Okay. I'm pre, but only by a few weeks....

Besides--you go by the season of JFK's assassination--not the actual date.

I read that somewhere.

Okay--I wrote that somewhere.

Tanta Vive, page 2

edit: missed

josap - took a year + off work. Had a great time.

Sounds oh so tempting, but getting back into the work force after wards would be very difficult if not impossible. It would throw up so many red flag's.
But I can dream about it right. Smile

Outsider wrote:

Gonna go destress in front of the grammys now.

enjoy the wake

YouTube - N.W.A. Gangsta Gangsta

-chris brown knocked that song out like a lip synched milli vanillee with two black eyes.

skk wrote:

I never did sell the TransAm - couldn't bear to

That's good, skk.

No man should be asked to give up his motorcycle and his TransAm within the same 12-month period....

JP wrote:

Time to throw Antipodes into the moat.

Wait, wait. Let's not be too rash about this. I am married to a boomer. Big smile

Even the twatterverse gets it:

“@maxkeiser: Goldman Sachs can take a victory lap. They managed to sack Athens and make billions doing it.” And the € goes WILD! Yay banks!

Couldn't they have paid themselves without the Greeks' humiliation?

lawyerliz wrote:

Totally agree.

Yes--this was Varoufakis's argument; the Germans are bailing the Euro banks and their own--or buying time for them--by bailing out Greece. Or perhaps buying time, if you wish to put it that way. And the Greeks are can kicking.

Crying over spilt milk: My CNN.com piece on Greek sovereignty and the unholy alliance between German and Greek leaders « Yanis Varoufakis

lawyerliz wrote:

Couldn't they have paid themselves without the Greeks' humiliation?

This way they get interest + humiliation, FTW !

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

Sounds oh so tempting, but getting back into the work force after wards would be very difficult if not impossible. It would throw up so many red flag's

I did it after 4 years ! I know some of the tricks.

Tip #1 - Keep in touch with your contacts.

Tip #2 - Keep up with... Smile

If you like people that shouldn't even be a chore - just business living as usual.

O yeah being in an esoteric LOB helps I guess - or a ubiquitous one.. wait.. did I do a economist impression there - OTOH this, OTOH that... I shall now go out and flagellate myself - its coming up to that time of year anyway isn't it. I said:

FLAGELLATE... pavel knows all about that.. Smile

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

It would throw up so many red flag's.

I just told the truth. Worked hard, made alot of money, saved. Took a well earned and long vacation. Then it was time to go back to work.

energyecon wrote:

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:
I paid $4.03 for the cheap stuff on Friday.
Found same for $3.29 here in Houston this afternoon.

how much on gas do you guys spend commuting each month?

Nytol , you middle-aged CRowd. Love

Antipodes wrote:

This way they get interest + humiliation, FTW !

A spoonful of humiliation makes the spankopita go down.

yuan wrote:

Its only a matter of time before people who have nothing to lose switch from passive suicide to active suicide.

even more interesting, a ton of those are highly educated here in US. i'd short the status quo going forward if i could. big changes ahead imho.

lawyerliz - Couldn't they have paid themselves without the Greeks' humiliation?

Got to have a fall guy to blame it on.

lawyerliz wrote:

Couldn't they have paid themselves without the Greeks' humiliation?

does the word 'schadenfreude' ring a bell ?

lawyerliz wrote:

Couldn't they have paid themselves without the Greeks' humiliation?

Liz, you know it isn't just about the money. Money and power.

Finance_Fan wrote:

how much on gas do you guys spend commuting each month?

About $200-$250 on my end.

metabear wrote:

“This is worse than the ’40s,” she said, referring to the Nazi occupation.
well, there goes the German tourism euro Greece was counting on.

it goes to Turkey, a country with better econ growth prospects than Greece, but the Greek talked them down saying "we are not Turkey, we are not poor"... not so fast!

Pearl wrote:

Besides--you go by the season of JFK's assassination--not the actual date.

That "season" I was in graduate school.

I have been looking for 25 minutes for a link to live streaming of the Grammys...
no luck so far...
anyone out there know of a URL?

sportsfan wrote:

fried wrote:
Berlin is insisting that most of the money does not actually go to Greece but is held in a separate account and is used purely to service the country's debt.
They are amazing in their arrogance.

so learning that there's no willingness to pay back is called arrogance now? interesting!

josap - I just told the truth.

I have the consideration of a clearance. Any time like that would make it almost impossible to have it renewed in the time frame that would make hiring me an option.

They aren't loaning Greece anything. They are paying themselves.

Finance_Fan - how much on gas do you guys spend commuting each month?

Now I suffer through a short 15 minute commute one way. Smile
Before it was any were between 40 minutes to two hours. Took a pay cut in changing jobs, but there are some benefits like I don't manage anyone now.

sportsfan wrote:

Rickkk wrote:
The Germans are the landlords, the Greeks the tenants. Déjà vu.
I guess I would say that treating your tenant like a child doesn't lead to a productive business relationship.

the child will grow up, no matter what it takes. if the bailout money is held in an account to be used just for debt repayments, does it mean that if measures signed don't get implemented the Germans don't transfer that $, hence Greeks defaults automatically?

It appears the Greeks have taken to burning banks. Well played.

lawyerliz wrote:

They aren't loaning Greece anything. They are paying themselves.

And avoiding a credit event, I assume.

Juvenal Delinquent wrote:

"Are you pre or post JFK?"

before or after he took Mimi Beardsley's virginity?

GDD9000 wrote:

a population doesnt age that fast, but that is a longer term factor pushing it in that direction.

how about shopping & other errands done online?

i have the post office a few blocks ago, and don't even bother. they come home to pick it up. i'd insist more on scheduling pick-ups if i were in suburbia.

lawyerliz wrote:

They aren't loaning Greece anything. They are paying themselves.

Paying their banks to avoid a bank bailout that wouldn't make Germany and France's political class look good. Stick a fork in Greece, she's done. The debt will only go higher.

Finance_Fan wrote:

how much on gas do you guys spend commuting each month?

About $36. to the office and back, but work from home more than in the office. Then I spend about $160. checking properties, seeing tenants, looking at vendor work etc.

After moving my office this month I will only be a mile away, should help some.

lawyerliz wrote:

They aren't loaning Greece anything. They are paying themselves.

and imposing an austerity regime on the Greeks for the privilege. It's almost enough to make you want to riot.

Precisely, lawyerliz. They can torture the words any way they wish but that is exactly what is happening and they are simply tacking it onto the already over the limit credit card of the Greek citizenry. It's robbery and it's shameful and I for one hope they burn every bank in the country to ashes.

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

I have the consideration of a clearance.

I had the same situation and took 6 months off with no problem- even came back to the same job.

BTW - this was in 1966 Wink

Mr Slippery wrote:

Shrinking pie politics is what the 2010s are about. Everyone wants somebody else to pay, and we are talking in large part about bad banker loans and frauds. Who pays for bad loans and fraud? The weakest and least politically connected pay first.

i see something more fundamental going on, at least among the young. they need to work figuring out what shape the Amercian Dream should take on, so that it doesn't become a nightmare to them.

Flight flu 'just sniffles' | Stuff.co.nz

Passengers are downplaying a health scare that sparked a major response from officials at Auckland International Airport today.

A group of Japanese schoolchildren were believed to be at the centre of the scare, but they have since emerged through Customs, saying they are fine.

Passengers began coming through Customs at midday, and an Air New Zealand email at 12.39pm said all of the 274 passengers had been released, though health officials refused to comment.

Stuart Cundy, head of the homestay organisation hosting the Japanese students, said it was an overreaction.

**A few of the students had sniffles and maybe small colds because it was winter in Japan but none had flu-like symptoms, he said. **

Non flu-like symptoms, which apparently includes vomiting? I was going to provide a quote from the article which mentioned at least two passengers vomiting, but all references to vomiting have since been removed from the article. Puzzled

Most passengers have now been released. I now anticipate a spike in H3N2 here in New Zealand in the near future.

Happy Black History Month!, my fine neandertal allele-bearing cousins.

No single incident in Malcom's entire career has generated more controversy than his private caucus with the Klan in January 1961. Most of the details about the planning and logistics of this meeting are still sketchy. What is established is that, despite a previous exchange of hostile letters between KKK leader J.B. Stoner and Elijah Muhammead, both the Klan and the NOI [Nation of Islam] saw advantages to crafting a secret alliance. On January 28, Malcolm and Atlanta NOI leader Jeremiah X met in Atlanta with KKK representatives. Apparently, the Nation was interested in purchasing tracts of farmland and other properties in the South and, as Malcom explained, wanted to solcit "the aid of the Klan to obtain the land." According to FBI surveillance, Malcolm assured the white racists that "his people wanted complete segregation frorm the white race." If sufficient territory were obtainable, blacks could establish their own racially separate businesses and even government. Explaining that the Nation exercised strict discipline over its members, he urged white racists in Georgia to do likewise: to eliminate those white "traitors who assisted integration leaders."
[...]
To sit down with white supremacists to negotiated common interests, in a moment in black history when the KKK was harrassing, victimizing, and even killing civil rights workers and ordinary black citizens, was despicable. Malcolm's apologetics about negotiating with white racists were insufficinet. He had also told the Klansmen that "the Jew is behind the integration movement, using the Negro as a tool." He had to know that his overute would be used to undermine the struggle for blacks' equal rights, that Klansmen and white supremacists were committed to murdering civil rights leaders in the region. Malcolm's uncritical adoption of Elijah Muhammad's conservative, black separatist policies had led him to an ugly dead end.

~ Marable

Stare sterotype is the mind killer.

GDD9000 wrote:

I seriously doubt it's preventing anyone from invading.

2nd that. their reckless government is the best tool to keep invaders at bay.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

burn every bank in the country

I still say it is counterproductive to burn Greek banks, German and French banks are a different matter.

More perp walks at the Sun. Rupert Murdoch Flies to London to Stave Off Crisis at The Sun, After Five More Arrested -- Daily Intel

If it can't be our banksters or MFGlobal doing the cat walk, we can shine in the reflected refulgant glory of the Brits.

The die is cast | Athens News

"Pasok and ND (New Democracy) expel over 40 MPs as parliament passes tough EU-IMF bailout package amid concerns that it will not avert disorderly default "

Duke of Con Dao wrote:

"Are you pre or post JFK?"

I'm definitely PRE- but I definitely went..

Kennedy WHO ?

well I was on the school bus in Pune India and in the competition to be aware of things Western - well my Forte was the UK and crikkit..

Who'd have thunk 30 odd years later, I'm in LA and when people at work are all agog about OJ and I'm going..

OJ who ?

Wonder if that event will become a defining one like the JFK one ? for Gen Y.

TJ and The Bear wrote:

Invading?!? To what end???

i know!? big museums in the west have more than enough statues as it is

Comrade Kristina wrote:

It's robbery and it's shameful

Well, shameful perhaps, in how the process is being pushed. But as for robbery, it is money that is owed.

Finance_Fan wrote:

how much on gas do you guys spend commuting each month?

Mrs. Antipodes takes public transportation to work downtown. I use public transport when I can and use the car for the rest or when I have multiple places to go. I fill the Toyota Echo perhaps once every three weeks - about 35 litres of petrol - about NZ$73 = US$61.

Finance_Fan wrote:

so learning that there's no willingness to pay back is called arrogance now?

No, that's called education. Keeping all the cookies in one's own jar to feed one's own banks was arrogant.

josap wrote:

Those Euro countries that fall in the economic war will be poor for generations and those generations will live in subserviance of international bankers and companies.
The old fashion wars are fought with guns, the new war is fought with money.

the old fashion wars were always about money and land. why do you think UK had the biggest navy? to send them to your port if you failed to pay. let's face it, not much is new. debt = slavery, if you want to be free just say NO.

Finance_Fan wrote:

does it mean that if measures signed don't get implemented the Germans don't transfer that $, hence Greeks defaults automatically?

Possibly, but the money is needed by the German and French banks, EBC and IMF, So I think it gets paid out.

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

lawyerliz - Couldn't they have paid themselves without the Greeks' humiliation?
Got to have a fall guy to blame it on.

it's also a great lesson for the rest. fudge numbers with total cockiness and humiliation will eventually come along.

robj wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
how much on gas do you guys spend commuting each month?
About $200-$250 on my end.

per commuter? or entire household? it's pretty low!!!

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

I have the consideration of a clearance.

Ahh well if you must work for the military-industrial-complex then on yer head be it.

No no no that comes out wrong. We all need to earn our daily crust in some fashion. After all I'm with FIRE ( but not the Vampire Squid from Hell thank god - a man has his limits - or they their selection procedures Smile ) . But somehow

FIRE < MIC ?

Hmm I dunno if that inequality holds.. whatever space I transform it into.

Finance_Fan wrote:

per commuter? or entire household? it's pretty low!!!

My wife and I commute together using the HOV, so it's household. And avoid the stop/start, so better gas mileage.

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

Finance_Fan - how much on gas do you guys spend commuting each month?
Now I suffer through a short 15 minute commute one way.
Before it was any were between 40 minutes to two hours. Took a pay cut in changing jobs, but there are some benefits like I don't manage anyone now.

congrats! i'd have done the same. in my experience commuting is a waste of time, even trying hard to make the most of it i wasn't able to not consider it a waste, and also stressful. even your health will improve.

I don't understand Mary.

I'm still not sure if it's cause I am not up to her standards or she's spouting gibberish.

Perhaps it's my stupidity, I just figured out what Grexit means. Sigh.

"Vandalism and destruction have no place in a democracy and will not be tolerated," Papademos told Parliament just before the vote.

Read more: Greece passes new austerity deal amid rioting - seattlepi.com

Facepalm

Finance_Fan wrote:

even your health will improve.

What FF said.

I gave up commuting in 2004. It has added many months of life back (from my 1/2 commute door-to-door).

Comrade Kristina wrote:

It's robbery and it's shameful and I for one hope they burn every bank in the country to ashes.

include in the burning every Porsche Cayenne and undeclared boat. a clean start is needed.

Ummm, I don't think tolerated is the right word.

I find the police remarkably restrained.

skk, I have no problem working in MIC, in uniform or as a contractor. Not for everyone and some people think we are all baby eaters. That's their feelings and I don't really give a ....

picosec wrote:

Comrade Kristina wrote:
It's robbery and it's shameful
Well, shameful perhaps, in how the process is being pushed. But as for robbery, it is money that is owed.

entering the EU in 2002 should have been avoided altogether, and default around that time. most Greek econ followers consider that if Greece hadn't joined the EU, the default would have happened in 2002, a much better time to do so imho, when neighbors were growing. some of the Greek gov sins that lead to this were made long time ago.

lawyerliz wrote:

I don't understand Mary.

Lets take them one at a time - why not heh ? its a valid analysis technique.

What's with the Malcolm X post that you don't get ?

I get it - just like that. yeah yeah I would Smile

JP wrote:

I gave up commuting in 2004. It has added many months of life back (from my 1/2 commute door-to-door).

Gave it up years ago. I still drive to work, but in town. My wife and I carpool, so total trip one-way with two stops is about four miles.

Re: "Vandalism and destruction have no place in a democracy and will not be tolerated," Papademos told Parliament. "I call on the public to show calm. At these crucial times, we do not have the luxury of this type of protest. I think everyone is aware of how serious the situation is."

==> How come the bankers got away with their destruction and bullshit -- why was that shit tolerated? Gaaw-aawl-ly!

sportsfan wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
so learning that there's no willingness to pay back is called arrogance now?
No, that's called education. Keeping all the cookies in one's own jar to feed one's own banks was arrogant.

not sure if education, mostly common sense is needed to understand that there's a difference between a loan and a gift.

i'm not defending creditors at all, they deserve to take a 70% loss, no doubt.

LL - I find the police remarkable restrained.

Amazingly restrained would be an underestimation. I'm sure they get lot's of practice and good training but I don't think I would react as well if someone was throwing fire bombs at me.

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

Not for everyone and some people think we are all baby eaters. That's their feelings and I don't really give a ....

Cuz napalm sticks to kids!

josap wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
does it mean that if measures signed don't get implemented the Germans don't transfer that $, hence Greeks defaults automatically?
Possibly, but the money is needed by the German and French banks, EBC and IMF, So I think it gets paid out.

sure, it'll be paid out eventually. but in reality as i see it, Germany wants Greece out. there's no mechanism for this, so they ask them to sign an agreement they know the Greeks don't want to implement so that the triggers happen.

nothing so far tells me Germany wouldn't be happy seing Greece out of the EU. imagine the relief from fiscal headaches going forward. with the Greek style of fiscal management, future headaches are a guarantee.

Mr Slippery - Cuz napalm sticks to kids!

It sticks to everything. Wink

Finance_Fan wrote:

i'm not defending creditors at all, they deserve to take a 70% loss, no doubt.

We could think of it as a short sale. Smile

Finance_Fan wrote:

the old fashion wars were always about money and land. why do you think UK had the biggest navy? to send them to your port if you failed to pay. let's face it, not much is new. debt = slavery, if you want to be free just say NO.

Or to just steal it outright if you had a load of cash (silver) and a technologically inferior military. The Opium War is a good example. I understand the Chinese are still pissed about that one...

Did the red-headed stranger just put in the chipotle brand top?

-guy who plays drums, sings, and plays guitar while wearing a Slayer beefy-tee?

robj wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
per commuter? or entire household? it's pretty low!!!
My wife and I commute together using the HOV, so it's household. And avoid the stop/start, so better gas mileage.

nice!

They got the silver from the Americans in the first place. Potosi.

JP wrote:

I gave up commuting in 2004. It has added many months of life back (from my 1/2 commute door-to-door).

i lost extra weight right away after being sitting down 45' each way during commute.

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

That's their feelings and I don't really give a ....

indeed a certain coarseness of character, an insensitivity to fellow humans is required if yer in MIC - after all at its core its about killing 'em innit ? Like we used to caricature the British Army recruitment ad -

Join the Army, See the World - Kill 'Em.

Heck they even train you to that standard. Ahh but is the Vampire Squid from Hell any different ? O I'm a forces brat -

So I know a little bit about coarseness of character. Luckily I met girls - specifically my wife.

josap wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
i'm not defending creditors at all, they deserve to take a 70% loss, no doubt.
We could think of it as a short sale.

indeed. the Greek drama and the US housing bubble have many similarities. underpricing of credit risk is dangerous, not only to the lender.

Mr Slippery wrote:

Cuz napalm sticks to kids!

Whoah.. I posted a link to that pic just this am. Yeah lets post that again..
O yeah I should do a NSFW - after all its nudity and a female child's nudity at that.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:TrangBang.jpg

The money died in 2004-2008.

We just didn't realize it was dead at first.

RIP Dead Electrons and W. H.

Yeah, well, folks, my mom was 17 in 1963, so there.

GenX and bitter, baby.

Because you guys had all the fun, and left the mess for me.

Someday this war's gonna end...
Trial tagline: You tell Granma we ain't paying for her new knee- I ain't gonna get hit by her cane again!

lawyerliz wrote:

They got the silver from the Americans in the first place. Potosi.

Potosi is a story that more people should know. A city of 200,000 people 13,000 feet up in the Andres in the 16th and 17th century, all because of a giant silver strike that went on and on. Titanic greed, titanic cruelty, titanic wealth, all the luxuries of the world. Millions of deaths in forced labor, apparently. The paradigm of modern enterprise then and since.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

you guys had all the fun, and left the mess for me.

Fun was starting college just as Womens' Lib became a big deal. (But we always cleaned up our mess.)

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Trial tagline: You tell Granma we ain't paying for her new knee- I ain't gonna get hit by her cane again!

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.

Hmmm lets improve on that one - a hint of Little Red Riding hood and the wolf dressed as Grandma imagery would work well..

But excellent.. I'll cogitate on this.

Citizen AllenM - You tell Granma we ain't paying for her new knee- I ain't gonna get hit by her cane again!

Can't chase you down, but watch out for that throwing arm, I got real good at duck and dodging cast iron frying pans.

EEngineer wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
the old fashion wars were always about money and land. why do you think UK had the biggest navy? to send them to your port if you failed to pay. let's face it, not much is new. debt = slavery, if you want to be free just say NO.
Or to just steal it outright if you had a load of cash (silver) and a technologically inferior military. The Opium War is a good example. I understand the Chinese are still pissed about that one...

no kidding. they were the worst, amazing the Chinese don't demand reparations. how much of the net worth of the British royal family is due to violations of human rights? slave trade? amazing people look up to them.

lawyerliz wrote:

They got the silver from the Americans in the first place. Potosi.

I went on a tour in the mines in Potosi, Bolivia. All work done by hand: drilling holes for blasting, carrying 80kg loads of high grade silver ore up shafts, pushing ore carts through adits - all at altitude. The entrances were all finished with Inca stoneworks. The estimates I have heard are that roughly 7 million Inca slaves died working in the mines.

Yeah, I was about that age. I worried about how it might affect Goldwater. Tearful fellow students told me how cruel I was. I never particularly liked Kennedy. Goldwater would be a moderate now, I suppose.

lawyerliz wrote:

They got the silver from the Americans in the first place. Potosi.

spain looted big time too, true.

Stuff about the use of mercury. Horrible beyond words.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

GenX and bitter, baby.

hope not. we are in the middle of an important transition, it means opportunities too. the American Dream has to be redefined, at least at the individual level. my version so far includes much more leisure time, a distaste for debt and an embrace of technology.

And you know what? It didn't do them any good.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

GenX

GenX here too. GenX'rs working in FIRE seem to be doing just fine. The rest, not so much.

Finance_Fan wrote:

Citizen AllenM wrote:
GenX and bitter, baby.
hope not. we are in the middle of an important transition, it means opportunities too. the American Dream has to be redefined, at least at the individual level. my version so far includes much more leisure time, a distaste for debt and an embrace of technology.

oh, and we ridicule homeownership. truly non-American that part, but we almost bite the bullet, so go figure.

Antipodes wrote:

GenX here too. GenX'rs working in FIRE seem to be doing just fine. The rest, not so much.

academia is good too. it was the best place during the Great Depression.

lawyerliz wrote:

I never particularly liked Kennedy.

That recent story about the intern was particularly appalling.. I mean. really - errr would you mind helping my friend out ?

I mean that's the stuff you learn as a kid - when your GF and friends who are girls are more important than yer male buddies - its an age old pattern - was to me - you can get the girls and the male buddies want a piece of the action - hooking them up as in double dates etc.. telling the girl err - you might like my buddy - is quite quite ok - part of the great game even,

But THIS ? you just tell your boy buddies - Bugger orf.

Not him apparently. And they call him.. well we know how they talk of Camelot. yeah even now. Bloody POS.

Finance_Fan wrote:

the American Dream has to be redefined, at least at the individual level.

Most people hate change and will fight it forever. Changes that are forced make people angry.

Finance_Fan wrote:

it was the best place during the Great Depression.

Great now, maybe not so much later... given that's one of the last great bubbles out there.

I missed that. No, don't tell me, I don't want to know.

Apparently he and his bros pimped for his dad.

Finance_Fan wrote:

Antipodes wrote:
GenX here too. GenX'rs working in FIRE seem to be doing just fine. The rest, not so much.
academia is good too. it was the best place during the Great Depression.

i don't know many working in RE, i do in FI... each time i ask them how's work (as i used to do) they now answer

"why? what happen!? didn't see the news this morning!"

on a Sunday noon. that level of stress burns them out long-term.

josap wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
the American Dream has to be redefined, at least at the individual level.
Most people hate change and will fight it forever. Changes that are forced make people angry.

even better. imho redefining the most appropriate American Dream has higher success rates if not many follow the same path. it's kind of being like a contrarian value investor.

TJ and The Bear wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
it was the best place during the Great Depression.
Great now, maybe not so much later... given that's one of the last great bubbles out there.

technology is the only one i think that's delivering higher quality together with deflation. what a join! is there other sector that's super-achieving to that degree?

Is Goldman hedged for riots?

Distaste for debt? Try outright hatred. I have a spreadsheet with mine, and watch the decline by the month.

Not buying much, so too bad for the old folks who are selling. Vacation house? Why?

Short term rental is much cheaper and more convenient.

Bought my last new vehicle in 2002- never again. Used.

Now if O'Bama will just get the mortgage fixed, I am golden.

The problem is I am 45 years old, and in the prime of my earning years, and have zero desire to buy anything beyond what I have. I further don't ever plan to buy real estate again. No upside in my time horizon.

So, welcome to the new new. Or, 1940s redux when things finally improved and nobody really believed it would be sustained.

Trust in the economy is low, and not moving up.

Someday this war's gonna end...

"so learning that there's no willingness to pay back is called arrogance now? interesting!"

I don't like to swear much but fuck the German banks.

It never was about the Greeks or their their unwillingness to pay back.

It's about bailing out German banks while having the GALL AND ARROGANCE to call it otherwise.

You want to see how fast Greece would have been left to rot if German and French banks hadn't bought hundreds of billions of shit loans?

And yet I have to read here and elsewhere about the arrogance of the Greek people, and never about the arrogance of the banks?

Finance_Fan wrote:

academia is good too.

Not sure about that. A friend of mine is in Kansas right now training for human terrain services before heading to Afghanistan. He believes it's the only way to pay off his US$200,000+ in student loans. Shock

lawyerliz wrote:

Apparently he and his bros pimped for his dad.

???

Finance_Fan wrote:

imho redefining the most appropriate American Dream has higher success rates if not many follow the same path.

Well, the American Dream has been what all aspire to. So only if the majority choose the same dream will it become the national dream to aspire to.

lawyerliz wrote:

Now is the time to buy.

With what money?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Vacation house? Why?

no kidding! what an inflexible money pit!!! doesn't make any sense to me to force yourself to go to the same place over and over again. also, it becomes a chore to maintain the house. why ruin your vacations like that?

well, bet vacation homes are highly regarded as desirable thanks to marketing from our very nice home builders.

Outsider wrote:

the grammys

There was some talk of Dickey Betts' getting a lifetime award, but he's not attending the show. He wouldn't accept an invitation to play/walk on stage with the ABB.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Bought my last new vehicle in 2002- never again. Used.

excellent! did you try Honda's certified used? or a similar used one with a back up for maintenance? or do you buy a regular used car?

I will get to that Nirvana in ten years, four months. My earliest retirement date.

Then I will go and do small ball entrepreneurial stuff and relax.

Until then, it is full on paranoia at work, because every day may be the last.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Anyone else find it surreal to have the markets cheering while Athens burns?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

The problem is I am 45 years old, and in the prime of my earning years, and have zero desire to buy anything beyond what I have. I further don't ever plan to buy real estate again. No upside in my time horizon.

if you enjoy investing, the rewards are higher, transaction costs lower. you have more flexibility. hell... i even find it super creative, consider my portfolio my "canvas". it's the hobby i have to work on nonetheless, even if i didn't enjoy it.

"TJ and The Bear wrote on Sun, 2/12/2012 - 6:43 pm
reply
Anyone else find it surreal to have the markets cheering while Athens burns?"

No. The banks got bailed out again. Big positive for the banks.

I keep doing the wrong thing and it seems to work out well.

Antipodes - He believes it's the only way to pay off his US$200,000+ in student loans.

Well, getting himself killed will solve that problem. Hopefully he's with a good company that can provide security.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Bought my last new vehicle in 2002- never again. Used.

I have never purchased a new car. Our latest vehicle is a wee 2005 Toyota, which we purchased used in 2006.

TJ and The Bear wrote:

markets cheering

The Euro is up because everyone expects the ECB to print another trillion Euros!

TJ and The Bear wrote:
Sun, 02/12/2012 - 6:43pm
Anyone else find it surreal to have the markets cheering while Athens burns?

Yet another democracy down. Go team capitalism.

lawyerliz wrote:

I never particularly liked Kennedy.

This is relevant to what, exactly?

We always buy new cars and then totally run them into the ground.

I am pushing a 2004 Volvo XC70 with 111k on it. I drive 10k per year. Just am in the process of ditching private school for my progeny and sending him to the new Basis Charter School.

Downwardly mobile. I remember you mentioning you were renting in new york commenter waaaay back. I am still here, and did some comments waaaay back as AllenM aka Joliet Jake.

As for buying in New York, with the downsizing of FIRE still in progress, no way.

Downshift of lifestyle is the key. The biggest problem with buying more is curating your crap.

Hence my craigslist push. Cash is handy.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

Well, getting himself killed will solve that problem. Hopefully he's with a good company that can provide security.

His wife is already in Afghanistan, embedded with the Brits. She's got US$70,000+ in student loans of her own... This may not end well.

skk wrote:

Bloody POS.

Fook'Um, Yep POTUS with his intern Bitchee and so it goes......

Do you care if he was assassinated in a coup d'etat?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Distaste for debt?

I hope so. But how many really learn long term?

Real estate, at these low prices -if you can pay cash- will get you a good retirement income as a long term investment. And yes it is tricky, but no more than stocks or depending on a 401K or a pension plan that may go bust. You are very right that to trust your future to anyone is a mistake.

poic wrote:

It's about bailing out German banks while having the GALL AND ARROGANCE to call it otherwise.

aren't the French banks more exposed to Greek loans? i do completely understand the Germans, cause I know of the tough work they did during the last 10 years integrating the east, including wage cuts, pension cuts that lasted years.

both nations have such different responsibility levels that they cannot understand each other. for a German, the Greeks are jokers, for Greeks, the Germans are impossibly serious.

poic wrote:

No. The banks got bailed out again. Big positive for the banks.

C'mon, poic -- I totally understand the "why". Nonetheless the juxtaposition is rather illustrative of all that's wrong with FIRE.

Oh, noez, I pushed the yog's button.

Pearl wrote:

I've seen it 5 times

Two times in Chicago, three in NY. Great 25 year CD. Who thought using three casts, in a huge venue like O2,would make it sound better.

lawyerliz wrote:

I missed that. No, don't tell me, I don't want to know.

Do NOT read this..

Dave Powers was sitting poolside while the President and I swam lazy circles around each other, splashing playfully. Dave had removed his jacket and loosened his tie in the warm air of the pool, but he was otherwise fully clothed. He was sitting on a towel, with his pants leg rolled up, and his bare feet dangling in the water.

The President swam over and whispered in my ear. "Mr. Powers looks a little tense," he said. "Would you take care of it?"

It was a dare, but I knew exactly what he meant. This was a challenge to give Dave Powers oral sex. I don't think the President thought I'd do it, but I'm ashamed to say that I did. It was a pathetic, sordid, scene, and is very hard for me to think about today. Dave was jolly and obedient as I stood in the shallow end of the pool and performed my duties. The President silently watched.

Err she was 19. ( a 1950s 19, not these wizened 19s we know now ) He had just turned 40. Sheesh.

lawyerliz wrote:

We always buy new cars and then totally run them into the ground.

I tend to keep cars and run them into the ground. I owned a Toyota truck with 200,000 miles on it. Eventually had to sell it to a scrap/parts guy because it was going to cost more to make it pass CA smog than it was worth.

I would buy new and keep for 10-15 years, if only I could afford it.

Antipodes wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
academia is good too.
Not sure about that. A friend of mine is in Kansas right now training for human terrain services before heading to Afghanistan. He believes it's the only way to pay off his US$200,000+ in student loans.

sure. you are right, but those student loans are common among those that don't go to academia MORE than those staying in academia. reason is that doing a PhD is funded by the university with stipend, while pursuing a high paying profession usually requires expensive graduate degrees on expensive Ivy league locations. i follow the first version, but opted out of academia, so 0 student loans.

josap wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
imho redefining the most appropriate American Dream has higher success rates if not many follow the same path.
Well, the American Dream has been what all aspire to. So only if the majority choose the same dream will it become the national dream to aspire to.

why would i need my version of the Dream to coincide with others? why not having the freedom to define it for ourselves?

Study: Pot smokers twice as likely to have car accidents

No way man ... Currently Smoking Cannibis makes me more ... uh ... umm ... hey, you gonna eat that?

Citizen AllenM - I'm pretty much the same way, except I do not say I will never buy a house or new car. It is all about how the numbers work for me.
Certainly a house here at 10X median income will not work out for me if I ever want to save any money, but at 3X it might work out depending on tax's, etc. Most people prefer to have a place to keep all their junk, and I have had enough experiences with land lords to realize the risks of renting.
Savings right now is doing nothing for me except a warm fuzzy that it might be there in 5 years, but I don't see the possible gains in investing worth what I see as increasing risks.
But then, unlike Lobbyist Ben Dover, I keep making bad choices and rarely does it work out well for me.

TJ and The Bear wrote:

Anyone else find it surreal to have the markets cheering while Athens burns?

not really. they seem to celebrate pain. check out how stocks rally when thousands of jobs get cut.

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

Antipodes - He believes it's the only way to pay off his US$200,000+ in student loans.
Well, getting himself killed will solve that problem. Hopefully he's with a good company that can provide security.

i have a much more pacific version of it. living abroad for 10 years solves it, even while working for PeaceCorps. it's the other side of the coin I guess.

Pay cash with what? That is the essence of the problem, the ability to accumulate cash is nearly shot for most of the folks my age and younger, leaving what? More canadians to invest?

Here in Phoenix, due to the old folks influx on the way, yes, you are right, but nationwide this is the beginning of stagnant decades in housing.

No real gain anymore, because there is plenty.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Antipodes wrote:

I have never purchased a new car. Our latest vehicle is a wee 2005 Toyota, which we purchased used in 2006.

toyota and honda, imho, the most reliable, low maintenance.

"aren't the French banks more exposed to Greek loans? i do completely understand the Germans, cause I know of the tough work they did during the last 10 years integrating the east, including wage cuts, pension cuts that lasted years."

So change it to German and French banks.

Doesn't change my main point that it's a dishonest discourse. If you're going to lend 130B to a country that immediately goes back to your own banks, it's arrogant and dishonest to call it anything else than a bailout of your own financial system.

Bunch of cheap people on here. Y'all need to get out and live before the hamster of death gets an email with your name on it

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

Do you care if he was assassinated in a coup d'etat?

We are talking about his abuse of women. and as in personal behavior so in public action. and I guess who knows.. maybe the mafia boss got pissed with him for sleeping with his lady. If you keep that sort of company.. then, while I do not wish it on someone - you get the actions of the people you hang out with.

Maybe. I have no definite idea.

Yeah let's go back to the gossip pages. We elected a Quaker, by a landslide, who didn't even sleep with his wife. Turned out to be a pathetic crook anyway.

Finance_Fan wrote:

why not having the freedom to define it for ourselves?

I agree.
However it isn't the definition of a national American Dream. Or any other national identity.

Well, it's ok, if it's only a hamster.

Finance_Fan wrote:

i have a much more pacific version of it. living abroad for 10 years solves it, even while working for PeaceCorps. it's the other side of the coin I guess.

How does that solve it?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

As for buying in New York, with the downsizing of FIRE still in progress, no way.

friends of mine that bought in NYC spent 10% of purchase price each way. at certain price points, a round-way transaction is enough to fund a dream portfolio for somebody in the midwest. crazy that on top of that, the numbers don't even work on a cash flow basis.

if we had super high inflation now, then i understand people buying. otherwise seems to me like a certificate of math illiteracy or of unwillingness of invest that $.

Antipodes - How does that solve it?

Loan forgiveness for public service?

It is always hard to save, even in the best of times.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

The problem is I am 45 years old, and in the prime of my earning years, and have zero desire to buy anything beyond what I have. I further don't ever plan to buy real estate again. No upside in my time horizon.

So, welcome to the new new. Or, 1940s redux when things finally improved and nobody really believed it would be sustained.

The hatred of incurring debt on a depreciating asset is a very rational hatred.
On the other hand, in retrospect, one of the better financial decisions we made was to buy this house when we moved from Cali to Houston and not to move up; it helped enormously that the S&L bust had made Houston real estate affordable. Some areas like Florida, maybe Nevada, even California, are now at the point where it makes sense to at least run the numbers. In 7 years we are rent-free, so the prospect of retiring with no housing cost other than taxes makes retirement at least doable. Buying 10 years earlier when Houston real estate hit the peak or moving in 5 years would have made buying a dire mistake, so I'm not suggesting everyone go contact Tom Stone--just ownership as a retirement strategy, basically, particularly if housing in one's area is relatively cheap.

I would think real estate in quality areas financed at the low rates today might
be a decent investment provided your time horizon is long enough. I've got to
believe at this point the dollar has further to fall than housing. The question is
how far wages fall.

skk wrote:

. and as in personal behavior so in public action.

Well, no. Not at all.

josap wrote:

Real estate, at these low prices -if you can pay cash- will get you a good retirement income as a long term investment. And yes it is tricky, but no more than stocks or depending on a 401K or a pension plan that may go bust. You are very right that to trust your future to anyone is a mistake.

i'm embracing investing more and more. actually, was asking about which sector has been giving us a lot, like technology (better products with lower prices) and when it comes to individual investors, discount brokerages are a godsend. i couldn't have even started as i did without them. thank you internet!!!

lawyerliz wrote:

Oh, noez, I pushed the yog's button.

No worries - Udi Baba उडी बाबा to the rescue.

YouTube - Om Shanti Om funny scenes 2

yeah yeah.. thats supposed to reassure you ?

nova wrote:

Bunch of cheap people on here.

It's only cheap if you have money and choose not to spend it. If you don't have the money to begin with, there's not much choice.

On a more positive note I finally mapped my old pain bike ride called Mission Peak.

All off-road, 1800 feet of climbing in 3 miles. A little over an hour to get up and descend.

Turns out it's a Cat1 ride.

I'll be sleeping like a baby tonight Yaaaaawwwn

Did all the living, now paying for it. Did I mention I could not stop my spouse from buying the house back at the end of 2005, after we had sold everything else in real estate?

Now, if Citibank drops the mortgage, well, I might have some spare cash finally.

As for that, still waiting for Obama to pay my mortgage.

Cheap by paycheck, baby. My take home has declined, so I stretch it much further.

Got college for the 10 year old on the horizon, and a desire to retire.

So, go out to lunch and delay it, or take in a sandwich to help to make it.

Geez. You want cheap, talk to my father, he squeaks.

Someday this war's gonna end...

The American dream is still the same. It has been used to manipulate the masses.

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

Loan forgiveness for public service?

A quarter million debt forgiveness for only 10 years public service in the Peace Corps? Is this realistic?

None of you people met my grandmother. Oh, my, the cheapness.

"if we had super high inflation now, then i understand people buying. otherwise seems to me like a certificate of math illiteracy or of unwillingness of invest that $."

The numbers easily pencil out in downtown SF right now. They also easily pencilled out roughly two years ago in the Sonoma area around Tom S.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

Yeah let's go back to the gossip pages.

so abuse of women is fit only for the gossip pages ? Okkk..

I differ. well with a mom, a grandma, ( BOTH RIP) sis', wife, nieces and now grand-nieces I guess I would.

sporkfed wrote:

The question is
how far wages fall.

Which is directly tied to housing and all asset purchases by domestic savers under 45 yrs.

Um, now how much do you want?

Bwhwhwhwhhwhaahhahhshhahhh.

Now, boomers, contemplate the problem with respect to your domestic assets.

It is soooo funny to see people begin to see what awaits.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Well, she works doesn't she?

What does she think of the decision?

If half of what is being bandied about as predictions for the future most posters here will be dead, imprisoned, or living under a tarp. A tidal wave of change and you think 400 to a million plus $ is going to stop the wave or have it go around you?

robj wrote:

--just ownership as a retirement strategy, basically, particularly if housing in one's area is relatively cheap.

Exactly my plan. Bought a smaller place, easy to live in now and retire later. Cheap REO, half paid for now, hope to be F&C in 5 years. Doing a few energy upgrades as we go along. Last car bought, not yet paid for. Keeping our fingers crossed too.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

skk wrote:

. and as in personal behavior so in public action.

Well, no. Not at all.

We differ. s'ok.

Your story above-- even if "true" and not embellished to sell a book-- hardly qualifies, by itself as "abuse". The President forced himself on her? Was she underage? None of these women wanted to be with the President because of his looks and power?

I don't think Nova was referring to cheap spenders.

Antipodes wrote:

A quarter million debt forgiveness for only 10 years public service in the Peace Corps? Is this realistic?

Let's see. That's, umm, about $1k per rape. Realistic, I'd say.

Since she has primary responsibility for the mortgage, she is mighty pissed at times.

Told her we would most likely lose at least 20% in the crash, which was our down payment, she replied I don't move much, so I can wait.

50% has been extreme, but the mod to the interest rate has helped. To make a long story short, she went back to the private sector for employment, and the last 8 months has been rough. Last month was good though, as she finally gets going.

As for my Tucson mess, I imagine they will finally foreclose this year. I settled the 2nd last year for 9 cents on the dollar.

I still have zero desire, because I can see all of the boomer assets being sold to my generation for less than replacement in a lot of areas.

Unless we import 20 million Chinese with a lot of money?

Someday this war's gonna end...

Obama Budget Seeks Funding for Trade Unit as China's Xi Arrives

China's violations of WTO rules have contributed to more than 400,000 lost jobs since 2000, according to a report released last month by the Alliance for American Manufacturers, a group that includes Pittsburgh-based United States Steel Corp.

"Too many American workers have had their jobs stolen from them by foreign unfair, predatory and illegal trade practices," Leo Gerard, president of the United Steelworkers of America, said yesterday in a statement. Obama's proposal "makes an important investment in trade law," he said.

Kauai_Kahuna wrote:

Savings right now is doing nothing for me except a warm fuzzy that it might be there in 5 years, but I don't see the possible gains in investing worth what I see as increasing risks.

some european companies are at a nice discount, i'm looking into those with international revenues. the EU will keep on going regardless of what happens to Greece imho.

Antipodes wrote:

nova wrote:

Bunch of cheap people on here.

It's is amazing once one becomes independent of the standard 5/40, that they become really obnoxious.

FD: Bought both of the paperback books, enjoyed the doom until the fairy was introduced. Donated both to the local library.

"A tidal wave of change and you think 400 to a million plus $ is going to stop the wave or have it go around you?"

I'm hoping that when the horde hits our house the TV in the driveway running American Idle reruns 24x7 will slow them down and save my life.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Pay cash with what? That is the essence of the problem, the ability to accumulate cash is nearly shot for most of the folks my age and younger, leaving what? More canadians to invest?

we are saving around 20%, but thanks to not having a car in part, helps to keep fixed costs down.

15 banks so far and they're still at it. I wonder what insurance company is gonna get hit with all these burned up banks? Laughing out loud

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I can see all of the boomer assets being sold to my generation for less than replacement in a lot of areas.

And many boomers eventually needing their "equity." Discovery.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

15 banks so far and they're still at it. I wonder what insurance company is gonna get hit with all these burned up banks?

Pig roast?

No, they're literally burning banks to the ground in Greece.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Dear Bankers No one 17 and under admitted you! Love, Greece.

Triple fu No one 17 and under admitted ck for the bankers. CK you are a gem... Real French Sparkly

Some of my investment decisions are based on what I think is in our government's interest.
There is no way they can cut spending enough so the way out is inflation. I think that's one
of the reasons we've stayed in th ME. We got to have influence in the reason while we devalue
the dollar.

Follow the logic to its conclusion. Where can you hide? You and I are nothing if half of what can possibly happen -- happens. A paid for house and money in the bank? Just a handful of straw to throw into the wind that's coming. You're planning for a stable country where you expect to drive a well paved road into the sunset when all the road signs point to gravel, washouts, and bandits.

I understand it but seriously... how hard will be to take that house, or burn it, or make it so it exists in a sea of unlivability? How much is a handful of nothing paper or digital numbers worth?

How much is that paid for house in Greece and pension looking right now to someone who thought they had it wired?

poic wrote:

Doesn't change my main point that it's a dishonest discourse. If you're going to lend 130B to a country that immediately goes back to your own banks, it's arrogant and dishonest to call it anything else than a bailout of your own financial system.

it's debt own by Greece that the Greeks spent. but i agree with you about the fact that this bailout is not "help". imho Greece would have done better defaulting 2 years ago instead of letting their economy shrink so much during the kick the can.

i also buy the thesis that defaulting in 2002 instead of joining the EU was better longer term. Greece was struggling with its debt before joining hte EU too. the Olympiads was a big mistake too.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

they're literally burning banks to the ground in Greece.

It's all virtual bullshit

"Comrade Kristina wrote on Sun, 2/12/2012 - 7:12 pm (in reply to...)
reply
No, they're literally burning banks to the ground in Greece."

Luckily there's no money in them.

Exactly, nova. All those plans generally hinge upon a basic adherence to rule of law. That doesn't seem to be guaranteed or even probable at this point.

nova wrote:

Bunch of cheap people on here. Y'all need to get out and live before the hamster of death gets an email with your name on it

i'm living well enough. of course, many people think we are poor cause we rent and don't have a car. seems that if you don't have much to show off is cause you cannot.

Antipodes wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
i have a much more pacific version of it. living abroad for 10 years solves it, even while working for PeaceCorps. it's the other side of the coin I guess.
How does that solve it?

the loan goes into default, after 10 years of failure of collection, the debt is forgiven. bankruptcy is not the only way to discharge a loan. i passed the tip to a couple of friends with $250k each on loans that wanted to live for at least 5 years doing non-profit work in Africa. they are pleased and willing to extend the stay 5 years longer.

Individual savers are the exception, but look at the return to savings- squat right now.

I notice you speculate in the market in lieu of guaranteed returns.

I am roughly in the same boat, with my pretax savings roughly at 25% due to my heavy pension contributions.

So, in realistic terms for most of the rest of America, squat.

I know a lot of people in the barely getting by category.

Savings does not exist for them.

Someday this war's gonna end...

lawyerliz wrote:

It is always hard to save, even in the best of times.

yep. we can do it cause we kept on studying for longer, so we were used to being on a budget. as income increased, we increased savings, keeping fixed costs flat.

TJ and The Bear wrote:

Anyone else find it surreal to have the markets cheering while Athens burns?

As of 9:45 EST the S&P was up 6.66 points over fair value.

You can decide if "surreal" is the right word for this.

"the loan goes into default, after 10 years of failure of collection, the debt is forgiven. bankruptcy is not the only way to discharge a loan. i passed the tip to a couple of friends with $250k each on loans that wanted to live for at least 5 years doing non-profit work in Africa. they are pleased and willing to extend the stay 5 years longer."

Weren't you just talking with skk a few nights ago about how much we need to support the 5% of Greeks that pay their taxes?

Yup. Doom is upon them, and they can not see it.

Like most of us, the herd moves forward en masse, and lives in total, with individuals doing better, and some falling behind, or dying.

This demographic transition is going to be stunning.

Someday this war's gonna end...

robj wrote:

Some areas like Florida, maybe Nevada, even California, are now at the point where it makes sense to at least run the numbers. In 7 years we are rent-free, so the prospect of retiring with no housing cost other than taxes makes retirement at least doable.

sure! i talk as if NYC's prices were the norm and shouldn't.

What I was trying to say, in what I thought was semi-humorous fashion, was that life is short. Enjoy it -- in what ever way works for you -- because odds are there will be enough hard times to go around soon enough.

And Steelhead? Fuck you

"Austerity has Passed"

......Riiiight......Just like the Houston/Brown girl-child will now live a trouble free life. A whole nation here in the control of their mind altering substance of choice and we worry about austerity elsewhere...........what a bunch of brain dead losers we've become......

How's everyone's Sunday evening, huh?.... Smile

nova wrote:

How much is that paid for house in Greece and pension looking right now to someone who thought they had it wired?

Those that can leave, will leave, so those that stay will be the poor, old and the most dependent on government needs. What a shame.

sporkfed wrote:

provided your time horizon is long enough.

that's the issue. i doubt many our age have control on that time horizon. several friends bought thinking they did, but they had been relocated. now they have to rent their places at a loss cause either they cannot sell or don't want to accept a big loss (talking about $150k to $200k loss counting transaction costs). so it's death by a 1,000 cuts till prices increase.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

Your story above-- even if "true" and not embellished to sell a book-- hardly qualifies, by itself as "abuse". The President forced himself on her? Was she underage? None of these women wanted to be with the President because of his looks and power?

Ahhhh. well since the 1990s - ( perhaps earlier ) - I've learnt and agree about sexual harassment in the work-place, the abuse from positions of power - even with willing parties,

For example - our recent case of Peter Spanky Roebuck and his predilection for spanking young males - he was very very careful to always be with adult male young men ( from poor families in Zimbabwe in South Africa - doubly isolated ) Luckily the UK law said nothing doing in 2002- you can't do that in the UK . he didn't stop of course. just stopped doing it in the UK -

well he put a stop to it himself in the end - dived out of a nth floor window in South Africa as the police interviewed him.

Somebody put a stop to Kennedy too.

I also rent and don't own a car. I prefer it when people think I'm "poor."

Finance_Fan wrote:

the loan goes into default, after 10 years of failure of collection, the debt is forgiven. bankruptcy is not the only way to discharge a loan. i passed the tip to a couple of friends with $250k each on loans that wanted to live for at least 5 years doing non-profit work in Africa. they are pleased and willing to extend the stay 5 years longer.

I did not believe student loans were dischargeable under bankruptcy.

Student Aid on the Web

Discharge/Cancellation

It's possible to have your student loan debt discharged (canceled) or reduced, but only under certain specific circumstances:

  • You die or become totally and permanently disabled.
  • Your school closed before you could complete your program.
  • For FFELSM and Direct Stafford Loans only: Your school owes your lender a refund, forged your signature on a promissory note, or certified your loan even though you didn't have the ability to benefit from the coursework.
  • You work in certain designated public school service professions (including teaching in a low-income school).
  • You file for bankruptcy. (This cancellation is rare and occurs only if a bankruptcy court rules that repayment would cause undue hardship.)

Antipodes wrote:

nova wrote:
Bunch of cheap people on here.
It's only cheap if you have money and choose not to spend it. If you don't have the money to begin with, there's not much choice.

hey, i consider my investment purchases as spending. the fact that are not for public display doesn't mean i don't spend $.

Finance_Fan wrote:

the loan goes into default, after 10 years of failure of collection, the debt is forgiven

Ok, before the loans and laws changed.

Finance_Fan wrote:

academia is good too. it was the best place during the Great Depression.

Really? U. sees decrease in tenure, tenure-track professors - The Daily Princetonian

Where will people in the US go? Hell, how many even have passports? Let alone speak another language or are willing to learn?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Did all the living, now paying for it. Did I mention I could not stop my spouse from buying the house back at the end of 2005, after we had sold everything else in real estate?

i was pregnant while shorting the housing bubble (although with little money). still, nesting instincts were there and very strong! my husband included homeownership in his idea of being middle class, so it was a long painful process to come to terms with bubble pricing.

nova wrote:

What I was trying to say, in what I thought was semi-humorous fashion, was that life is short. Enjoy it -- in what ever way works for you -- because odds are there will be enough hard times to go around soon enough.

I definitely agree with you, nova. I hear so many of my parents generation saving for a retirement and hobbies/travel, only to have their health fail soon after they retire. It is very sad.

Greece does have a top notch black market system that undermines the tax structure....So at least they can build on that.

Finance_Fan wrote:

if you don't have much to show off

A simple life is a happy life. One can have a million$$$ and if no one knows life can be so sweet.

Yeah, abuse of power is nasty and should be eliminated if possible. But political sex scandals are as old as the Bible. Some turn out to be true, as with Jefferson and his slave, and some just slander.

poic wrote:

The numbers easily pencil out in downtown SF right now. They also easily pencilled out roughly two years ago in the Sonoma area around Tom S.

wow, maybe for people with much higher incomes than us they do here too? somehow i stop at incomes of around $300k and homes of $1.5M or less (think median price is around $1.2M?). but cause the upmarket is totally out of reach for us, it feels like from another planet. we would also be 1st time homebuyers.

Mr Slippery wrote:

Ex-Peace Corps Volunteers Speak Out on Rape - NY Times

Awful. Perhaps working in Peace Corps is just as hazardous as working in Afghanistan.

josap wrote:

robj wrote:
--just ownership as a retirement strategy, basically, particularly if housing in one's area is relatively cheap.
Exactly my plan. Bought a smaller place, easy to live in now and retire later. Cheap REO, half paid for now, hope to be F&C in 5 years. Doing a few energy upgrades as we go along.

nice!

Antipodes wrote:

Awful. Perhaps working in Peace Corps is just as hazardous as working in Afghanistan.

I was justifying my rape comment earlier, it was not out of the blue.

OTOH, the US/Mexico borders are probably as hazardous as Afghanistan.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

As for my Tucson mess, I imagine they will finally foreclose this year. I settled the 2nd last year for 9 cents on the dollar.

nice!

I still have zero desire, because I can see all of the boomer assets being sold to my generation for less than replacement in a lot of areas.

maybe a big chunk of that will not be sold but passed along to heirs? assets are very concentrated.

nova wrote:

What I was trying to say, in what I thought was semi-humorous fashion, was that life is short. Enjoy it -- in what ever way works for you -- because odds are there will be enough hard times to go around soon enough.

YouTube - Emmylou Harris : Hard Times (1992)
The Johnny Cash version is also pretty good; in fact, there are a lot of good versions of this one. My Depression grandparents knew the song well.

Mr Slippery wrote:

US/Mexico borders are probably as hazardous as Afghanistan.

Not if you're Mexican.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I still have zero desire, because I can see all of the boomer assets being sold to my generation for less than replacement in a lot of areas.

RE, even in AZ, NV, FL, will not be sold for less than replacement cost forever. You're young enough to participate again, but having a long term outlook certainly helps the process.

good example of german financing and sharing details

YouTube - Do the Irish Have to Do This?

Mr Slippery wrote:

I was justifying my rape comment earlier, it was not out of the blue.

OTOH, the US/Mexico borders are probably as hazardous as Afghanistan.

According to my friend - soon to be heading to Afghan - a single deployment of one year would pay enough to pay off his loans. I suspect the danger is also compressed - less time, but higher danger factor.

The downside, of course, is that any future hope of remaining in academia after working for human terrain services is nill. Only hope for future employment would most likely be M.I.C.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

I know a lot of people in the barely getting by category.

imho we are getting by too. we regard retirement/college savings as a non-discretionary. that doesn't mean we have enough to splurge.

Comrade Kristina wrote:

Dear Bankers you! Love, Greece.

I was in Athens some time in the late 80's. At least I think it was the late 80's - oozo has taken its toll. The Greeks had just defeated the USSR in basketball and they nearly burnt the joint down. I was on my way to the airport to pick up my brother and was amazed at all of the cars that had been overturned and torched. And this was when they were happy.

Assets are not concentrated, they are owned by the old as a cohort. The problem is that many of the folks inheriting have no idea that they will not be able to monetize those assets.

Assets owned by the rich ($10 million plus) on the other hand do not include housing wealth as a large percentage of assets, curiously enough.

The real issue is the generational buying power issue, and that is simply abominable in scope. There is no way to transfer those assets down the generational ladder by selling them, which is what will have to happen to most of them.

A house is the most common asset, and encumbered or not, the most commonly sold.

Price discovery indeed!

Someday this war's gonna end...

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

Some turn out to be true, as with Jefferson and his slave, and some just slander.

Ahhh a variant of the nuts and sluts defence. well at least we are discussing whether its true or not.

Didn't whatshisface try that - gosh how quickly they fade from memory, thank god - I mean the 9 9 9 man - Herman Cain..

Finance_Fan wrote:

maybe a big chunk of that will not be sold but passed along to heirs? assets are very concentrated.

Ha ha ha ha! No, not in my case. Parents are happily spending their assets before they die. Sad

nova wrote:

You and I are nothing if half of what can possibly happen -- happens. A paid for house and money in the bank? Just a handful of straw to throw into the wind that's coming.

We need a new weather report. The storm track may yet change.

Outsider wrote:
> the grammys

Props to Nicki Minaj for her 'high church' parody entrance on the Grammy Awards red carpet tonight, but credit where due, Sinéad O'Connor went there first.

poic wrote:

"the loan goes into default, after 10 years of failure of collection, the debt is forgiven. bankruptcy is not the only way to discharge a loan. i passed the tip to a couple of friends with $250k each on loans that wanted to live for at least 5 years doing non-profit work in Africa. they are pleased and willing to extend the stay 5 years longer."
Weren't you just talking with skk a few nights ago about how much we need to support the 5% of Greeks that pay their taxes?

these 2 guys pay their taxes. if you pay attention you'd notice i think Greece would have been better defaulting in 2002, pre-joining EU. this is a default. not a lifestyle built on non-payment of taxes. when debt cannot be paid, the earlier you recognize it, the better for all. the travesty of the non-dischargeabilty of student loans will be fixed eventually, but it'll be too late for these 2.

check out Argentina, they delayed the inevitable default for an entire year too.

Finance_Fan wrote:

imho we are getting by too.

He means people not turning on the heat, or not having enough to eat, or can't pay car insurance on a car they need for work.

nova wrote:

What I was trying to say, in what I thought was semi-humorous fashion, was that life is short. Enjoy it -- in what ever way works for you -- because odds are there will be enough hard times to go around soon enough.

you are right. i'm the saver in our couple, so need to let go of some saving goals so that it's not so tough on hubby, the spender.

Replacement cost is higher the existing housing now and likely to stay that way for years. Fewer houses being
built, more houses being lost due to lack of maintenance. The pendulum is slowing down and will begin to turn.

Right now I have zero desire, and am short of time.
Money has other uses, and speaking of housing, I will inherit one of those, too. Here in Phoenix, and paid for, but it will need work by the time my 'rents are done with it.

So, why bother?

Meanwhile, down it goes, more foreclosures coming with that deal being done, watch!

Housing. Har. How much is a house in Detroit worth these days?

Those long term trends are a killah.

Someday this war's gonna end...

Don't make me laugh, I am talking about just buying groceries.

Josap and I have someone in common, she is barely making it paying the rent.

Someday this war's gonna end...

MaryAnn wrote:

nova wrote:
How much is that paid for house in Greece and pension looking right now to someone who thought they had it wired?
Those that can leave, will leave, so those that stay will be the poor, old and the most dependent on government needs. What a shame.

a-la mexico, those that leave, will send remittances back to help out.

1 currency now -yogi wrote:

I also rent and don't own a car. I prefer it when people think I'm "poor."

me too! it's very counter-culture

Antipodes wrote:

I did not believe student loans were dischargeable under bankruptcy.
Student Aid on the Web

these are private loans, as usual when the amounts are huge. check out for the limitations on the recovery window after the loan goes into default.

josap wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
the loan goes into default, after 10 years of failure of collection, the debt is forgiven
Ok, before the loans and laws changed.

i'm not advocating for this, just saying i passed the info along. that i actually found online by chance, looking for time limitations on IRS debt, which obviously are longer than for private loans. the trigger was a musician that didn't declare any income... typical of surfing the web, you never know where it'll lead you.

Finance_Fan wrote:

these are private loans

Private loans, I could understand. AFAIK, my friend's student loans are not private loans. Of course, I could be wrong. But, I sure as hell would not work in Afghanistan if there were other choices available.

azurite wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
academia is good too. it was the best place during the Great Depression.
Really? U. sees decrease in tenure, tenure-track professors - The Daily Princetonian

as usual, GenX and younger have it worse, but still, it beats the hell out of "unpaid internship that may or may not lead to a paid position"

have them research when the clock starts running and remind them about partial payments restarting the clock.

nova wrote:

Where will people in the US go? Hell, how many even have passports? Let alone speak another language or are willing to learn?

we'll all go to north dakota.

Antipodes wrote:

I did not believe student loans were dischargeable under bankruptcy.

"If you file for bankruptcy under Chapter 7, you should be aware that not all debts are eliminated (or "discharged") once the bankruptcy process is complete. Generally speaking, in a Chapter 7 proceeding, the following debts are not discharged:

Debts or creditors not listed on the schedules filed at the outset of the case.

Most student loans, unless repayment would cause the debtor and his or her dependents undue hardship (more on student loans below). " Debts that Remain After a Chapter 7 Discharge - FindLaw

11 USC section 523(a)(8). Probably difficult to show "undue hardship."

MaryAnn wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
if you don't have much to show off
A simple life is a happy life. One can have a million$$$ and if no one knows life can be so sweet.

simple is good! i'd get stressed out otherwise imho (maybe i'm consoling myself here LOL). since i was young, instead of thinking "eventually i'd have a big house like that" i'd think "omg, it'd take me forever to keep it clean".

nova wrote:

how many even have passports?

I thought I heard yesterday that something like just 12% of Americans have passports.

Finance_Fan wrote:

it beats the hell out of "unpaid internship that may or may not lead to a paid position"

that's the only alternative to a job in academia?

Mr Slippery wrote:

Antipodes wrote:
Awful. Perhaps working in Peace Corps is just as hazardous as working in Afghanistan.
I was justifying my rape comment earlier, it was not out of the blue.
OTOH, the US/Mexico borders are probably as hazardous as Afghanistan.

many friends of mine did Peace Corps, all have happy memories.

Antipodes wrote:

Parents are happily spending their assets before they die.

Best form of estate planning there is.

sportsfan wrote:

RE, even in AZ, NV, FL, will not be sold for less than replacement cost forever. You're young enough to participate again, but having a long term outlook certainly helps the process.

wouldn't replacement cost reset lower? check out plot prices, lumber prices.

Showed kids and wife the rooftop pic of Athens burning, found on ZH. Wife gets what's going on and doesn't see why the Greek parliament doesn't just default and go back to the Drachma. Kids just don't understand the scope of this.

Don't even know how to explain to them the political ramifications of what happened tonight. Greece is now essentially like something that's out of a bad horror novel; a living being kept barely alive solely to provide blood for the vampires.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

The real issue is the generational buying power issue, and that is simply abominable in scope. There is no way to transfer those assets down the generational ladder by selling them, which is what will have to happen to most of them.
A house is the most common asset, and encumbered or not, the most commonly sold.
Price discovery indeed!

very insightful. half of new labor mkt entrants are minorities, the gov didn't invest in their human capital as much. the high-school drop out rates around here are scary, 40% is not unheard of. so if they are lucky, they will get by. that's a ton of asset demand that evaporates.

Put out a couple of hiring reqs this evening. Just doing my part to keep the global economy ticking over...

BarleyReturns linked:

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: China Instructs Banks to Roll Over $1.7 Trillion in Debt to Avoid Mass Default

Bubble can't be allowed to burst, not now, not ever. Fascinating

Antipodes wrote:

Finance_Fan wrote:
maybe a big chunk of that will not be sold but passed along to heirs? assets are very concentrated.
Ha ha ha ha! No, not in my case. Parents are happily spending their assets before they die.

Allen draw the distinction well, those that might pass down assets are +$10M, the 1% i guess.

In my area, lot prices have dropped but materials and labor are the same or higher. Eventually the
Imput prices bottom, just like house prices.

skk wrote:

the nuts and sluts defence.

So you believe every story you hear-- if it involves sex and politics? Was Julius Caesar really gay?

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Money has other uses, and speaking of housing, I will inherit one of those, too. Here in Phoenix, and paid for, but it will need work by the time my 'rents are done with it.

i hope we can do that with our kid. would hate for him to go through a huge housing bubble when he's at 1st time homebuyer age. actually, i don't really want to buy myself maybe ever, but would like to solve housing for him. imho in around 20 years nobody will be into housing and prices will be low enough to buy for cash.

nova wrote:

Where will people in the US go? Hell, how many even have passports? Let alone speak another language or are willing to learn?

There's really no place to go for most that's actually better; there are better places, but most won't get in.

If things were actually to get that bad, maybe the best thing would be to stay in country but drop off the radar. It's a big country, plenty of spaces where you could start a mini-colony and no one would see or care; maybe they could find you if they wanted, but there has to be a "they" and they have to think you're worth the effort. In uncertain times with a shaky regime, you'd have to be pretty interesting.

Did the FAFSA last night and as we walked through the calculations, wife asked me when we were going to be purchasing more PM.

Don't worry, hon, it's gonna happen.

BTW, getting the EFC results from FAFSA is akin to listening to a mortgage banker tell you how much you can afford to pay for the college degree.

Rob Dawg wrote:

"Vandalism and destruction have no place in a democracy and will not be tolerated,"

Wow, PapaF-inD - I don't even know where to begin with how F-ed up this statement is. I mean, seein' as he must know that Greece is nothing close to a democracy, and that he himself is the quintessence of that reality. Or is he just reporting, seeing that there is clearly a place for a thing such as rioting in a thing that is clearly not a democracy. Or I could just say, Oh PapaD - go F yourself.

Citizen AllenM wrote:

Don't make me laugh, I am talking about just buying groceries.
Josap and I have someone in common, she is barely making it paying the rent.
Someday this war's gonna end...

was there too during the bubble. borrowed from friends and family to get current. sometimes people don't get that graduate students on a stipend are at poverty level, and many times, the universities are in the highest cost areas.

Finance_Fan wrote:

wouldn't replacement cost reset lower?

There are always variables in the equation and labor, materials and land costs will vary.

What is mostly affecting RE markets right now is the huge unwanted (distressed) supply. That will not exist forever.

Finance_Fan wrote:

how much on gas do you guys spend commuting each month?

About $500 in commute expenses - but my situation is a bit unusual, it includes weekly float plane and ferry trips.

As far as Sunday before-the-Asia-open sticksaves go, this one is notably weak on its feet.

homedad43 wrote:

. . . a living being kept barely alive solely to provide blood for the vampires.

Terry Schiavo? Oh, wait, you're not in FL.

BarleyReturns wrote:

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: China Instructs Banks to Roll Over $1.7 Trillion in Debt to Avoid Mass Default

OK booboo - rollover! Now turnover, and flipflop! Good doggie. Ok, play dead. Wait...

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