There are 17 countries on the Euro in Nov 2011 (Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Spain). How many will there be on Nov 1 2012?
18 or more (at least one new country joins)
0% (0 bets)
17 (unchanged)
33% (6 bets)
16
6% (1 bet)
15
22% (4 bets)
14
11% (2 bets)
10-13
11% (2 bets)
5-9
0% (0 bets)
Nobody, the Euro is gone
17% (3 bets)
Total bets: 18The actual outcome was "17 (unchanged)".
Almost a year after the predictions were made, no change!
Inertia wins again.
Results
| Name | Bet | Placed |
Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rajesh | 17 (unchanged) | 11/30/2011 - 8:14pm | Won |
| RE | 17 (unchanged) | 11/29/2011 - 1:29pm | Won |
| NGBROI | 17 (unchanged) | 11/26/2011 - 3:39am | Won |
| Bubblisimo Gerkinov | 17 (unchanged) | 11/23/2011 - 9:22pm | Won |
| ArtVandelay22 | 17 (unchanged) | 11/23/2011 - 8:45pm | Won |
| RockyR | 17 (unchanged) | 11/23/2011 - 4:52pm | Won |
| Rob Dawg | Nobody, the Euro is gone | 11/23/2011 - 4:31pm | Lost |
| NOTaREALmerican | 10-13 | 11/23/2011 - 4:17pm | Lost |
| GDD9000 | Nobody, the Euro is gone | 11/29/2011 - 6:48am | Lost |
| Mike in Long Island | 14 | 11/27/2011 - 7:17pm | Lost |
| MattFea | 15 | 11/23/2011 - 4:17pm | Lost |
| auditorydamage | 15 | 11/24/2011 - 4:40pm | Lost |
| yagij | Nobody, the Euro is gone | 11/23/2011 - 9:40pm | Lost |
| some investor guy | 10-13 | 11/23/2011 - 4:17pm | Lost |
| fudge_hend | 16 | 11/23/2011 - 4:18pm | Lost |
| Tom Stone | 15 | 11/23/2011 - 4:22pm | Lost |
| RayOnTheFarm | 15 | 11/23/2011 - 4:52pm | Lost |
| Bad Dawg Bobby | 14 | 11/23/2011 - 4:16pm | Lost |
Comments
My bet is that Greece falls out in Jan./Feb. and then as the fallout gets worse the core manages to hold it together via printing. If they don't print then I'm going full on collapse of the Euro and it's gone.