gotta go...
Harry and Tonto on TCM in a few minutes.
...
plus, the gf is starting to feel dissed. I don't like having my cajones
stuffed in a Mason jar.
The Spanish government has formed the Fund for Orderly Bank Restructuring (FROB), which will accept loans of up to $125 billion from the euro zone and inject needed capital into its banks. The final details of the aid, however, will not be set until the European Commission conducts its own assessment of Spanish banks’ financial health.
Definition 4 from the Urban Dictionary: "4. Frob: False. Something that did not happen. Synonymous with the term Bullshit."
• At 7:30 AM ET, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for May will be released. The index increased to 94.5 in April from 92.5 in March. This tied February 2011 as the highest level since December 2007. The consensus is for a slight decrease to 94.2 in May.
• At 8:30 AM, U.S. Import and Export Price Indexes for May will be released. The consensus is a for a 1.1% decrease in import prices due primarily to the decline in oil prices.
I agree except I would guess Small Biz Optimism 'surprisingly' lower but I/E prices make total sense and not just oil either - metals are declining as well. Most anyway.
Financial institutions are also contributing to demand, buying from a shrinking supply of the highest quality debt to meet capital requirements set by the Basel, Switzerland-based Bank for International Settlements. The Basel III rules will “increase the price of safety” embedded in assets deemed a reliable store of value, the IMF wrote in an April 18 report.
Investors have bid $3.19 for each dollar of the $903 billion of notes and bonds auctioned by the U.S. Treasury Department this year, above the record $3.04 in all of 2011, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
Yields that are negative after accounting for inflation may be a sign that investors expect the pace of consumer price gains to slow, or fall like the deflation in Japan. Copper has declined 18 percent in the past 12 months, aluminum has tumbled 23 percent, cotton plunged 47 percent and oil has dropped about 14 percent.
A measure of investor expectations for inflation used by the Fed to set policy, the five-year, five-year forward break- even rate, which gauges the average increase in prices between 2017 and 2022, dropped to 2.56 percent on June 4, from a 2012 high of 2.78 percent on March 19.
There isn't even a legal operational source to fund the non-bailout the Spanish don't need, haven't asked for and won't accept. Last night's futures pop and European market rise was total kabuki.
Some top J.P. Morgan Chase JPM -2.55% & Co. executives and directors were alerted to risky practices by a team of London-based traders two years before that group's botched bets cost the bank more than $2 billion, according to people familiar with the situation.
Iran won't be making any deals after Obama leaked his Flame and Stuxnet attacks. China buys gold, to buy oil from Iran. I don't think Iran will give up its nukes for spare plane parts...Hillary is wasting as much time as the Iranians...
Evening SM, as the author noted the market is so small and speculative free right now, low key buy and hold in the Gold pit.
Evening Shill. The part I find interesting is that since specs are staying out, the correlation of miners to metal has returned. So the specs must have been the ones running the long metal/short miners trade.
If you really want to start a panic, impose capital & border controls in both euro & schengen zone when the smart money is already buying real estate in London.
Potentially the RE buying opportunity of the generation.
You should submit that to poic for use in his newsletter.
Along with the S & P, the Nikkei and several others. If we're going to have mp's slow-growth awesomeness for years to come, you'll have to be a stockpicker, because the indexes are not going anywhere.
Evening Shill. The part I find interesting is that since specs are staying out, the correlation of miners to metal has returned. So the specs must have been the ones running the long metal/short miners trade.
Good observation SM. I am actually scaling in on EXK..slowly... miners trade scares me. I had one good year in miners and prior to that I chased the market up and down and got crushed every step of the way, out of twelve months I think I caught one solid month, but the losses stuck.. I realized that miners like the metal is a dip buy and hold and keep the speculative hype and emotions at the door.
(Reuters) - Billionaire investor Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc has offered to buy Residential Capital LLC's mortgage unit, according to court papers filed Monday.
In throwing its hat in the ring, Berkshire Hathaway Inc, Buffett's holding company, is seeking to replace Nationstar Mortgage Holdings, owned by Fortress Investment Group , as the initial bidder for the bankrupt company's mortgage servicing unit.
ResCap, the mortgage unit of Ally Financial, filed for bankruptcy in May with a plan to sell the unit to Nationstar for about $2.4 billion. Ally is the former in-house financing arm for General Motors Co, previously known as GMAC, and is not in bankruptcy.
Berkshire, a major ResCap creditor, also offered to serve as the stalking-horse bidder for a portfolio of loans that ResCap had planned to sell to Ally for approximately $1.4 billion. The stalking-horse, or initial bidder, sets the minimum price, requiring other bidders at the auction to make higher counteroffers.
Yep. Unfortunately, the retirement industry is in denial about this. There's a researcher in Boston who says the markets are so dangerous, everyone would be better off in TIPS and cash, maybe an annuity. He's done some risk math, and sounds a lot like Taleb.
BTW, the day Greece leaves the Euro will be an interesting little experiment. My guess is, provided there isn't some massive nationalization program along with it, Greek markets will soar that day.
At some point people who plunge into Greek equities are going to make a mint.
Even at -90% I don't think we're there yet.
I don't know how much of the shipping is listed there vs London, but maybe @ 95% you might be able to pick up a handful of things at a steal.
Greece's fundamental problem is that it is a country that is ill equipped for a society based on any sort of land based transit or commerce and asides from legacy industries in shipping is largely irrelevant in the sea trade as well. Brutal terrain makes for a low velocity economy.
Add on all the cultural drag of the Ottomans/Dictators and Greek alphabet and a country already behind the 8 ball in the best of times is just well and truly fd
That's the thing: they really haven't. That's why the Romans overtook them followed by a bunch of other nations. That's why the Elgin Marbles are called the Elgin Marbles. That's why there's a massive Greek diaspora in the US, Australia, Mexico, Cuba, Canada, Germany, UK, S. Africa and almost any other country you can name. That's why the Greek police will lock up thieves who prey on tourists and throw away the key while Spanish police couldn't be bothered.
So yeah. Lowest percentage of distressed house sales in years. How come?
I've been searching Sacramento news for tips, but there's little analysis --buy or sell side-- that localizes a national trend (34% cash, of which 53% "investors", 37% "foreign", 10% owner-occupier driving the affordability of affordable stock to an equilibrium that's not expected move upward until 2016 (Carrie Reyes, Mar 2012). Sacramento Real Estate Statistics, WoW
That said, distribution of the National Mortgage Settlement award doesn't appear likely to alter buyer composition in Sac City or County. For one, I can't find anyone expecting California's share to escape the general obligation fund in payments to principal reduction or damages (although there's plenty investor interest in new muttifamily construction).
[T]he settlement does not cover homeowners whose mortgages are owned by government sponsored entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, according to media reports. Reportedly, these loans make up more than 60% of California homeowners, and the settlement itself will only apply to about 250,000 California homeowners.
Oddly enough, Reyes implies housing authorities such as SHRA will be the beneficiaries. If so, the construction sector would be the obvious if weak channel to homeowner relief.
His plans? Use the money to make interest payments on bonds used for housing projects which include housing for low-income residents, seniors and battered women.
The Attorney General protests using the funds this way, claiming the settlement was intended to help homeowners affected by foreclosure, thus the cash should be limited to alleviating foreclosure abuses. The Attorney General has stated she will attempt to work with Governor Brown to reach a mutual agreement for the allocation of the funds.
Only 27 states are putting their settlement cash towards housing programs. Like California, the remainder plan to use the cash to fill state budget gaps.
... Evidently the “solar-cycle-length is causing global warming” theory can’t stand the light of day.
This is the kind of nonsense we have to put up with from those who oppose doing something to deal with the global warming problem. Thoroughly refuted “theories” are regurgitated again and again, like zombies, long after they’re dead. They’re used to excuse conspiracy/fraud accusations. If proponents of this nonsense are given the dismissal which, in my opinion, they deserve, Anthony Watts and others will treat as martyrs. ...
Totally off topic, but here's a successful, upstanding citizen having a very bad day. Open the link and watch the video - it must be seen to be believed.
At some point people who plunge into Greek equities are going to make a mint.
I'd be really worried that the Europeans would size equities held by small time investors as collateral for bad loans. Not safe unless you have an army to back you up.
as long as you have a reasonable time frame. Meaning more than a year, generally.
my thesis is that we're going to be more ed the further you look out.
And I defy anyone to gainsay that with anything that countervails the demographic and physical realities coming our way.
Now, I still remember the quite ebullient reaction I had on hearing about that "Cold Fusion" jazz back in '89 -- I thought this century was going to be saved.
Absent a deus ex machina of that order, I don't see the upside here.
Totally off topic, but here's a successful, upstanding citizen having a very bad day. Open the link and watch the video - it must be seen to be believed.
Not just booze. I have seen people go off like that, not fun.
I'm glad that there was no device recording my similar reaction to Ben's printing in '09.
Having his investment dollars stuffed into USTs after failing multiple trades, yagij began to shout obscenities at talking TV heads and accused them of pocketing his $xx,xxx in cash they found in his trading account. He then repeatedly and violently slammed his head against the wall partition screaming, "Ben, you are taking my yield!!", until he passed out.
I listened to part of this today. The synopsis is a bit misleading from content of options discussed. The SMBA director's principle message was, the bureau does not originate business loans. Tough Times Financing Small Businesses
And I defy anyone to gainsay that with anything that countervails the demographic and physical realities coming our way.
Demographics says we have organic domestic growth in 2014 due to boomer echo children beginning household formation and plenty of semi reasonably priced housing stock in many markets coupled with rock bottom interest rates.
"Page not found" is quite appropriate. Watts is/was Heartland funded. What more do you need to know?
The truth. It has been proven time and again that the extent of WUWT/Heartland is two speaking engagements. Anthony wasn't even one of their top choices the CAGW top proponents having declined.
Anybody here ever taken out a HELOC? Once you're approved, how long and what steps before you can draw?
Yes - I did it when my second went to college at the same time the ceiling above the kitchen collapsed and the recession was beating up on my business. We only drew what we needed and took less than we were approved for and immediately started repaying [always a good idea if not required]. But it was a lot less painful than I anticipated.
I do NOT recommend it unless you really have few other options. For us it was either that or raid the 401K and IRAs [worse idea]. Most of my savings were in the retirement accounts. The kid took out loans too - we made sure she had skin in the game - even with aid it was not an inexpensive school.
I do NOT recommend it unless you really have few other options.
I have a 1921 mostly original bathroom that needs to be gutted, and the house needs tenting and termite repairs. I figure I'll do one or two projects at a time that I can pay off in 2 years or less. Other things can wait; those two projects need to get done.
I have a 1921 mostly original bathroom that needs to be gutted, and the house needs tenting and termite repairs. I figure I'll do one or two projects at a time that I can pay off in 2 years or less. Other things can wait; those two projects need to get done.
If the fixtures are in decent shape sell them on Ebay.
In recent weeks, the Obama administration alternately blamed the EU for weak US current account and encouraged the EU to re-establish a strong euro partnership. One might expect then that the Office of the US Trade Representative had ready financing and market intelligence to assist SME exporters to penetrate EU and NAFTA markets at the correct price points. This appears not to be the case when client-facing media report 5-year-old data points...
I have a 1921 mostly original bathroom that needs to be gutted, and the house needs tenting and termite repairs. I figure I'll do one or two projects at a time that I can pay off in 2 years or less. Other things can wait; those two projects need to get done.
That was what prompted us - ours is circa 1918 and remuddled in places. We did the bathroom 15 years ago after we discovered the only thing supporting the toilet was the drain itself - floor all rotted out. Cost a small fortune because we had to sister up joists then replace the floor [I put in quarter sawed oak - more stable]. Amazingly the tub never went through the floor prior to that [second story].
Then a few years after that my kid ran the toilet over and it went into the floor and caused the plaster ceiling above the kitchen to come down - all the way to the lathe. Nice.
My contractor estimated it at $15K - I told my wife $30K minimum. Again - once the counters were removed we discovered they had three different places where sinks were at different times - all rotten. Floors up - more sistering and then new floors. Cabinets. Appliances - etc.
$30K easy. That was the year my daughter went to an expensive private college and we went HELOC.
Indiana First State to Allow Citizens to Shoot Law Enforcement Officers
I guess cops will stop responding to calls in Indiana.
I just read the article at the link, and it looks like all the cops have to do is to stop doing home invasions, and stop involving themselves in domestic disputes.
If that's what the citizens of Indiana want, well....
I just read the article at the link, and it looks like all the cops have to do is to stop doing home invasions, and stop involving themselves in domestic disputes.
That will last until the next 'domestic dispute' gets called in and ignored - becomes a murder of mom and three kids before dad blows his brains out. Then it will be 'where was the police?'
That will last until the next 'domestic dispute' gets called in and ignored - becomes a murder of mom and three kids before dad blows his brains out. Then it will be 'where was the police?'
That already happens. Read any LA news lately? Guy holding his infant gets gunned down on the street. Where were the cops? GMAB.
You're scaring me, dryfly. It's a tiny bathroom and I can do the demo myself. I expect to replace the subfloor, but I hope the joists are okay.
The bathroom wasn't too bad - maybe $10K total including a new tub [clawfoot]. But the rotting and joist work was bad - what made it worse is they cut the joists to facilitate plumbing. Add the rot and we had a lot of work. They repaired the walls - cracked plaster - by just skinning it with 3/8 plaster board and replumbed and wired [we had nodes]. I then replaced the oak floor and refinished, painted - etc.
But the structural stuff I let them do. A full tub of water and my fat gluten swollen midwestern ass needed 'good support'.
I removed a section of cast iron pipe and replaced it. The flow runs from a back house under a vacant house and it seemed like a good time to do it. Only problem is I need to remove the lead they poured around the joint so that I can slip the rubber boot over the pipe. I'm considering chiseling it off, to minimize fumes or dust--- unless there's a better way?
I don't know what to do with the old "tile." It's aluminum, I think, painted to look like tile. Grouted and everything. It was cheaper back in the day. I'm sure it can be recycled, but do I just cart it to a recycling center, or what?
Do I need to post pictures of 4x4 joists crumbling under finger pressure?
I really should have taken pictures of our toilet only supported by the down spout - a Dr Seuss like thrown. How nobody went through the floor on that is also a mystery.
I don't know what to do with the old "tile." It's aluminum, I think, painted to look like tile. Grouted and everything. It was cheaper back in the day. I'm sure it can be recycled, but do I just cart it to a recycling center, or what?
There are scrap dealers who will take that off your hands, if it's really aluminum.
Feckless, horror stories aside it's a pretty simple job. Doing the demo yourself is smart and so is getting underneath with a flashlight and checking under the kitchen and bathroom areas for rot and termites. Why don't you sell it and move here instead? The sherriffs office is hiring...
Don't get me wrong -- the 80 million boomer retirement is going to be very stimulatory for jobs, 2015-2030.
It's going to be a 30 million person bumrush.
Put it's also got to be paid for, and how we're going to pay for it is what's currently under debate.
The Ryan Plan is to just cut our losses and wish the latter half of the BB best, but I don't think that's going to fly even when the (R)'s take over everything next year.
Dunno what plan B is. I know what my plan B is tho, "adios amigos" and a seat on a 747-8.
We did - then quarter sawn oak tongue and groove. And water resistant sheet rock for the wall skinning. It has help up really well.
Contractors tend to use the cheapest grade of Ply. I learned to use Marine ply and seal it again. I don't like redoing ANY jobs and if I can buy 10 more years cheaply...
There are scrap dealers who will take that off your hands, if it's really aluminum.
if it isn't clean it isn't worth much - clean meaning free of contaminants and the can see its really aluminum. If that old I doubt it is aluminum - that stuff was pricey back then. More likely tin or zinc.
I fell through my brother's bathroom floor. Fortunately I was half expecting it and did a little dance on the edges and the top of the water heater underneath it and jumped down. It was exciting.
The Ryan Plan is to just cut our losses and wish the latter half of the BB best, but I don't think that's going to fly even when the (R)'s take over everything next year.
It isn't going to fly as planned - but will result in the same regardless. The majority of us will work a lot longer than intended and die poorer than anyone imagined. The Dennis Hopper 'retirement' ad used to make me laugh - its different this time. Sure it is.
Contractors tend to use the cheapest grade of Ply. I learned to use Marine ply and seal it again. I don't like redoing ANY jobs and if I can buy 10 more years cheaply...
No reward in that except self satisfaction which is why we try to do the same.
Your own trout and steelhead stream, 10 acres of level bottomland with beautiful soil, a pond. 5 minutes from downtown guerneville and you pay land value.
Global Access for Small Business is a top priority of Ex-Im Bank. This initiative is dedicated to dramatically increasing the number of small businesses exporting goods and services to maintain and create U.S. jobs. Global Access is being supported by a wide variety of business, financial and government partners and is part of President Obama's National Export Initiative (NEI). On January 13, 2011, the initiative was launched by Chairman and President Fred. P. Hochberg with the Commerce Department, U.S. Trade Representative, Small Business Administration, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, National Association of Manufacturers, and several lenders....
Ex-Im Bank has aligned its goals for increasing small business export financing with President Obama's objective, announced at his State of the Union Address in 2010, to double U.S. exports in five years... FY'10 - FY'14
I don't think things will keep on keeping on. Consider the effects of a pandemic occurring in about 2 years in the midst of a greater depression. Something like those flu strains the bright boys have been playing with...
Hollande, who was elected last month, wants his political kin to control the powerful lower house of Parliament for the next five years so he can move forward with plans to strengthen the state's role in the economy, create thousands of teaching jobs and tackle high youth joblessness.
Final results released Monday from nationwide balloting the previous day showed the Socialists and their allies on the left winning at least 46 percent of the vote. The main conservative bloc - led by former President Nicolas Sarkozy's UMP party - had at least 34 percent.
... create thousands of teaching jobs and tackle high youth joblessness.
I mean imagine if our incoming leader forgot all about the worst economy since the 1930s and instead pursued unconstitutional heath insurance half measures.
Is there anything more important than self respect?
I've cut a few corners but that was only when I didn't know what else to do - even then we tried to leave it in such a way as to not totally destroy the place - so future remuddlers at least have something to work with.
Myth of Perpetual Growth is killing America - Paul B. Farrell - MarketWatch
Remember that when somebody mentions a future number in terms of percent of GDP, CBO is projecting a $25.7T real GDP in 2032.
That's $10T/yr more than now.
If we see the 1.8% pa job growth of the 1990s, compounded for 20 years, that's 190M jobs and only $135,000 of output per worker, 15% more productivity than now.
Going with half that job growth (1.1% pa, what 2011 gave us) will require $150,000 wealth creation per worker, 33% more productivity than now.
$150,000 per-worker productivity by 2032 will in fact solve a lot of things. Without it, though . . .
I mean imagine if our incoming leader forgot all about the worst economy since the 1930s and instead pursued unconstitutional heath insurance half measures.
Leave no child insurer behind.
The next term is going to be worse - no matter which one it is. Congress will make sure of that. You can't fight the tide.
Your own trout and steelhead stream, 10 acres of level bottomland with beautiful soil, a pond. 5 minutes from downtown guerneville and you pay land value.
Aren't gay trout a protected species?
Seriously, a great opportunity for someone who isn't still a few years short of getting the last kid into a UC.
$150,000 per-worker productivity by 2032 will in fact solve a lot of things. Without it, though . . .
In a services economy with modern technology - should be no problem. The problem is to make that kind of productivity you will need a lot fewer people. Its the economic distribution model that is broken - jobs don't do that very well anymore.
Partly due to my back fussing at me. Mostly because I have had enough conversations with epidemiologists and have read enough history to know that the probability of a pandemic is much higher than most realize. And the effects on a highly complex tightly coupled system won't be pleasant.
Mostly because I have had enough conversations with epidemiologists and have read enough history to know that the probability of a pandemic is much higher than most realize.
I had a microbiol prof tell me [circa 1978] the human race is the largest petri dish ever - and one that travels all over cross contaminating themselves daily.
Seriously, a great opportunity for someone who isn't still a few years short of getting the last kid into a UC.
It's definitely a buy. One of those that wouldn't still be on the market if some of the agents involved earlier knew what they were doing. It's the kind of deal I like, doable with enough of a challenge to make it interesting. And that seller is ready to deal.
The truth. It has been proven time and again that the extent of WUWT/Heartland is two speaking engagements. Anthony wasn't even one of their top choices the CAGW top proponents having declined.
The truth? Here is the direct quote from the Heartland documents:
Partly due to my back fussing at me. Mostly because I have had enough conversations with epidemiologists and have read enough history to know that the probability of a pandemic is much higher than most realize. And the effects on a highly complex tightly coupled system won't be pleasant.
And let us talk plainly. Most of the places most likely to be ground zero will deliberately export their problem in order to not suffer any worse than everyone else.
Mostly because I have had enough conversations with epidemiologists and have read enough history to know that the probability of a pandemic is much higher than most realize.
I had a microbiol prof tell me [circa 1978] the human race is the largest petri dish ever - and one that travels all over cross contaminating themselves daily.
My mother was a microbiologist with an interest in epidemiology. Some of the dinner conversations growing up were not conducive to a good appetite.
And let us talk plainly. Most of the places most likely to be ground zero will deliberately export their problem in order to not suffer any worse than everyone else.
My mother was a microbiologist with an interest in epidemiology. Some of the dinner conversations growing up were not conducive to a good appetite.
My mother was a public health nurse prior to stay home mom [then volunteered at free clinics]. I hear you.
Had I to do it over I would have gone epidemiology. Long story but circa 1978-79 I was discouraged from doing that because 'diseases were all cured' by then - just cancer and heart disease left to beat and it will be all done. The band played on.
My mother was a microbiologist with an interest in epidemiology. Some of the dinner conversations growing up were not conducive to a good appetite.
My mother was a public health nurse prior to stay home mom [then volunteered at free clinics]. I hear you.
Had I to do it over I would have gone epidemiology. Long story but circa 1978-79 I was discouraged from doing that because 'diseases were all cured' by then - just cancer and heart disease left to beat and it will be all done. The band played on.
Seriously - gotta snooze.
Mine ended up president of her union, twice. 5 kids in her family 2 union presidents, one world famous artist, one very successful farmer and one computer programmer who helped write the original code for COBOL. All a bit crazy. 2 of them were Gunnery Sergeants, USMC, one of them my favorite aunt.
Anthony Watts proposes to create a new Web site devoted to accessing the new temperature data
from NOAA’s web site and converting them into easy-to-understand graphs that can be easily
found and understood by weathermen and the general interested public. Watts has deep expertise
in Web site design generally and is well-known and highly regarded by weathermen and meteorologists everywhere. The new site will be promoted heavily at WattsUpwithThat.com.
Heartland has agreed to help Anthony raise $88,000 for the project in 2011. The Anonymous
Donor has already pledged $44,000. We’ll seek to raise the balance.
Don't know what property you're talking about now, but I'm still thinking about that 2400sf / $729 place you linked recently. Damn that was nice. You're killing me...
You are seriously misinformed. Fakegate has tainted the entire CAGW movement. The strategy document you are repeating has been proven a fake.
LOL and this is why Heartland is losing funding left and right? Show me a credible link? BTW Gleick has been reinstated. It appears it is you that is out of touch.
Heartland showed its true colors with statements like these:
“Efforts at places such as Forbes are especially important now that they have begun to allow high-profile climate scientists (such as Gleick) to post warmist science essays that counter our own. This influential audience has usually been reliably anti-climate and it is important to keep opposing voices out.”
The law is a response to a ruling by the state supreme court. The court ruled that there was “ no right to reasonably resist unlawful entry by police officers".
I think it will give a wonderful peek inside the mentality of any officer that is upset with this.
The law is a response to a ruling by the state supreme court. The court ruled that there was “ no right to reasonably resist unlawful entry by police officers".
I think it will give a wonderful peek inside the mentality of any officer that is upset with this.
How are you supposed to have a proper police state if the citizenry is allowed to resist?
I mean, there are only so many drones, and not everyone comes into range often enough.
It also urged the Japanese central bank to boost purchases of corporate bonds, equities, and highly-rated securitized loans to small- and medium-enterprises.
In addition, it called for the BOJ to broaden its asset-purchases to include Japanese government bonds of more than three years in maturity, as well to be more publicly forthcoming with its asset purchases in an effort to raise inflation expectations.
In a separate section of the report, the IMF said Japan should implement a consumption tax of at least 15%, higher than the current proposals of a 10% tax, as part of efforts to improve the nation’s fiscal health.
The private sector is doing fine. Rolls-Royce, Bentley dealership headed to Thousand Oaks » Ventura County Star
Rolls-Royce Motor Cars Westlake and Bentley Westlake will open in a temporary showroom in August at the former Courtesy Chevrolet dealership on Thousand Oaks Boulevard. The Chevrolet dealer closed in 2009.
I'm not sure that will be a great comfort to the officers. But really, the ones in danger now are the citizens, since the officers will be more inclined to shoot to kill and ask questions afterwards. It's the old Law of Unintended Consequences.
Which part? The one where it's a legal entry or the one where I deny I invited him in? His ghost may try to submit evidence to the contrary, but that's about the extent of it.
I'm not sure that will be a great comfort to the officers. But really, the ones in danger now are the citizens, since the officers will be more inclined to shoot to kill and ask questions afterwards. It's the old Law of Unintended Consequences.
It's easy to de-escalate this: stop granting warrants for household raids.
Edit: Just for fun, call it the "Janet Reno Principle".
Thought this interesting on several counts - had not read of it previously, found the tactic entirely sensible, would say it's a sidelong response to those imagining Greece doesn't 'make' or 'do' much of anything.
Sometimes one could get the feelin that the whole crisis is a effin charade
This is why a few weeks ago I said it was all engineered bull shit, and well my god the community sneered ( specially the shorts ) As I stated pick a stock and stay there especially if its a good performer, try chasing this BS of a market and you will lose big time..I did that back in 2010 and lost my shirt as I could not catch the dam thing. Now I let the market come to me, and arrive she has
Good job I am losin more than winnin... no hat and no cattle
TG take note the price range and outlook target $39, still lots of room and summer season left. As I disclosed I will be going short in August and short right through too the election.
I think it will spike and you will not be able to get out fast enough. It will represent real capital for a brief moment in time be extracted by future debt in a different form and leave most people broke who hold it.
Lost household wealth shows up as proceeds elsewhere. Always.
What makes the question possible is the point that the extraction has occurred (usually) before the household 'wealth' has been calculated. That time displacement gives rise to an awful lot of peculiar notions.
Calculated Risk blogger Bill McBride says negative equity is part of the picture but adds that what consumers think about the direction of housing prices also plays a role. He argues that when people expect home prices to fall further, some sellers will rush to put their homes on the market. When prices seem to be stabilizing, McBride says, “sellers will wait until it is convenient to sell.” Buyers, meanwhile, will be more confident about shelling out money, so inventory will shrink. For McBride, there’s so little inventory because buyers and sellers now think prices are stabilizing and “are acting accordingly”—and that’s a sign of optimism.
tg, if you employ precious metals - specifically gold and silver - as a counterweight to the vagaries of the dollar. you gain a little peace of mind. Of course, you must be prepared for many occasions when the dollar is strengthening and pm valuations are correspondingly falling on that basis.
Plenty of rational portfolios just now are 10 - 15% gold or silver or both.
if you employ precious metals - specifically gold and silver - as a counterweight to the vagaries of the dollar. you gain a little peace of mind. Of course, you must be prepared for many occasions when the dollar is strengthening and pm valuations are correspondingly falling on that basis.
I believe the term for this is "hedging". It's too bad that is now a dirty word instead of a rational stategy.
Spot on Burnside 10 - 15% works just fine, as long as this is not money you need to live on otherwise fine.
If its money you need to live on dollar cost average is a nice approach. Remember its for emergency purposes not for capital appreciation. Took me a period to shed my gold and silver bug ways to come to this realization.
I know many who dumped their entire life savings into silver @ $40 plus...not happy campers.
as long as this is not money you need to live on otherwise fine.
You shouldn't be investing with money you need to live on otherwise. But if you have savings of some kind, why would you leave it all in one currency or investment? I wonder what would happen to people's investing approach if their 401K reported the value of the US dollar each quarter vs other currencies.
Anyone who dumps their life savings into one thing is an idiot.
Debt is the real money it is just a matter of enforcment
Many a fiat reserve currency has bit the bullet with this tried and true failed method, but its all we know I guess. Such are the limitations of the human mind.
Ask yourself, how much are you willing to pay for return of capital
I'm hedging in basic ways. I don't expect to make much money, but I'm trying not to lose it either. I've got rental income which I consider an inflation hedge, i've got cash, and I've got precious metals. I'm not trying to move up to a higher income bracket, I just want to stay in the one I'm in.
I had a microbiol prof tell me [circa 1978] the human race is the largest petri dish ever - and one that travels all over cross contaminating themselves daily.
no way
yeah baby
Tanta vive!
gotta go...
Harry and Tonto on TCM in a few minutes.
...
plus, the gf is starting to feel dissed. I don't like having my cajones
stuffed in a Mason jar.
Duke of Con Dao wrote:
No baby and I've never complained either.
Duke of Con Dao wrote:
The Loan Arranger?
Central Banks Back to Buying Gold - Real Time Economics - WSJ
Duke of Con Dao wrote:
you have no life
Definition 4 from the Urban Dictionary: "4. Frob: False. Something that did not happen. Synonymous with the term Bullshit."
I agree except I would guess Small Biz Optimism 'surprisingly' lower but I/E prices make total sense and not just oil either - metals are declining as well. Most anyway.
That's inflationary, right? [Required]...
shill wrote:
That should worry the gold bugs - Central Banks usually buy high and sell low.
sm_landlord wrote:
pig in a poke
Evening SM, as the author noted the market is so small and speculative free right now, low key buy and hold in the Gold pit.
you buy paper, you own paper
Poor Carlos, Luciana was holding that can.
If wages fall faster than goods and services, is that inflationary ?
volker the viking wrote:
Bond Bubble Dismissed as Low Yields Echo Pimco’s New Normal - Bloomberg
Financial institutions are also contributing to demand, buying from a shrinking supply of the highest quality debt to meet capital requirements set by the Basel, Switzerland-based Bank for International Settlements. The Basel III rules will “increase the price of safety” embedded in assets deemed a reliable store of value, the IMF wrote in an April 18 report.
Investors have bid $3.19 for each dollar of the $903 billion of notes and bonds auctioned by the U.S. Treasury Department this year, above the record $3.04 in all of 2011, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
Yields that are negative after accounting for inflation may be a sign that investors expect the pace of consumer price gains to slow, or fall like the deflation in Japan. Copper has declined 18 percent in the past 12 months, aluminum has tumbled 23 percent, cotton plunged 47 percent and oil has dropped about 14 percent.
A measure of investor expectations for inflation used by the Fed to set policy, the five-year, five-year forward break- even rate, which gauges the average increase in prices between 2017 and 2022, dropped to 2.56 percent on June 4, from a 2012 high of 2.78 percent on March 19.
and who was holding her hair?
There isn't even a legal operational source to fund the non-bailout the Spanish don't need, haven't asked for and won't accept. Last night's futures pop and European market rise was total kabuki.
More dirt from JPM:
J.P. Morgan Had Early Warning of Risks by London Trading Desk - WSJ.com
But Jamie will still be crying "Hoocoodanode??"
because of the way you posted I don't know if you are quoting or bloviating
besides, the BIS is a eunuch
Have you no faith in the "euro zone"?
Soon to be the drachma-lira-franc-whatever else-euro zone?
Rob Dawg wrote:
And yet the market was bullish on each Greek iteration.
Iran won't be making any deals after Obama leaked his Flame and Stuxnet attacks. China buys gold, to buy oil from Iran. I don't think Iran will give up its nukes for spare plane parts...Hillary is wasting as much time as the Iranians...
Blackhalo wrote:
ASE Chart - Athens Stock Exchange General Index - Bloomberg
-90% 5y return.
You should submit that to poic for use in his newsletter.
that would be counter productive
+41 on the DOW fut's
Short sales of homes hit 3-year high in 1st quarter of '12 - Toledo Blade
shill wrote:
Evening Shill. The part I find interesting is that since specs are staying out, the correlation of miners to metal has returned. So the specs must have been the ones running the long metal/short miners trade.
If you really want to start a panic, impose capital & border controls in both euro & schengen zone when the smart money is already buying real estate in London.
Potentially the RE buying opportunity of the generation.
futures are useless, stocks will tank. ECB has lost all credibility
Outsider wrote:
Along with the S & P, the Nikkei and several others. If we're going to have mp's slow-growth awesomeness for years to come, you'll have to be a stockpicker, because the indexes are not going anywhere.
Page not found | Watts Up With That?
Outsider wrote:
Honorary life subscriber.
Index funds used to be touted as the smart way to go.
Now it's not about investing, It's about trading.
Outsider wrote:
You can still invest, as long as you have a reasonable time frame. Meaning more than a year, generally.
Which could easily become a global doom loop.
Rob Dawg wrote:
At some point people who plunge into Greek equities are going to make a mint.
Even at -90% I don't think we're there yet.
Good observation SM. I am actually scaling in on EXK..slowly... miners trade scares me. I had one good year in miners and prior to that I chased the market up and down and got crushed every step of the way, out of twelve months I think I caught one solid month, but the losses stuck.. I realized that miners like the metal is a dip buy and hold and keep the speculative hype and emotions at the door.
Berkshire seeking to buy ResCap mortgage unit
| Reuters
(Reuters) - Billionaire investor Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc has offered to buy Residential Capital LLC's mortgage unit, according to court papers filed Monday.
In throwing its hat in the ring, Berkshire Hathaway Inc, Buffett's holding company, is seeking to replace Nationstar Mortgage Holdings, owned by Fortress Investment Group , as the initial bidder for the bankrupt company's mortgage servicing unit.
ResCap, the mortgage unit of Ally Financial, filed for bankruptcy in May with a plan to sell the unit to Nationstar for about $2.4 billion. Ally is the former in-house financing arm for General Motors Co, previously known as GMAC, and is not in bankruptcy.
Berkshire, a major ResCap creditor, also offered to serve as the stalking-horse bidder for a portfolio of loans that ResCap had planned to sell to Ally for approximately $1.4 billion. The stalking-horse, or initial bidder, sets the minimum price, requiring other bidders at the auction to make higher counteroffers.
sm_landlord wrote:
Just think how much you could have made with an S&P index fund over the last 10 years, with a buy and hold strategy!
Outsider wrote:
Yep. Unfortunately, the retirement industry is in denial about this. There's a researcher in Boston who says the markets are so dangerous, everyone would be better off in TIPS and cash, maybe an annuity. He's done some risk math, and sounds a lot like Taleb.
Zvi Bodie - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Agronox wrote:
How much is a mint of Drachma worth?
PressTV - Fitch downgrades Spain's Banco Santander and Banco Bilbao
Rajesh wrote:
That's the rub, isn't it.
mp wrote:
Yes. Even if it doesn't, the damage has already been done.
sm_landlord, I'm beginning to doubt your doomerability.
Rajesh wrote:
BTW, the day Greece leaves the Euro will be an interesting little experiment. My guess is, provided there isn't some massive nationalization program along with it, Greek markets will soar that day.
Rajesh wrote:
Oh, you yuan to get it back out. Silly.
Outsider wrote:
Hmmm... Maybe I should go make myself a drink. That usually gets me doomed out.
Blackhalo wrote:
You'd be up 30% (+ divvies)
That's my lender.
What are the chances they fold and take their loan portfolio back to Spain and lose it?
Dawg, today I had the pleasure of speaking to a Banker about a BPO I did recently did for them. I was quite diplomatic, you'd have been proud of me.
Agronox wrote:
I don't know how much of the shipping is listed there vs London, but maybe @ 95% you might be able to pick up a handful of things at a steal.
Greece's fundamental problem is that it is a country that is ill equipped for a society based on any sort of land based transit or commerce and asides from legacy industries in shipping is largely irrelevant in the sea trade as well. Brutal terrain makes for a low velocity economy.
Add on all the cultural drag of the Ottomans/Dictators and Greek alphabet and a country already behind the 8 ball in the best of times is just well and truly f
d
Maybe Greece will sell access to their territorial waters ?
Tom Stone wrote:
I sometimes think it would be fun to be the ultimate appeals judge arbitrating BPO disputes.
Somehow they've managed for the past 2000+ years. Maybe they'll get a foothold again.
Refreshing News: Americans during the Great Depression
Well not refreshing but some interesting photography.
35 members online, no guests. Doom isn't selling...
Doom leftovers.
Refresh. I'm seeing 146 guests online.
The giant eye never sleeps.
Speaking of which,
Looking for the big score?
I used to think that way.
[eurozone planners discussed border and capital controls as a contingency if Greece leaves the euro]
BULLISH !!!!!!!
Stand corrected. Nite yall
Outsider wrote:
That's the thing: they really haven't. That's why the Romans overtook them followed by a bunch of other nations. That's why the Elgin Marbles are called the Elgin Marbles. That's why there's a massive Greek diaspora in the US, Australia, Mexico, Cuba, Canada, Germany, UK, S. Africa and almost any other country you can name. That's why the Greek police will lock up thieves who prey on tourists and throw away the key while Spanish police couldn't be bothered.
Rob Dawg wrote:
You'd have a stroke laughing.
So yeah. Lowest percentage of distressed house sales in years. How come?
I've been searching Sacramento news for tips, but there's little analysis --buy or sell side-- that localizes a national trend (34% cash, of which 53% "investors", 37% "foreign", 10% owner-occupier driving the affordability of affordable stock to an equilibrium that's not expected move upward until 2016 (Carrie Reyes, Mar 2012). Sacramento Real Estate Statistics
, WoW
That said, distribution of the National Mortgage Settlement award doesn't appear likely to alter buyer composition in Sac City or County. For one, I can't find anyone expecting California's share to escape the general obligation fund in payments to principal reduction or damages (although there's plenty investor interest in new muttifamily construction).
California Homeowners Still in Need of Mortgage Relief Despite Recent Attorney General Settlement
Oddly enough, Reyes implies housing authorities such as SHRA will be the beneficiaries. If so, the construction sector would be the obvious if weak channel to homeowner relief.
And the mortgage settlement cash goes to…
:: backstory
Job Front: Sacramento construction job market still struggling, economist says
Select Sac City bond ratings, 2009 - present
sm_landlord wrote:
Ok, that's better.
SM_Koolaid:
In a tall glass of ice,
1 oz White Rum
3 oz Odwalla Summertime Lime
Fill with Perrier Lime and stir.
Agronox wrote:
Confederate States bonds circa 1863.
tg wrote:
"Page not found" is quite appropriate. Watts is/was Heartland funded. What more do you need to know?
The Light of Day | Open Mind
... Evidently the “solar-cycle-length is causing global warming” theory can’t stand the light of day.
This is the kind of nonsense we have to put up with from those who oppose doing something to deal with the global warming problem. Thoroughly refuted “theories” are regurgitated again and again, like zombies, long after they’re dead. They’re used to excuse conspiracy/fraud accusations. If proponents of this nonsense are given the dismissal which, in my opinion, they deserve, Anthony Watts and others will treat as martyrs. ...
Totally off topic, but here's a successful, upstanding citizen having a very bad day. Open the link and watch the video - it must be seen to be believed.
Anesthesiologist Goes Berserk During DUI Arrest
Dumbass doctor.
Agronox wrote:
I'd be really worried that the Europeans would size equities held by small time investors as collateral for bad loans. Not safe unless you have an army to back you up.
sm_landlord wrote:
my thesis is that we're going to be more
ed the further you look out.
And I defy anyone to gainsay that with anything that countervails the demographic and physical realities coming our way.
Now, I still remember the quite ebullient reaction I had on hearing about that "Cold Fusion" jazz back in '89 -- I thought this century was going to be saved.
Absent a deus ex machina of that order, I don't see the upside here.
Guess I don't need to ask how things went with your neighbor.
Feckless Ness wrote:
Not just booze. I have seen people go off like that, not fun.
mp wrote:
A bit too much of his own medicine, it seems.
The upside is its not as bad as Mad Max.
Feckless Ness wrote:
I'm glad that there was no device recording my similar reaction to Ben's printing in '09.
sm_landlord wrote:
Or someone else's. Lots of doctors become addicts.
Oh fer pete's sake, she's playing to Dawg's strong suit:
Lagarde: Less than three months to save the euro – Amanpour - CNN.com Blogs
From what I saw later in the afternoon, the incident precipitated a holy s***storm, as it should have.
Aw, c'mon, guys. You can't have watched the video that fast. The best part's a few minutes in.
Tom Stone wrote:
I'm gonna bet that anesthesiologists have a higher rate, based on my own sample set.
JP wrote:
She'd have been better off borrowing my leisure suit.
JP wrote:
Pharmacists and oral surgeons based on mine. ER doctors like their speed.
Feckless Ness wrote:
That's the oldest case of terrible-twos on record.
I listened to part of this today. The synopsis is a bit misleading from content of options discussed. The SMBA director's principle message was, the bureau does not originate business loans.
Tough Times Financing Small Businesses
JP wrote:
Gotta wonder what he's doing carrying all that cash.
The little morons were being watched from the moment they arrived.
BWAHAHAHAHA!
MP, from two threads ago....
mp Select ratingCancel ratingIgnoredOkayGoodGreatCancel ratingIgnoredOkayGoodGreat wrote:
Yada, yada, yada.
MP, you still keep your clocks running ?
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Demographics says we have organic domestic growth in 2014 due to boomer echo children beginning household formation and plenty of semi reasonably priced housing stock in many markets coupled with rock bottom interest rates.
That wasn't hard, was it?
Feckless Ness wrote:
He's an anesthesiologist. I don't wonder.
And aren't you in law enforcement? You don't wonder either.
Edit: I believe the term-of-art in anesthesiology is "diverting", which is a much bigger no-no than "using".
I'm confident. I bought a new car. Woo hoo!
Yes.
RE wrote:
The truth. It has been proven time and again that the extent of WUWT/Heartland is two speaking engagements. Anthony wasn't even one of their top choices the CAGW top proponents having declined.
Lagarde: Less than three months to save the euro – Amanpour - CNN.com Blogs
Is she related to Angelo Mozilo?
JP wrote:
At least he wasn't feeling any pain.
The current time is:
11:57:25.1
The clock advanced 1 minute on June 9 at 10:31 AM.
Conjure said, "Ludger Schuknecht is one dumb son of a bitch."
JP wrote:
"Diverting" is my guess, but how can you do business like that, high as a kite, and not get robbed or killed? He was carrying a shitload of cash.
Realtor Ad
Home Ownership Contributes To Better Test Scores!
It appears that damned near everyone has a clock now.
Anybody here ever taken out a HELOC? Once you're approved, how long and what steps before you can draw?
Is the bank issuing checks for your use?
Beats me. First timer. Isn't there a closing?
Martin Wolf's Exchange
its uncanny how reminiscent ludger's logic is to that of the republican "know nothing" party.
AllGov - News - Indiana First State to Allow Citizens to Shoot Law Enforcement Officers
Well, this should make things interesting.
Mine had one, but that was a long time ago.
As soon as the deal closed, they issued checks and it was done.
mp wrote:
And a newsletter.
I don't have a newsletter, but I've got a clock.
mp wrote:
Conjure Bag hasn't told you about his newsletter? Oooops. Forget I mentioned it.
Feckless Ness wrote:
Yes - I did it when my second went to college at the same time the ceiling above the kitchen collapsed and the recession was beating up on my business. We only drew what we needed and took less than we were approved for and immediately started repaying [always a good idea if not required]. But it was a lot less painful than I anticipated.
I do NOT recommend it unless you really have few other options. For us it was either that or raid the 401K and IRAs [worse idea]. Most of my savings were in the retirement accounts. The kid took out loans too - we made sure she had skin in the game - even with aid it was not an inexpensive school.
mp wrote:
Yup.
RevolutionWillNotBeTelevised wrote:
Wow.
dryfly wrote:
I have a 1921 mostly original bathroom that needs to be gutted, and the house needs tenting and termite repairs. I figure I'll do one or two projects at a time that I can pay off in 2 years or less. Other things can wait; those two projects need to get done.
Considering how he's advocating the clearcutting of European civilization, I think Conjure's moniker for him is justly deserved.
RevolutionWillNotBeTelevised wrote:
I guess cops will stop responding to calls in Indiana.
Feckless Ness wrote:
Not.gonna.say.a.word.
REBear wrote:
I have yet to see a Realtor ad that did not make me cringe.
Clearly, I won't be using your contractor.
No, no, no. Don't get that started.
Conjure Bag has absolutely no newsletter.
Feckless Ness wrote:
If the fixtures are in decent shape sell them on Ebay.
mp wrote:
Okay, that's what I didn't see when I wasn't in the secret forum.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
Yep. Love that secret form!
Feckless Ness wrote:
1921 termite-infested LA shack, eh? Sheesh, you poor girl, that must only be worth $600K+...
Tom Stone wrote:
I'm going to salvage what I can. I have the skeleton keys for the interior doors.
Feckless Ness wrote:
If there was half a dozen 1921 $20 saints hidden amongst the termite collection, $600k might be a realistic value.
In recent weeks, the Obama administration alternately blamed the EU for weak US current account and encouraged the EU to re-establish a strong euro partnership. One might expect then that the Office of the US Trade Representative had ready financing and market intelligence to assist SME exporters to penetrate EU and NAFTA markets at the correct price points. This appears not to be the case when client-facing media report 5-year-old data points...
Key Investment Data and Trends
... and Free Trade Agreement (FTA) tables are incomplete.
export.gov > What's my tariff?
Tom Stone wrote:
The Official Real”ad”tor Awards | Celebrating Excellence in Realtor Advertising
Feckless Ness wrote:
That was what prompted us - ours is circa 1918 and remuddled in places. We did the bathroom 15 years ago after we discovered the only thing supporting the toilet was the drain itself - floor all rotted out. Cost a small fortune because we had to sister up joists then replace the floor [I put in quarter sawed oak - more stable]. Amazingly the tub never went through the floor prior to that [second story].
Then a few years after that my kid ran the toilet over and it went into the floor and caused the plaster ceiling above the kitchen to come down - all the way to the lathe. Nice.
My contractor estimated it at $15K - I told my wife $30K minimum. Again - once the counters were removed we discovered they had three different places where sinks were at different times - all rotten. Floors up - more sistering and then new floors. Cabinets. Appliances - etc.
$30K easy. That was the year my daughter went to an expensive private college and we went HELOC.
Comrade Alexei Mikhailovich wrote:
yes, that's an expense, but where's the wealth production to pay for it.
I am intimately familiar with the US's population pyramid -- if past immigration trends hold by 2050 we'll have 35% more people here.
I just fail to see how this will create more wealth, not unless we start taking back manufacturing jobs from the developing world.
Foxconn might be at $700/month by 2014. $4/hr here.
RevolutionWillNotBeTelevised wrote:
No - they will be more careful to shoot first - ask questions later.
No saints here. Just one sinner.
Feckless Ness wrote:
I just read the article at the link, and it looks like all the cops have to do is to stop doing home invasions, and stop involving themselves in domestic disputes.
If that's what the citizens of Indiana want, well....
Comrade Alexei Mikhailovich wrote:
Huh? The data I've seen suggests that boomer echo children won't overcome the drag of boomer retirements until at least 2020.
dryfly wrote:
You're scaring me, dryfly. It's a tiny bathroom and I can do the demo myself. I expect to replace the subfloor, but I hope the joists are okay.
sm_landlord wrote:
That will last until the next 'domestic dispute' gets called in and ignored - becomes a murder of mom and three kids before dad blows his brains out. Then it will be 'where was the police?'
Feckless Ness wrote:
Lazy, cheap, perfectionist. He'll hopefully step it up a notch with the increased Adderall dosage.
“What Do You Call an Economist with a Prediction? Wrong.”
Myth of Perpetual Growth is killing America - Paul B. Farrell - MarketWatch
Rehabbing a 91 year old residence is like asking your 91 year old grandmother if she'd like a face lift.
dryfly wrote:
That already happens. Read any LA news lately? Guy holding his infant gets gunned down on the street. Where were the cops? GMAB.
Got asbestos?
Lead paint?
If you're prepared to do the demo, you can obtain an EPA license yourself.
IIRC, the class fee is about $250.
There is a limit, however, as to how much you can remove. If you exceed the limit, you'll need a remediator.
Feckless Ness wrote:
People like that stuff.
mp wrote:
No, I have no knowledge of either. On purpose.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
It is much worse. The great recession gutted domestic births and youth immigration. Kids are expensive = economic stimulus. No kids, no spending.
Jackdawracy wrote:
This project will involve plumbing, so it's more like lifting her pelvic floor.
Feckless Ness wrote:
Do I need to post pictures of 4x4 joists crumbling under finger pressure?
Feckless Ness wrote:
Use marine ply for the subfloor.
Feckless Ness wrote:
The bathroom wasn't too bad - maybe $10K total including a new tub [clawfoot]. But the rotting and joist work was bad - what made it worse is they cut the joists to facilitate plumbing. Add the rot and we had a lot of work. They repaired the walls - cracked plaster - by just skinning it with 3/8 plaster board and replumbed and wired [we had nodes]. I then replaced the oak floor and refinished, painted - etc.
But the structural stuff I let them do. A full tub of water and my fat gluten swollen midwestern ass needed 'good support'.
Heck, speaking of baths.
I removed a section of cast iron pipe and replaced it. The flow runs from a back house under a vacant house and it seemed like a good time to do it. Only problem is I need to remove the lead they poured around the joint so that I can slip the rubber boot over the pipe. I'm considering chiseling it off, to minimize fumes or dust--- unless there's a better way?
Rob Dawg wrote:
No. I was looking at a 4 plex for a friend once and leaned against the corner of a cottage. The whole corner collapsed.
mp wrote:
Had both. That was why we skinned the walls instead of removing. The only demo we did was the flooring - unpainted.
The asbestos is in the basement - the old duct work. We don't touch it. Hardly want to disturb the spiders.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
You half answered your own question. The other half is logistics/price of oil.
I don't know what to do with the old "tile." It's aluminum, I think, painted to look like tile. Grouted and everything. It was cheaper back in the day. I'm sure it can be recycled, but do I just cart it to a recycling center, or what?
Comrade Alexei Mikhailovich wrote:
$4/hr jobs? LOL.
And I don't see how $200/barrel oil is going to help anything.
Rob Dawg wrote:
I really should have taken pictures of our toilet only supported by the down spout - a Dr Seuss like thrown. How nobody went through the floor on that is also a mystery.
Feckless Ness wrote:
There are scrap dealers who will take that off your hands, if it's really aluminum.
I suggest dumpster.
Tom Stone wrote:
We did - then quarter sawn oak tongue and groove. And water resistant sheet rock for the wall skinning. It has held up really well.
Feckless Ness wrote:
Eco Friendly Kitchen Tiles: Recycled Aluminum Tiles - Yahoo! Voices - voices.yahoo.com
Feckless, horror stories aside it's a pretty simple job. Doing the demo yourself is smart and so is getting underneath with a flashlight and checking under the kitchen and bathroom areas for rot and termites. Why don't you sell it and move here instead? The sherriffs office is hiring...
Don't get me wrong -- the 80 million boomer retirement is going to be very stimulatory for jobs, 2015-2030.
It's going to be a 30 million person bumrush.
Put it's also got to be paid for, and how we're going to pay for it is what's currently under debate.
The Ryan Plan is to just cut our losses and wish the latter half of the BB best, but I don't think that's going to fly even when the (R)'s take over everything next year.
Dunno what plan B is. I know what my plan B is tho, "adios amigos" and a seat on a 747-8.
Tom Stone wrote:
Yeah? Do they need a Budget Goddess?
dryfly wrote:
Contractors tend to use the cheapest grade of Ply. I learned to use Marine ply and seal it again. I don't like redoing ANY jobs and if I can buy 10 more years cheaply...
sm_landlord wrote:
if it isn't clean it isn't worth much - clean meaning free of contaminants and the can see its really aluminum. If that old I doubt it is aluminum - that stuff was pricey back then. More likely tin or zinc.
Feckless Ness wrote:
Try Sebastopol PD for that one.
sdtfs wrote:
Hoocoodanode! Gee - maybe I should salvage them for another use. They'd have to be repainted, though.
Tom Stone wrote:
I fell through my brother's bathroom floor. Fortunately I was half expecting it and did a little dance on the edges and the top of the water heater underneath it and jumped down. It was exciting.
Zamak? Of course, that was WW2, not 1.
Tom Stone wrote:
24 acres, tiny buildings, low price... sounds perfect.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Uh, won't it be "Sayonara"?
Comrade Troyski wrote:
It isn't going to fly as planned - but will result in the same regardless. The majority of us will work a lot longer than intended and die poorer than anyone imagined. The Dennis Hopper 'retirement' ad used to make me laugh - its different this time. Sure it is.
Tom Stone wrote:
No reward in that except self satisfaction which is why we try to do the same.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Your own trout and steelhead stream, 10 acres of level bottomland with beautiful soil, a pond. 5 minutes from downtown guerneville and you pay land value.
mp wrote:
Zamak was circa 20's. Also called 'pop metal'. Aluminum didn't get cheap until TVA and Bonneville.
dryfly wrote:
Is there anything more important than self respect?
Number of US exporters, 2007-2011: 5403
Export-Import Bank of the US > Global Access for Small Business
I don't think things will keep on keeping on. Consider the effects of a pandemic occurring in about 2 years in the midst of a greater depression. Something like those flu strains the bright boys have been playing with...
Hollande, who was elected last month, wants his political kin to control the powerful lower house of Parliament for the next five years so he can move forward with plans to strengthen the state's role in the economy, create thousands of teaching jobs and tackle high youth joblessness.
Final results released Monday from nationwide balloting the previous day showed the Socialists and their allies on the left winning at least 46 percent of the vote. The main conservative bloc - led by former President Nicolas Sarkozy's UMP party - had at least 34 percent.
Read more here: French Socialists eye unity after election result - World Wires - MiamiHerald.com
... create thousands of teaching jobs and tackle high youth joblessness.
I mean imagine if our incoming leader forgot all about the worst economy since the 1930s and instead pursued unconstitutional heath insurance half measures.
Tom Stone wrote:
I've cut a few corners but that was only when I didn't know what else to do - even then we tried to leave it in such a way as to not totally destroy the place - so future remuddlers at least have something to work with.
JP wrote:
Remember that when somebody mentions a future number in terms of percent of GDP, CBO is projecting a $25.7T real GDP in 2032.
That's $10T/yr more than now.
If we see the 1.8% pa job growth of the 1990s, compounded for 20 years, that's 190M jobs and only $135,000 of output per worker, 15% more productivity than now.
Going with half that job growth (1.1% pa, what 2011 gave us) will require $150,000 wealth creation per worker, 33% more productivity than now.
$150,000 per-worker productivity by 2032 will in fact solve a lot of things. Without it, though . . .
Tom Stone wrote:
Man, you are out-do(om)ing yourself tonight.
What's going on? There's some crazy energy in the air.
Rob Dawg wrote:
Leave no
childinsurer behind.The next term is going to be worse - no matter which one it is. Congress will make sure of that. You can't fight the tide.
Tom Stone wrote:
Aren't gay trout a protected species?
Seriously, a great opportunity for someone who isn't still a few years short of getting the last kid into a UC.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
In a services economy with modern technology - should be no problem. The problem is to make that kind of productivity you will need a lot fewer people. Its the economic distribution model that is broken - jobs don't do that very well anymore.
Tom - this job was tailor-made for me:
County of Sonoma
However, this recruitment is closed to the public. Promotion only. These do fall through sometimes. Then they open it up to the outside world.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
Partly due to my back fussing at me. Mostly because I have had enough conversations with epidemiologists and have read enough history to know that the probability of a pandemic is much higher than most realize. And the effects on a highly complex tightly coupled system won't be pleasant.
Tom Stone wrote:
I had a microbiol prof tell me [circa 1978] the human race is the largest petri dish ever - and one that travels all over cross contaminating themselves daily.
Rob Dawg wrote:
It's definitely a buy. One of those that wouldn't still be on the market if some of the agents involved earlier knew what they were doing. It's the kind of deal I like, doable with enough of a challenge to make it interesting. And that seller is ready to deal.
Feckless Ness wrote:
Send them an email asking them to let you know if it becomes open.It's a nice place to live.
Rob Dawg wrote:
The truth? Here is the direct quote from the Heartland documents:
Brendan DeMelle | Heartland Institute Exposed: Internal Documents Unmask Heart of Climate Denial Machine
“We have also pledged to help raise around $90,000 in 2012 for Anthony Watts to help him create a new website to track temperature station data.
Speaking engagements? Distorting/fudge another set of data is more like it.
You are trying to spin again.
Tom Stone wrote:
This would be a good time to sell my place, that's for sure.
Tom Stone wrote:
And let us talk plainly. Most of the places most likely to be ground zero will deliberately export their problem in order to not suffer any worse than everyone else.
dryfly wrote:
My mother was a microbiologist with an interest in epidemiology. Some of the dinner conversations growing up were not conducive to a good appetite.
Feckless Ness wrote:
I suspect your area is experiencing an "Echo Bubble". That is clearly happening in parts of the South SF Bay Area.
Rob Dawg wrote:
They will try to.
RE wrote:
You do know that Peter Gleick has admitted the document you are citing is a forgery?
Tom Stone wrote:
My mother was a public health nurse prior to stay home mom [then volunteered at free clinics]. I hear you.
Had I to do it over I would have gone epidemiology. Long story but circa 1978-79 I was discouraged from doing that because 'diseases were all cured' by then - just cancer and heart disease left to beat and it will be all done. The band played on.
Seriously - gotta snooze.
dryfly wrote:
Mine ended up president of her union, twice. 5 kids in her family 2 union presidents, one world famous artist, one very successful farmer and one computer programmer who helped write the original code for COBOL. All a bit crazy. 2 of them were Gunnery Sergeants, USMC, one of them my favorite aunt.
Later.
Rob Dawg wrote:
He hasn't in any way shape or form.
BTW there is more:
http://www.desmogblog.com/sites/beta.desmogblog.com/files/%281-15-2012%29%202012%20Fundraising%20Plan_0.pdf
Anthony Watts proposes to create a new Web site devoted to accessing the new temperature data
from NOAA’s web site and converting them into easy-to-understand graphs that can be easily
found and understood by weathermen and the general interested public. Watts has deep expertise
in Web site design generally and is well-known and highly regarded by weathermen and meteorologists everywhere. The new site will be promoted heavily at WattsUpwithThat.com.
Heartland has agreed to help Anthony raise $88,000 for the project in 2011. The Anonymous
Donor has already pledged $44,000. We’ll seek to raise the balance.
Tom Stone wrote:
I believe they will be so busy denying anything untoward is happening, they won't have time to make plans.
Tom,
Don't know what property you're talking about now, but I'm still thinking about that 2400sf / $729 place you linked recently. Damn that was nice. You're killing me...
RE wrote:
You are seriously misinformed. Fakegate has tainted the entire CAGW movement. The strategy document you are repeating has been proven a fake.
You do know the legal trouble desmogblog is in because they are not retracting?
Rob Dawg wrote:
LOL and this is why Heartland is losing funding left and right? Show me a credible link? BTW Gleick has been reinstated. It appears it is you that is out of touch.
Peter Gleick's Pacific Institute Return - NYTimes.com
Heartland showed its true colors with statements like these:
“Efforts at places such as Forbes are especially important now that they have begun to allow high-profile climate scientists (such as Gleick) to post warmist science essays that counter our own. This influential audience has usually been reliably anti-climate and it is important to keep opposing voices out.”
On and on and Watts is clearly a paid part of it.
Rob Dawg wrote:
No legal trouble yet. Just bluster to intimidate the publishers of facts! Why do you think we can all still download the pdf copies?
That's the thing: they really haven't.
And yet, there they are.
dryfly wrote:
maybe not.
with Hoosiers it might be a fear of police encroachment on their private property
http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/story/2012-06-12/middleborough-swearing-fine/55542416/1
Let's not let yogi travel to Mass.
Thank heaven -- the Kings finally closed out.
This is an old battle, goes back to the 1960s. Here is a reference from the early 1990s:
The Greening - The Lawful Path
It's basically a resources grab, unless you believe the "Report from Iron Mountain", in which case it's economic manipulation as well.
Duke of Con Dao wrote:
What's the big deal? As long as the police don't illegally enter, they have nothing to fear.
Ha ha ha ha ha. Pure genius.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
First ten minutes/three goals were epic.
TJ and The Bear wrote:
I will make sure I never travel to d&($#(798$
Middleborough
sdtfs wrote:
Bitchin'.
sdtfs wrote:
Genius? Maybe.
The law is a response to a ruling by the state supreme court. The court ruled that there was “ no right to reasonably resist unlawful entry by police officers".
I think it will give a wonderful peek inside the mentality of any officer that is upset with this.
MattFea wrote:
Prohibition next?
Here it comes again from the upstanding, downsitting citizens.
MattFea wrote:
I'll actually be there later this year...
RevolutionWillNotBeTelevised wrote:
How are you supposed to have a proper police state if the citizenry is allowed to resist?
I mean, there are only so many drones, and not everyone comes into range often enough.
RevolutionWillNotBeTelevised wrote:
I think an officer with a warrant could enter, be shot, and mysteriously the warrant could vanish along with whatever evidence they were looking for.
edit: Anyone who wants to kill a cop can go to Indiana, invite the officer in, then shoot. It's protected.
It also urged the Japanese central bank to boost purchases of corporate bonds, equities, and highly-rated securitized loans to small- and medium-enterprises.
In addition, it called for the BOJ to broaden its asset-purchases to include Japanese government bonds of more than three years in maturity, as well to be more publicly forthcoming with its asset purchases in an effort to raise inflation expectations.
In a separate section of the report, the IMF said Japan should implement a consumption tax of at least 15%, higher than the current proposals of a 10% tax, as part of efforts to improve the nation’s fiscal health.
IMF seeks ‘powerful’ easing from Bank of Japan - MarketWatch
RevolutionWillNotBeTelevised wrote:
A little time spent lurking in cop forums was all the peeking I needed. It's remarkable how tone-deaf so many of them are.
Count de Monet wrote:
Too late for Donald Scott of Malibu.
sdtfs wrote:
No sane person wants to kill a cop.
But you have to look real hard at a system that creates insane people.
The private sector is doing fine.
Rolls-Royce, Bentley dealership headed to Thousand Oaks » Ventura County Star
Rolls-Royce Motor Cars Westlake and Bentley Westlake will open in a temporary showroom in August at the former Courtesy Chevrolet dealership on Thousand Oaks Boulevard. The Chevrolet dealer closed in 2009.
sdtfs wrote:
And once you invite him in, its a legal entry.
Is this such a hard concept?
sm_landlord wrote:
I'm not sure that will be a great comfort to the officers. But really, the ones in danger now are the citizens, since the officers will be more inclined to shoot to kill and ask questions afterwards. It's the old Law of Unintended Consequences.
RevolutionWillNotBeTelevised wrote:
Which part? The one where it's a legal entry or the one where I deny I invited him in? His ghost may try to submit evidence to the contrary, but that's about the extent of it.
The private sector is doing fine.
How long can such a schism between private & public last?
sdtfs wrote:
It's easy to de-escalate this: stop granting warrants for household raids.
Edit: Just for fun, call it the "Janet Reno Principle".
Anyway,
sm_landlord wrote:
Okay. Maybe it will work out. Maybe Indiana will put an end to the rash of police illegally entering people's homes. We'll find out in a few years.
Arizona, Florida, Indiana,...will they be the states people flock to?
Just reading thru some past threads of years back. It used to be funner.
Where'd everyone go? The night is still young.
Not enough Eurozone readers playing silly buggers during their morning break, clearly.
sdtfs wrote:
Well that sure would be a twisted change of pace, as warrants and evidence seem to have a tendency to appear after the fact in my reckoning.
BBC News - UK manufacturing output in surprise April fall
they be talkin on CNBC about tighter fiscal union
why don't they come out an say it..... they want a one euroworld taxin authoriteh
tg wrote:
they want a one
euroworld taxin authoritehyou people I swear
"Niagara Falls" step by step slowly I turn
then Moe and Larry beat the crap out of Curly (everyman)
Sometimes one could get the feelin that the whole crisis is a effin charade
elves only exist in Tolkien fables, and Santa stories
If one man's asset is another man's liability, where did the loss in household
assets show up as a gain ?
Thought this interesting on several counts - had not read of it previously, found the tactic entirely sensible, would say it's a sidelong response to those imagining Greece doesn't 'make' or 'do' much of anything.
ekathimerini.com | Smaller companies heading to Bulgaria in droves
volker the viking wrote:
But I KNOW Gnomes exist! One keeps flinging emergency chocolate at me and poking the back of my knee with that pointy hat.
my posterior
Contractors, developers, estate agents, mortgage brokers, banks providing conduits, those bundling securities, sellers of MBS, portfolio managers.
For a start.
This is why a few weeks ago I said it was all engineered bull shit, and well my god the community sneered ( specially the shorts ) As I stated pick a stock and stay there especially if its a good performer, try chasing this BS of a market and you will lose big time..I did that back in 2010 and lost my shirt as I could not catch the dam thing. Now I let the market come to me, and arrive she has
American Capital Agency Corp., AGNC Stock Quote - (NASDAQ) AGNC, American Capital Agency Corp. Stock Price
The numbers speak for me...cheers.
sporkfed wrote:
Zuckerberg's coin purse?
Some but most went to the null space because it was essentially false capital ie counterfeit it really did not exist
(that is just my confused thinkin bloggin)
Nanoo-Nanoo wrote:
well, maybe he wants you to know he likes you
the
NAzi just informed me that monkeys are smarter than humans
she cited the incidence of snake bites from Momba as evidence
welcome to my world
shill wrote:
YouTube - Come to Butt Head
Lol V V do you sleep man?
tg wrote:
IOW, the magical leveraged world of OTC derivatives? eh?
sort of, between the twisted, soul wringing waves of guilt
On the contrary, every dime assumed by the house buyer as debt - and every penny of down payments and fees - ended in someone else's account.
Not one bit of it disappeared, nor was any of it ever imaginary.
Good job I am losin more than winnin... no hat and no cattle
IMO you are confusin money with something real. if counterfiet 10 bucks and spend it did it really exist?
TG take note the price range and outlook target $39, still lots of room and summer season left. As I disclosed I will be going short in August and short right through too the election.
American Capital Agency (AGNC)
tg, you've been reading here for awhile. It's time to recognize the extractive mechanism and stop repeating tautologies.
Nice put down...and I thought I was coming up with them on my own..
Does the lost household wealth show up in other assets such as gold, or an
increase in the value of the dollar ?
Sorry. Invitation to face the music.
. . . and oh dear no - we read those lines or equivalent everywhere and always.
sporkfed wrote:
this is rhetorical, right?
it all went to asset heaven
You can't lose holding gold. Ya I know the 80's...this is not 1980's lol that is for dam sure.
Notice I said hold not trade.
Doesn't the loss of wealth make the remaining wealth more valuable ?
What is the offsetting entry for money heaven ?
I think it will spike and you will not be able to get out fast enough. It will represent real capital for a brief moment in time be extracted by future debt in a different form and leave most people broke who hold it.
Gold-Investment Demand in China to Advance 10%, ICBC Says - Bloomberg
Lost household wealth shows up as proceeds elsewhere. Always.
What makes the question possible is the point that the extraction has occurred (usually) before the household 'wealth' has been calculated. That time displacement gives rise to an awful lot of peculiar notions.
the universe reverts to chaos as default setting
Why So Few Homes Are on the Market - Businessweek
Calculated Risk blogger Bill McBride says negative equity is part of the picture but adds that what consumers think about the direction of housing prices also plays a role. He argues that when people expect home prices to fall further, some sellers will rush to put their homes on the market. When prices seem to be stabilizing, McBride says, “sellers will wait until it is convenient to sell.” Buyers, meanwhile, will be more confident about shelling out money, so inventory will shrink. For McBride, there’s so little inventory because buyers and sellers now think prices are stabilizing and “are acting accordingly”—and that’s a sign of optimism.
shill wrote:
A bullion trader told me that ICBC wants to be designated a bullion bank.
So the lost household wealth was transferred to those that showed wealth increases
during that time frame ? Money attracts money .
tg, if you employ precious metals - specifically gold and silver - as a counterweight to the vagaries of the dollar. you gain a little peace of mind. Of course, you must be prepared for many occasions when the dollar is strengthening and pm valuations are correspondingly falling on that basis.
Plenty of rational portfolios just now are 10 - 15% gold or silver or both.
burnside I think you exist in the real world which is a good thing. I am not sure about me
Not a safe assumption. Were they sharp enough to hang onto it?
Some are.
Thanks. My family and friends would be surprised to hear that. Amazed.
Now. Off to market.
I believe the term for this is "hedging". It's too bad that is now a dirty word instead of a rational stategy.
Spot on Burnside 10 - 15% works just fine, as long as this is not money you need to live on otherwise fine.
If its money you need to live on dollar cost average is a nice approach. Remember its for emergency purposes not for capital appreciation. Took me a period to shed my gold and silver bug ways to come to this realization.
I know many who dumped their entire life savings into silver @ $40 plus...not happy campers.
12th Percentile wrote:
In volatile markets, hedging is expensive, because everyone wants protection.
Ask yourself, how much are you willing to pay for return of capital.
Debt is the real money it is just a matter of enforcment
You shouldn't be investing with money you need to live on otherwise. But if you have savings of some kind, why would you leave it all in one currency or investment? I wonder what would happen to people's investing approach if their 401K reported the value of the US dollar each quarter vs other currencies.
Anyone who dumps their life savings into one thing is an idiot.
Many a fiat reserve currency has bit the bullet with this tried and true failed method, but its all we know I guess. Such are the limitations of the human mind.
I'm hedging in basic ways. I don't expect to make much money, but I'm trying not to lose it either. I've got rental income which I consider an inflation hedge, i've got cash, and I've got precious metals. I'm not trying to move up to a higher income bracket, I just want to stay in the one I'm in.
I flashed this warning on many a gold bug site, only to be laughed at. Not too many laughing these days.
Gold bugs are strange creatures. So are the people who ridicule gold (many on this site) as part of an investment strategy.
Comrade Troyski wrote:
Of course you picked the wrong half.
dryfly wrote:
Nobel Prize Amounts to Be Reduced - WSJ.com
...Poor return on investments! Are you listening, Calpers?
Navy Drone Crashes in Maryland - WSJ.com
Cyprus could be fifth EU nation to get bailout - MarketWatch
Wasn't somebody asking about Cyprus the other day?
Five. Five bailed out EU countries, ah, ah, ah, ah, ah :count: