Pigged Mary wrote:

The drama or satisfaction perhaps you [pl.] expect from TBTF collapsing from the write-downs, write-offs, and market-clearing pricing of assets --debt deflation-- is just not going to materialize as you imagine. Jubilee, eh? It's happening inspite of yourselves.

And so it should be unless you pine for a 1930s style crash. Debt deflation = collapse in money supply = collapse of transaction volumes = collapse in jobs = collapse in demand. Repeat.

Key is to slowly deflate asset bubbles with, at least nominal, growth.

How many CPU cycles before the aid ends up back in the rest of Europe?

Are Italy and Greek going to pitch in?

Comment by Rajesh from thread 'Summary for Week Ending June 8th'

Rajesh, did you catch how the lockdown on dollars was freezing up RE transactions and construction in Argentina?
Dollar crackdown deadlocks Argentine housing market
| Reuters

What? INTC is developing a TV that will watch me? Bad Intel!

energyecon wrote:

freezing up RE transactions and construction in Argentina?

Fortunately, Spain doesn't have to worry about that as liquidity evaporates in their economy.

RE wrote:

Key is to slowly deflate asset bubbles with, at least nominal, growth.

M2 Money Stock (M2) - FRED - St. Louis Fed 

Velocity of M2 Money Stock (M2V) - FRED - St. Louis Fed 

There's money, it's not going anywhere.

Meanwhile, the same happens in Spain, where the government is forced to borrow money (at nearly 7%) it can hardly raise in order to shore up banks that are borrowing from the ECB (at 1%) to lend to the Spanish government at (7%) so that the latter can… bail them out. Not even the sickest of minds could make this up!
Yanis Varoufakis: Why Europe Should Fear Fine Gael-like ‘Reasonableness’ Much, Much More Than it Fears Syriza « naked capitalism

like a band aid on a sucking chest wound

josap wrote:

There's money, it's not going anywhere.

Perfect reason for stimulus. You need transactions to generate jobs and therefore demand resulting in velocity.

Spot price 11 years ago = 350 pesos

Spot price today = 7,100 pesos

and??

........ the details??

wait till it comes out "no strings attached" ... will ireland/greece say effitt to the troika microscope? ... not to mention the other bums coming down the street looking for a handout.

greek elections should be interesting.

We went to Argentina in 04. 1$US to 3$pesos.
We thought everything was very, very inexpensive.

Today it is 4.4

Also the best beef in the world.

Jackdawracy wrote:

Spot price today = 7,100 pesos

Spots are getting expensive. There must be a spot shortage! Everybody hoard spots.

Tommy Vu wrote:

Not even the sickest of minds could make this up!

Lets take a coffee break mornin' all

No need to invoke rationality or planning as an explanation when simple greed will do...

like a band aid on a sucking chest wound

when i saw that 37 billion euro number floated i knew Mr Market would go - haha - the 100 billion euro might buy them a month or so ... chinese water torture continues.

Doug Noland gets it:

In Europe, there were reports of special weekend meetings – and perhaps even Spain requesting emergency financial assistance. There are important French parliamentary elections Sunday. And, of course, there is the final countdown to Greece’s June 17th national election, which may be disrupted by a municipal workers strike. Markets confront a minefield of issues, although attention for now seems fixated on renewed policymaker largesse.

In studying past monetary fiascos, I've often been struck by the predictable nature of Credit inflations. Credit booms would be followed by busts – and the arduous downside of the Credit cycle would invariably provoke aggressive policy responses. Historically, governments would resort to printing larger amounts of currency (or simply incorporate more zeros), in increasingly desperate attempts to support post-Bubble faltering economic output, rising unemployment and sinking prices levels (goods and asset prices).

Often it would come down to a critical dynamic: Policymakers would eventually recognize (admit) that their money printing operations were having deleterious effects. A consensus view would even develop that inflationary policies had to be wound down – if not scuttled altogether. Throughout history, there have been many derivations of the typical pronouncement, “Be on notice, this will be the last time this government resorts to the printing press.” And rarely would it ever work out that way. Indeed, not only would monetary inflations continue, the scope of the money printing would too often escalate to the point of being completely out of control. Once unleashed, monetary inflations take on a life of their own – and turn unwieldy on many levels. And this complex dynamic explains why monetary history is littered with worthless currencies.

PrudentBear

Last week they needed $23B
Last night they needed $40B
This morning it's $100B.

Do we have any more bidders?

Not enough. Kind of like a Band Aid.

shore up banks that are borrowing from the ECB (at 1%) to lend to the Spanish government at (7%) so that the latter can… bail them out

when LTRO announced a few months ago the spanish 10yr around 5% ... spanish banks started buying it then ----> now ... sitting on huge paper losses at current yield.

I'd like to thank the Euro zone members for making sure my HELOC remains in BBVA Compass' portfolio.

josap wrote:

Do we have any more bidders?

:pinky at mouth: €200 billion.

josap wrote:

Do we have any more bidders?

First rule of bailout club: Always multiply the first number by 10.

Billions for Bilbao, but not one peseta, por favor.

curious wrote:

josap wrote:
Do we have any more bidders?
First rule of bailout club: Always multiply the first number by 10.

Ah, but they are already ahead of you- they will promise a profit from the transaction.

I wouldn't worry. It's all smooth sailing from here. They've finally got it under control.

poic wrote:

I wouldn't worry. It's all smooth sailing from here. They've finally got it under control.

That's a real assurance, coming from you. I feel like investing - do you have any hot new trade recommendations?

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

do you have any hot new trade recommendations?

I think his newsletter now features the following line...

"Do you want guaranteed Spanish bank-like returns? Well, look no further than Why is there a watermelon there?-head Investments."

Im throwing in a free Gluten Boy action figure with next months newsletter.

curious wrote:

First rule of bailout club: Always multiply the first number by 10.

I thought the first rule of bailout club was to deny membership in bailout club.

They've finally got it under control.

wilt chamberlain thought that ... everytime he left a (occupied) hotel room ... until he got to the hall and spied a woman waiting for the elevator giving him a smile

What do you want to bet at this very moment all over the Iberian peninsula ATMs and secure websites are shutting down temporarily for routine mantainence?

poic wrote:

Im throwing in a free Gluten Boy action figure with next months newsletter.

If Gluten Boy becomes popular enough, he might start a movement

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote on Sat, 6/9/2012 - 7:57 am (in reply to...)
poic wrote:
Im throwing in a free Gluten Boy action figure with next months newsletter.
If Gluten Boy becomes popular enough, he might start a movement

[groan]

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

I thought the first rule of bailout club was to deny membership in bailout club.

Only until they skip you Wink

Lehman's Fuld: Where was our bailout?
| Reuters

Where in the world, er, Eurozone, is this $125 billion going to come from? Figure Greece is out, Ireland is out... You might be able to twist Italy's arm, I guess, but they aren't in great shape either. So it's going to have to fall, primarily, on France and Germany unless the ECB decides to get into the printing press game.

I don't know about this one. That's a LOT of money coming from not many countries.

We'll pay for it Agronox.

₲£∪⊤€₦ ฿o¥$

Agronox wrote:

That's a LOT of money coming from not many countries.

most is coming from the good ole U S of A

Agronox wrote:

Where in the world, er, Eurozone, is this $125 billion going to come from?

Wheres MY pony? That elusive pot of gold

Failing that.... Mirror mirror on the wall, who is paying for this all?

volker the viking wrote:

most is coming from the good ole U S of A

Don't fail us, Skittles!!

Financial appeasement will continue apace with everybody involved in subduing real debt via imaginary measures, and you know what?

Nobody seems to care about the ramifications...

Jackdawracy wrote:

real debt

Oxymoron alert!

Agronox wrote:

Where in the world, er, Eurozone, is this $125 billion going to come from?

Ben lends $125b to European banks at EURUSD 1.25. European banks eventually repay €100b at EURUSD 1.16. Winning.

Rob Dawg wrote:

ATMs and secure websites are shutting down temporarily for routine mantainence?

Do not panic the sheep!!! Dont Panic!

US Tax Payer action figure

Mirror mirror on the wall, who is paying for this all?
Brown Pants
Tap Your Heels Together Three Times

1% of all figures come with a free Wheres MY pony?

Tomorrow just before the Asian markets open prime minister Mariano Rajoy will hold up a sheaf of paper and declare; "We got a piece, just in time."

That's a LOT of money coming from not many countries.

i think germany would cough up the dough if it has a say in bailed out country's finances ... but it appears (to me at least) that we're headed toward countrys demanding to be bailed out without any strings attached "give us the damn loot because if you don't, it will crash the whole system" ... i still think there is a chance germany might walk before we're done.

Oh, I see now, funds would come from the ESM and EFSF. Wonder how much is in those coffers.

Ben lends $125b to European banks at EURUSD 1.25. European banks eventually repay €100b at EURUSD 1.16. Winning.

for the record - current swap operation at fixed exchange rate ... ben only loses if ecb/euro no more.

Agronox wrote:

Where in the world, er, Eurozone, is this $125 billion going to come from?

Fiat money has its advantages, pity Germany didn't recognize this a year ago.

black dog wrote:

germany might walk

If Germany walks, their entire banking system becomes insolvent because they hold a lot of Euro denominate assets.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Ben lends $125b to European banks at EURUSD 1.25. European banks eventually repay €100b at EURUSD 1.16. Winning.

We'll get to rename the Euro in a later act.

■Jun 08 at 10:05 PM IMF reports Spanish Banks need €37 billion; China CPI up 3.0%

..This was only two threads ago....if they only need 37 billion Euros, then why is the EU considering giving them 100 billion?

...Math is hard..

..This was only two threads ago....if they only need 37 billion Euros, then why is the EU considering giving them 100 billion?

Think of the EU as a rather inept loanshark, that demands it's debtor take almost 3x as much more money than it needs, or it'll whack it's own kneecaps...

If Germany walks, their entire banking system becomes insolvent because they hold a lot of Euro denominate assets.

no doubt

i think germany out of a trillion euros no matter which way it turns ... might decide to apply to their banks and move on.

Jackdawracy wrote:

Think of the EU as a rather inept loanshark, that demands it's debtor take almost 3x as much more money than it needs, or it'll whack it's own kneecaps...

Smile

I'm sure they are going to discuss the prospects for the French soccer team.
French Bankers Offer to Meet Hollande Over Euro Crisis, AFP Says - Bloomberg

France’s banking trade association sent a letter to President Francois Hollande offering to meet him to discuss the banking industry in the euro area and also in France, Agence France Presse reported.g, AFP said.

The survey, which canvassed 1,001 Germans ...
Nearly 80% of those surveyed expect the debt crisis to deteriorate but 70% believe the euro will endure, the poll showed, even though more than half also said they wished Germany had retained the Deutschmark.
56% of Germans polled believe the euro crisis will impact their personal wealth "a little" in the long term while 27% said it would "clearly affect" their wealth.
16% thought the crisis would not affect them.
A hefty 83% said Greece should quit the euro zone if it fails to abide by decisions linked to its bailouts.


:whistlingpastgraveyard:

They are supposed to give me a billion, and I have asked. I should be first in line.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

I thought the first rule of bailout club was to deny membership in bailout club.

Spain is following the rules- See Volker comment above.

...Math is hard..

spain is bring in something like 5 or 6 outside auditors ... in other words we'll get 5 or 6 different numbers on true bailout cost.

"We, sir would like our bailout too, may we have one?"- French bankers-

"Nope, fail and be nationalized, we are French and have overweening pride in our Socialism!"- what Hollande will say to them!

Round and round we go, and France will show true Eurosocialism.

That will make the hard money Germans quake in their boots- all of those higher yielding French bank bonds- pffffft!!!!

Currency warz be upon us full blast.

Someday this war's gonna end...

volker the viking wrote:

most is coming from the good ole U S of A

but the USofA doesn't have it either - where we they get it then ? nope not the taxpayer - they haven't got it.

As Spanish banks teetered on the edge of collapse, Mr Cameron flew to Berlin for talks on the crisis yesterday
The Prime Minister threatened to veto support for a new European bank rescue deal as he clashed with Germany over fresh moves towards a single currency superstate.
He vowed to put British interests first by not spending taxpayers’ money on propping up Greek and Spanish banks.
Mr Cameron admitted eurozone countries will have to form a ‘bank union’ to pool their deposits if they want to prevent a European bank meltdown and save the single currency from destruction.

Read more: Spain rocked by credit rating downgrade by Fitch | This is Money


Bank Union.

Rajesh wrote:

If Germany walks, their entire banking system becomes insolvent because they hold a lot of Euro denominate assets.

So they have to pay themselves?

Rajesh wrote:

I'm sure they are going to discuss the prospects for the French soccer team.

They have to make conversation with the nervous teenage boys over SOMETHING!

Bruce in Tennessee wrote:

..This was only two threads ago....if they only need 37 billion Euros, then why is the EU considering giving them 100 billion?
...Math is hard..

No, bullshitting is easy.

Yancey Ward wrote:

I should be first in line.

indeed you are

now get yer ass over to the right where your line is forming

No shortage of European visitors here as the summer is upon us-on the great Sierra Nevada roadtrip, they are just as numerous as they were when the exchange rate was $1.50 per euro.

c'mon, skk

everybody know where it come from

Agronox wrote:

Oh, I see now, funds would come from the ESM and EFSF. Wonder how much is in those coffers.

Enough. But what will be the primary recipient?

2 independent auditors. For the 3rd Pigged

Just a reminder: I made note of the two independent auditors retained by Spain, as reported by the Irish Independent today.

Roland Berger (BRD)
Oliver Wyman | Marsh & McLennan Companies (USA)

BBC News - Business

US trade deficit shrinks in April
The US trade deficit shrank in April as a dramatic fall in imports offset the first decline in exports for five months.

...Thank goodness we are managing to slow the velocity of money thingy....that's good, right? Less buying and less sellin'?

OT...
supposed to hit 91 here this afternoon... not exactly normal for early June in eastern Dakotah
Quick, fetch a pail!

volker the viking wrote:

yer a glutton for punishment

and maybe a gluten for punishment, too, also.

Habitual lying and evasion is not doing the markets any good either.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Bank Union.

Can't see all the EU countries agreeing to a Bank Union.
Don't know why the banks would agree to join the union.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Bank Union.

It's turning into a dystopian sci-fi novel crossed with Catch-22.

Milo Minderbinder would be in awe of the complexity of these bank rescue schemes.

I saw. I'm familiar with one or more of these firms.

I thought Walker's win pretty much put the ixnay to unions?

100-125 billion?

Oops. The number got bigger.

They need more.

JimPortlandOR wrote:

and maybe a gluten for punishment, too, also.

That reminds me, wheat flour pancakes and pork sausage this morning... Om-nom-nom-nom

mp wrote:

They need more.

Most likely. So who is deceived?

Jackdawracy wrote:

I thought Walker's win pretty much put the ixnay to unions?

cutting unions makes me Crying

That reminds me, wheat flour pancakes and pork sausage this morning...

Better be careful, if KP reads that he'll never speak to you again...

.......oh, wait....nevermind...

Agronox wrote:

complexity of these bank rescue schemes.

The most complex part is coming up with a new name that always translates into "throw money at the banks", have the banks buy bonds - circle of life.

At least the lying means they still care what the pubic thinks, if only the investing public.

He tried veto already, last year, and was steam-rolled by 25of27. He also announced the UK would contribute no more than EUR 10B to an unknown EU fund "to save countries, not currency," this year. THIS WEEK Chancellor Osborne called for a UK referendum to decide continuing membership in the EU.

He's a loser. Cameron's a loser, rooting in the sofa cushions of euro-area periphery for City depositors. Move on.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

At least the lying means they still care

Everyone and I do mean everyone knows they lie.
Like not being able to divorce a cheating husband/wife.

Bruce in Tennessee wrote:

That reminds me, wheat flour pancakes and pork sausage this morning...

Better be careful, if KP reads that he'll never speak to you again...

.......oh, wait....nevermind...

Darn, it was cereal etc.

"Better be careful, if KP reads that he'll never speak to you again...

.......oh, wait....nevermind..."

That's probably why RIF went public with his breakfast plans.

Ditto MoMA this past week. I'll see what's it's like today at the mall.

Bruce in Tennessee wrote:

Better be careful, if KP reads that he'll never speak to you again...

Don't forget the pork... I'm an equal opportunity food taboo offender!

pavel.chichikov wrote:

lying means they still care what the pubic thinks

size does matter

The world's economy resembles a many tiered water fountain that continuously recycles the same bondwater over and over again, with everybody eager to take another bond hit so as to keep the high going.

and germs like a Chinese buffet

contagion follows

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Don't forget the pork..

Also a ham and sliced chicken sandwich, a slice of angel food cake, and walnuts and bilberry jam with the cereal.

But it was brunch after a morning hike, and I won't eat again until this evening.

i was working from -

"the Spanish government has hired Oliver Wyman, a US firm and Roland Berger, headquartered in Munchen to prepare an audit expected before the end of June. And third, the big Four, KPMG, Deloitte, Ernst & Young and PWC, were hired to conduct a separate audit this is due by September.
I think that the reason six of the worlds biggest accounting organizations were hired to do separate audits is that no trusts the Spanish banks or government"

Biderman's Daily Edge 6/6/2012: End Game Nearing for European Banks - TrimTabs Money Blog | TrimTabs Money Blog

We can just borrow the 100bln and give it to Spain. Our rates are so low right now!

Maybe Germany can loan it to us.

Sure would be a shame to eventually discover our investment bankers stand to gain from so much pain.

RockyR wrote:

We can just borrow the 100bln and give it to Spain.

Give?

poic wrote:

That's probably why RIF went public with his breakfast plans.

Do you know of any good canoe simulator games?

and you're facilitating?

At least we now know that that Spanish bank trot so widely avoided by the mainstream media was just a little more kinetically-charged than previously expected, because for Spain to actually demand the money, even if implicitly, it means it has a capital shortfall, which can only arise from an outflow of liquidity, as mere real estate impairments do not have any impact on liquidity.

WTF is that?

I think they are getting their fantasy vacation in before things fall apart- if you have wanted to see Yosemite all your life, and your currency spends well here, do it now before devaluation.

The really funny part is I see a bunch of stuff on zerohedge about how printing dollars is going to once again cause hyperinflation, and the dollar is going to be devalued in the next five minutes.

Gold states we are stable this week, and everything else is getting cheaper.

Meanwhile, Europe continues the slow as molasses death spiral of their hard currency experiment.

I am bored with the crisis in Europe, it is the same damned thing week after week, each new plan kicks the can another couple of feet.

Blah. Time to clean the house, at least something gets done when that happens.

Someday this war's gonna end...

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Do you know of any good canoe simulator games?

Perhaps for the astronauts?

Rajesh wrote:

If Germany walks, their entire banking system becomes insolvent because they hold a lot of Euro denominate assets.

In addition, the inertia for that to happen at the ground/street level doesn't seem to exist (yet). Co-worker is German and returned 6 weeks ago from an extended family visit and as I peppered her with questions (EU, Euro, Greece...) about how urgent Germans felt these issues were it became clear it is generally not a street level conversation (other than those dang free spending Greeks).

Mary wrote:

it means it has a capital shortfall, which can only arise from an outflow of liquidity, as mere real estate impairments do not have any impact on liquidity.

WTF is that?

Deposit withdrawls are much much greater than being acknowledged.

"Do you know of any good canoe simulator games?"

I would speak to Gnome. He knows how to simulate kayaking.

yes, pavel. GIVE it to them. they can repay any loan we extend. GIVE it to them, like we did to Benmosche.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I think they are getting their fantasy vacation in before things fall apart- if you have wanted to see Yosemite all your life, and your currency spends well here, do it now before devaluation.

English relatives of ours were here last month, and they saw everything - I don't know why they didn't collapse in exhaustion.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

think they are getting their fantasy vacation in before things fall apart- if you have wanted to see Yosemite all your life, and your currency spends well here, do it now before devaluation.

HELOC FOR BUSTS!

*can't repay. edit does not work on the iPhone.

I'm going to bask in the awesomeness of the mediocrity today.

Europe is like a bad summer blockbuster that's a sequel. Everybody talks about it, but you've seen it before, and it sucked the first time.

I'm going to bask in the awesomeness of the mediocrity today.

Great idea.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Most likely. So who is deceived?

Depends- who is paying?

Gas @ half-price compared to the old country, cheap eats and motel rooms in abundance, as 30 million Californians within a 5 hour drive stay away in droves. Europeans are great travelers...

Its fun to play guess the nationality, as so many countries are represented.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

That reminds me, wheat flour pancakes and pork sausage this morning...

real maple syrup? and loads of real butter?

hmmm. nom nom nom

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I am bored with the crisis in Europe, it is the same damned thing week after week, each new plan kicks the can another couple of feet.

It will work until it doesn't. Seems to me like there are only two ultimate options: massive monetization by the ECB or breakup of the Eurozone.

I hope it isn't selfish to hope to see the Euro down around USD parity. I've never been to the Continent and would like to do some cheap exploring. Shy

JimPortlandOR wrote:

real maple syrup? and loads of real butter?

yes to both

Agronox wrote:

: massive monetization by the ECB or breakup of the Eurozone.

Neither is acceptable. Please suggest another alternative.

poic wrote:

I would speak to Gnome. He knows how to simulate kayaking.

Big smile && Do Not Poke The Hornet Nest

Agronox wrote:

Seems to me like there are only two ultimate options: massive monetization by the ECB or breakup of the Eurozone.

These are actually the same.

Yancey Ward wrote:

These are actually the same.

Yes.

black dog wrote:

end of June.........................a separate audit this is due by September.

They don't have until the end of June. Forget September.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I am bored with the crisis in Europe, it is the same damned thing week after week, each new plan kicks the can another couple of feet.

Yup the Spanish banks should get under this scheme 100 billions € in bonds (Schuldverschreibungen) from the EFSF and than can get fresh money from the ECB for this bonds. Seriously this is the same old same old. It's A Tribe called Quest "Can I kick it" on constant loop. Nice Track by the way, but not 24/7.

josap wrote:

They don't have until the end of June. Forget September.

Spain must be attended to immediately. Greece is the poisoned pickle in the sandwich.

Das Leben ist kein Ponyhof wrote:

Yup the Spanish banks

Banks directly? And with what supervision?

"Spain, you've got some 'splainin to do" Luuuuuu-Ceeeeee, you got some splainin to do!

10 fastest-growing states - Alaska (5) - CNNMoney

...West Virginia and Texas are 3 and 4...KP will be in some mood Monday...

...let the angry comments begin!

Imagine what the price tag would be if they hadn't all recently passed a worst case stress test with flying colors.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Banks directly? And with what supervision?

I reckon the Spanish Central bank will be heavily involved, so maybe not really direct, but that is only semantically a difference anyway

Bruce in Tennessee wrote:

10 fastest-growing states - Alaska (5) - CNNMoney
...West Virginia and Texas are 3 and 4...KP will be in some mood Monday...
...let the angry comments begin!

Ignorance and bigotry are best sellers....Where's AL, MS, SC and TN?

Last time I went was early 2001- it was a great time with King Dollar making it all reasonable.

The concerns I have this time are whether we continue to see so much international trade, or if the world trading system breaks down into tight trading zones, with high tariffs corralling off consumers to pay off the bloated banker bonds that are strangling the entire world. Given how the US outside of Chinamart and energy is self sufficient, I begin to wonder if letting it all fall apart to hit the big reset button would not cause too much strain here.

A lot of elsewhere seems destined to resemble Greece.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Das Leben ist kein Ponyhof wrote:

I reckon the Spanish Central bank will be heavily involved, so maybe not really direct, but that is only semantically a difference anyway

Perhaps, but details as yet to be disclosed - maybe.

Meanwhile, one can hardly imagine the fiddles being worked to take assets out of the country. Maybe they have Greek tutors.

No wonder OR is called the biggest A##Hole State if you don't believe LOOK it up AH.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I begin to wonder if letting it all fall apart to hit the big reset button would not cause too much strain here.

Well, there'd be a nasty bout of wage inflation as employment surged to meet domestic demand. Oh wait... did I say nasty?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I begin to wonder if letting it all fall apart to hit the big reset button would not cause too much strain here.

US is not in the worst position, if there is a rational adjustment possible. This is still a very strong country. If people have not forgotten how to work - and think.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I begin to wonder if letting it all fall apart to hit the big reset button would not cause too much strain here.

I would start by forbidding US banks from lending outside the US (even to US Corp subs). If the banksters don't like it, tell them they're welcome to leave, but the money stays here.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I begin to wonder if letting it all fall apart to hit the big reset button would not cause too much strain here.

The US banks would freeze up again.
Europe is China's largest market, China drops and Austrailia dies.
Gas might be cheap, until there is unrest in the MidEast due to safety net cuts.

Das Leben ist kein Ponyhof wrote:

Yup the Spanish banks should get under this scheme 100 billions € in bonds (Schuldverschreibungen) from the EFSF and than can get fresh money from the ECB for this bonds.

See 2008 TALF- now, all we need is someone to bail out France, Italy, the Netherlands, and the defunct Belgians. I guess the Danes are not going to pony up very much.

The really interesting part is how the Swiss extract themselves from the overinvestment in the euro the collar is forcing on them- I still advocate they go ahead and backdoor sterilize by buying a massive amount of gold futures and then quietly take delivery over the next ten years. Imagine if the Swiss ended up owning most of the world's gold. It would make them sooo happy in their secret gnome heart of hearts.

Someday this war's gonna end...but it sure is taking years.

Inflation, here? What decade are you talking about? Surely not this one.

MaryAnn wrote:

No wonder OR is called the biggest A##Hole State if you don't believe LOOK it up AH.

10 fastest-growing states - California (10) - CNNMoney

Still number one. Wink

Rob Dawg wrote:

Well, there'd be a nasty bout of wage inflation as employment surged to meet domestic demand. Oh wait... did I say nasty?

No need to concern yourself; there is little risk of that here. Wage inflation as such will only happen at the top end.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Wage inflation as such will only happen at the top end.

Those are called salaries. Otherwise known as the ages of sin. Snark

Rob Dawg wrote:

Still number one.

The Cali-centric theory of the universe has not yet been formally refuted, though some residents are starting to have their doubts.

JimPortlandOR wrote:

but the money stays here.

If all they do is sit on the money, it does no real good anyway.

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Agronox wrote:

massive monetization by the ECB or breakup of the Eurozone.

Neither is acceptable. Please suggest another alternative.

I know!!! Let's kick the can down the road!!!

pavel.chichikov wrote:

Those are called salaries. Otherwise known as the ages of sin.

The sting of death is sin, and the strength of sin is the law.

PastTense wrote:

I know!!! Let's kick the can down the road!!!

Two part question.
How do you kick the can from this point?
How far, time wise, can the can be kicked?

Ok, three.
Where is the brick wall at the end of the alley?

I begin to wonder if letting it all fall apart to hit the big reset button would not cause too much strain here.

my choice over the (never ending) 'japan thing'

but not before borrowing a few trillion more from foreigners to fund alternate/domestic energy.

get our ducks in a row first

I had no idea OR was considered the most A##Hole State, why's that?

ultra badass, nonetheless, the stats and bullet points concisely illustrate why supporting faked asset pricing in Spain simply to placate Europe's rentiers is futile.

Spain has lied and continues to lie systematically about the scale of its financial problems. Its banking system is worthless, and its debt as well as equity should be written down to zero. The facts are that: Spain's construction sector dominates the national economy.
# Delinquent loans to the construction sector reportedly total about 20% of GDP, and probably exceed twice that amount.
# The debt of Spanish financial institutions stands at 109% of GDP, double the ratio in France or Germany, and triple the ratio in the United States.
# The debt of Spanish financial institutions since 2003 grew at twice the rate of the US or the UK, and four times the rate of Germany.
The trouble with Spain is that its construction sector is enormous relative to the overall economy, as large as the manufacturing sector. By contrast, America's construction sector at the height of the real estate bubble was only a third the size of its manufacturing sector. In Germany, construction is just a fifth the size of manufacturing.
[TABLES]
What is this 109% of GDP, the debt of Spanish financial institutions, actually worth? According to Spain's own data, delinquent loans amount to nearly a fifth of GDP, or 184 billion euros (US$228 billion).

Geniuses: what is 9% of EUR 184B need to "restore confidence of the market"? EUR 100B? No. 350B? No.

EUR 16B. And Banco de España claimed in Dec 2011 the 5 had 26B. Assum that's all gone now. So. Who supposed to get the other 84B - 334B?

That would wipe out all the remaining shareholder value attached to the Spanish banking system.

It seems obvious from the data, however, that Spanish banks' bad loans are far in excess of the reported 184 billion euros. Alone in the world, Spanish banks drastically increased their lending after the 2008 crisis - by nearly two and a half times - while overall bank lending in the United States and the eurozone barely changed due to weak economic conditions. It is widely reported that Spanish banks are piling new loans of bad old loans in order to avoid reporting losses that now probably exceed two-fifths of GDP....

The patient (namely the Spanish banking system) must die with the tumor, and with it a very large part of Spanish private wealth, including Spanish bank debt held by Spanish households, pension funds, and insurance companies. Pensions and insurance payments will be reduced and the Spanish will be poorer.

Nonetheless, the deposits and other short-term obligations of the Spanish financial sector (and all European banks) must be guaranteed. Once its equity and $1.6 trillion in debt is reduced to zero ["all European banks" BWAH!], the Spanish financial sector will become a desirable investment for an outside investor with ready cash

Open letter to Chancellor Merkel: Sacrifice Spain

poic wrote:

I'm going to bask in the awesomeness of the mediocrity today.

Coffee at Starbuck's?

Pop Quiz! Without recourse to your text, your notes or a Google search, what line item is the largest asset on Uncle Sam's balance sheet?
1.U.S. Official Reserve Assets
2.Total Mortgages
3.Taxes Receivable
4.Student Loans

Student Loans Are the Government’s Largest Asset | Doug Short | FINANCIAL SENSE

Tom Stone wrote:

Coffee at Starbuck's?

Caravan of Homes.

Tom Stone wrote:

Coffee at Starbuck's?

Not just coffee, a Venti Macchiato! Burnt Swill - er - Starbucks Coffee

"poic wrote:

I'm going to bask in the awesomeness of the mediocrity today.

Coffee at Starbuck's?"

Nahh, we've got a software project going live today.

poic wrote:

Nahh, we've got a software project going live today.

Gluten Boy MMPORG?

poic wrote:

"poic wrote:

I'm going to bask in the awesomeness of the mediocrity today.

Coffee at Starbuck's?"

Nahh, we've got a software project going live today.

Fun, almost. Get someone to run down to blue bottle for the good stuff.

uh, that was easy

give me another

Oregon is full of read-necks that hang out @ Powell's.

“Arise, come, hasten, let us abandon the city to merchants, attorneys, brokers, usurers, tax-gatherers, scriveners, doctors, perfumers, butchers, cooks, bakers and tailors, alchemists, painters, mimes, dancers, lute-players, quacks, panderers, thieves, criminals, adulterers, parasites, foreigners, swindlers and jesters, gluttons who with scent alert catch the odor of the market place, for whom that is the only bliss, whose mouths are agape for that alone.”

Francesco Petrarch. De Vita Solitaria, 1356

Things don't really change that much.

Outsider wrote:

Things don't really change that much.

Caesar didn't have an ipod. Otherwise...

Hieroglyphics: the first blog.

Outsider wrote:

Francesco Petrarch. De Vita Solitaria, 1356
Things don't really change that much.

new New Keyboard's, same Nemo's Monkey

Render unto Caesar your e-mail address.

I think we're kind of stuck in the same regurgitated dialogue since the beginning of time.

May as well eat, drink & be merry.

checking the outer banks, nc mls for inventory/price cuts for past 6 weeks ... on a year over year basis ... inventory down slightly ... number of houses with price cuts UP

Jackdawracy wrote:

Render unto Caesar your e-mail address.

Intel's new TV provides fap counts in real time.

Outsider wrote:

I think we're kind of stuck in the same regurgitated dialogue since the beginning of time.

Got DNA?

Got DNA?

The ultimate computer chip?

Okay, this is getting freaky.

Jackdawracy wrote:

Render unto Caesar your e-mail address.

Reading Plutarch one has the impression of giant scorpions maneuvering in a sand box. Formidable, very human and recognizable, but survivors of a desperate school. Subtle, brutal when necessary, masters of deception and intrigue, ruthless and yet sentimental after they had won. They could have had most of us for breakfast.

Rob Dawg wrote:

Intel's new TV provides fap counts in real time.

3
3
[F5]
3
[F5]
4!!!!!!!

Dawg, found something special on the MLS here. Only $65k! It's a 625 sq ft 1/1 on .130 acres that needs a little "TLC". Minor problems...the lot is too small for a septic system so you can't replace ( And maybe not get permits to repair) the building. I suppose you could put $80k or so into fixing it up and get a variance to use a porta potty. Oh, no well either. Do you think POIC would feature this place in his newsletter? It oozes rustic charm, and mold, according to the inspection report...

Outsider wrote:

The ultimate computer chip?
Okay, this is getting freaky.

Annuit Cœptis

Tom Stone wrote:

Only $65k! It's a 625 sq ft 1/1 on .130 acres that needs a little "TLC". Minor problems...the lot is too small for a septic system so you can't replace ( And maybe not get permits to repair) the building. I suppose you could put $80k or so into fixing it up and get a variance to use a porta potty. Oh, no well either. Do you think POIC would feature this place in his newsletter?

Ted Kaczynski the seller? Thanks for the laugh. Even funnier because I was just this moment reading:
1526 Laura St E, Wrightwood, CA 92397 MLS# 413263 - Zillow

Great minds thinking alike? Oh in case you missed it. I finished the backsplash in the kitchen.

Tom Stone wrote:

It oozes rustic charm, and mold, according to the inspection report...

At that price, you could always just poop outside

Outsider wrote:

Nah. Couldn't be.
never mind

longcat is loooooooooooooooong

Rob Dawg wrote:

Great minds thinking alike?

Nope, both trying to see what's there clearly. The highest and best use of the place here is as a training exercise for the fire department. A serial killer who needed a place to dismember bodies might fall through the floor and could do better elsewhere for less money.

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Tom Stone wrote:

It oozes rustic charm, and mold, according to the inspection report...

At that price, you could always just poop outside

It lasted longer than most of the stuff built by KB will.

josap wrote:

PastTense wrote:
I know!!! Let's kick the can down the road!!!
Two part question.
How do you kick the can from this point?
How far, time wise, can the can be kicked?
Ok, three.
Where is the brick wall at the end of the alley?

According to Einstein's Theory of Relativity, if you kick the can far enough, it's mass reaches infinity.

"Outsider wrote:
Sat, 06/09/2012 - 9:39am
Did I kill the thread?"

I want to assure you, you've been no worse than usual on this thread.

< wipes tears >

It's like the New Yorkers I know who talk about how ignorant the rest of the country is, yet they've never travelled outside of New York.

Dawg, I sent you the inspection report. Wow, I'm not sure the fire department would be willing to burn it down.

Obama’s data advantage - Lois Romano - POLITICO.com 

I wondered why I have been getting e-mail messages from Jim Messina every other day. The first time it happened, I wrote back that Loggins had all the talent.

poic wrote:

Nahh, we've got a software project going live today.

Yes - go-live date is when we find out who's been swimming naked. awesomeness of mediocrity indeed. Have fun.

Wow, I'm not sure the fire department would be willing to burn it down.

drone strike practice?

Tom Stone wrote:

I'm not sure the fire department would be willing to burn it down.

Is it arson if you burn something you own to the ground on purpose without any financial gain?

Jackdawracy wrote:

Oregon is full of read-necks that hang out @ Powell's.

Actually, many/most Oregonians don't mind being dissed about whatever. Like the road sign says: "Welcome to Oregon, Don't forget to return home".

We like it here, even with sub-tropical rain in our north-fringe temperate zone.

Comrade Alexei Mikhailovich wrote:

Tom Stone wrote:

I'm not sure the fire department would be willing to burn it down.

Is it arson if you burn something you own to the ground on purpose without any financial gain?

Unfortunately the place is worth more burned to the ground. EPA might go after you for toxic release besides.

the key here is "aid" without conditions innit ?

How Germany's EU Partners Are Using Blackmail in the Euro Crisis - SPIEGEL ONLINE

With their refusal to accept money from the bailout fund to recapitalize their banks, the Spanish are not far from causing the entire system to explode. They clearly figure that the Germans will lose their nerve and agree to rehabilitate their banks for them without demanding any guarantee in return that things will take a lasting turn for the better.

I know I know the Irish and the Greeks tried that - "we don't want a loan of yer steenking money to pay it back to you" - before folding but at that time the French weren't on their side.

this time.. cos after all the French have to get ready for their Wheres MY pony? - did I read that the French banksters were meeting with Hollande today ?

but if the Spanish do get the loan without conditions to pay back the loans - won't the Greeks say.. and won't the Irish say ???

Whattodo heh ? I know Got Popcorn? Todais !

Tom Stone wrote:

It lasted longer than most of the stuff built by KB will.

Feature, not bug

Outsider wrote:

May as well eat, drink & be merry.

don't forget lots of nasty sex....

volker the viking wrote:

Man Claims His Genitals Were Burned By Urinal In Arby’s « CBS Denver

You probably shouldn't use the hand dryer that way

BWAHAHAHAHAHA!

:soundofbangingheadondesk:

:soundofhystericallaughter:

:celebratingawesomeness:

:embracingmediocrity:

Ludger Schuknecht is one stupid son of a bitch.

Folks, this over.

Europe is going to burn to a crisp.

Quick, fetch a pail! Got Concrete?

Martin Wolf's Exchange

no fiscal stick save like summer of 2010 -

President Barack Obama told voters to send Republicans to the principal’s office in his weekly radio address, calling on Congress to pass a measure to stop teacher layoffs that he first proposed last September.

The $30 billion package to fill in the gaps left by slashed state education budgets failed to get a passing grade from Capitol Hill. And with summer vacation about to start across the country, a wave of teacher firings is expected to happen at a delicate moment for the recovery

“All across America – tens of thousands of teachers are getting laid off,” Obama warned in the address broadcast Saturday. “In Pennsylvania alone, there are 9,000 fewer educators in our schools today than just a year ago. In Ohio, the number is close to 7,000. And nationwide, over the past three years, school districts have lost over 250,000 educators.

Read more: Obama warns on teacher layoffs - Josh Boak - POLITICO.com

Rob Dawg wrote:

EPA might go after you for toxic release besides.

Strawberry-Banana Fruit Smoothie
* Gluten-free

Shakes Tiny Fist of Fury

Rob Dawg wrote:

Comrade Alexei Mikhailovich wrote:

Tom Stone wrote:

I'm not sure the fire department would be willing to burn it down.

Is it arson if you burn something you own to the ground on purpose without any financial gain?

Unfortunately the place is worth more burned to the ground. EPA might go after you for toxic release besides.

Dawg, I know that area well, it would have a smaller negative value if the home were burned to the ground. And you may well be right about the toxic releases, but I think fire departments get a pass on that. 8680 Bodega Hwy 96472 for those who are curious. I'll send the report to anyone interested...if you are trying to diet it will help.

the key here is "aid" without conditions innit ?

Needs More Cowbell

ResistanceIsFeudal wrote:

Tom Stone wrote:

It lasted longer than most of the stuff built by KB will.

Feature, not bug

1953-2012 and still standing, sorta.

black dog wrote:

“In Pennsylvania alone, there are 9,000 fewer educators in our schools today than just a year ago. In Ohio, the number is close to 7,000. And nationwide, over the past three years, school districts have lost over 250,000 educators.

Seed corn is the most delicious corn!

Agronox wrote:

Seed corn is the most delicious corn!

Om-nom-nom-nom

Seed corn is the most delicious corn!

my wife is a teacher. For a few years she didn't get a raise. Finally, got one which ... 'coincidentally' ... matched the increase she had to pay into pension ...

me? don't complain ... be thankful for a job.

black dog wrote:

me? don't complain ... be thankful for a job.

is the sofa cold?

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