy tad jealous in the cutesy teeny weeny country? :pats Kiwis head: Laughing out loud

Tom Stone wrote:

Chardonnay, Sonoma County Chardonnay. kate's corner would be a good choice.

NZ makes some decent Chardonnay, believe it or not. You just have to go for a bit higher price range per bottle, say, > NZ$20.

Outsider wrote:

I'm not voting for Romney, and I'm not voting for Obama.

As a Californian it is easy. My vote(s) make less than no difference. Structural disenfranchisement.

I'm not voting for Obama.

President Romney thanks you.

I remember how proud an aged round metal disc dealer in Wellington was of his 1978 Mercedes 240D that thanks to Bunker Hunt machinations with the silver market, he was able to purchase for $70k in 1981. You never saw a new car on the road back then and seldom do you now..

lawyerliz wrote:

Import taxes on everything?

Greedy distributors and retailers.

scone wrote:

American-made Diamond Gusset Jeans

Thanks, they even carry my size.

My vote(s) make less than no difference. Structural disenfranchisement.

there's the moral argument about overall vote share though.

So there is some difference in the social-political sphere.

I do tell mom her vote isn't worth stressing over. If Romney is taking California he won't have needed the EVs.

Imported hard liquor is 50-150% more than here.

scone wrote:

Are we just an itsy bitsy tad jealous in the cutesy teeny weeny country?

Jealous? Of Australia? Hahahahaahahahhaa!!!1!

No.

lawyerliz wrote:

He said the expensive ones were made in the same factory with the same people and the same cloth as the cheap ones. Label different. Don't know if this is still true.

In my salad days I worked the "warehouse sale" for a well know DC leather goods outfit......found several jackets with the "Made in USA" label stitched on top of the Korean one.....

Rob Dawg wrote:

You say that without admitting the two go hand in hand.

You are right--
a feature not a bug.
Just back in Sonoma after 9 days in The Village in NYC.
I think I'm on a different planet.

Jackdawracy wrote:

You never saw a new car on the road back then and seldom do you now..

Are you kidding? The city of chock full of new, expensive European import cars. Brand new off the lot. They pay astronomical prices for them. Like I said, I have no idea how these people can afford them. Puzzled

Outsider wrote:

I'm not voting for Romney, and I'm not voting for Obama.

New Keyboard 2008 redux

The $198. Levis ...
$198?
Seriously?

There is inflation. Inflation is.

I can't begin to understand how a country where the people make 2/3rds of what people make here on average, can afford $50k new cars that aren't all that.

Maybe they are 'designer jeans'.

Antipodes wrote:

Tom Stone wrote:

Chardonnay, Sonoma County Chardonnay. kate's corner would be a good choice.

NZ makes some decent Chardonnay, believe it or not. You just have to go for a bit higher price range per bottle, say, > NZ$20.

Kate's Corner goes for a bit more than that IF you can get a bottle. Good stuff.

adornosghost wrote:

Just back in Sonoma after 9 days in The Village in NYC.
I think I'm on a different planet.

It's certainly a different "Reality".

Rob Dawg wrote:

Red Rock Ghillie Suit Woodland Camo XL/XXL

No XXXXL? Need bigger sizes for the mall ninjas.

JP wrote:

It's an interesting topic! CPI is by-and-large an incremental measurement. The fact that the long term integration of the short increments would lead to largish errors is not surprising, but quantifying how far off is a worthy pursuit

I just tried this inflation calculator as it allows you to vary indexes.

Tom's Inflation Calculator

I used CPI-W for gas as gas obviously isn't subject to substitution and hedonics which IMO justifiably reduces the index and would result in a somewhat understated value.

Clerical Workers (CPI-W) on a monthly basis. We use the CPI-W to annually adjust benefits paid to Social Security beneficiaries and Supplemental Security Income recipients.

Gas at approx. $1.00 in 1980 would now be $3.03. Quiet reasonable.

Now I did the same calculation using the Shadowstats option: $10.72. Not so reasonable.

At least here the government wins.

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