How much will the Board of Governors increase the discount rate on April 5?
None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese
55% (11 bets)
25 basis points, slow and steady
30% (6 bets)
50 basis points, back to normal
10% (2 bets)
75 basis points, to show that they are serious
5% (1 bet)
Total bets: 20The actual outcome was "None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese".
n/aResults
| Name | Bet | Placed |
Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| BremNorthwest | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| steinly | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| Tim waiting for 2012 | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| mos maiorum | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| Blackhalo | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| Mel | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| Odysseus | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| fried | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| JP | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| picosec | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| Rob Dawg | None, they just needed an excuse to order in Chinese | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Won |
| rosethorn | 25 basis points, slow and steady | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Lost |
| martyseattle | 25 basis points, slow and steady | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Lost |
| Jonathan | 25 basis points, slow and steady | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Lost |
| Citizen AllenM | 75 basis points, to show that they are serious | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Lost |
| fudge_hend | 25 basis points, slow and steady | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Lost |
| rich | 50 basis points, back to normal | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Lost |
| Rajesh | 50 basis points, back to normal | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Lost |
| Interesting Times | 25 basis points, slow and steady | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Lost |
| Tom in AZ | 25 basis points, slow and steady | 04/01/2010 - 5:33pm | Lost |
Comments
Is this throwing a bone to the dissenters?
Enough to exacerbate the negative swap spreads?
Which may be, none.zero, zip, nada.
I like my counter-parties to have ample access to overnight money.
Poker is fun when you can use your play-money chips in the cash game. Just move all-in every hand, then sit on the stack of real ones when you win one. Tip the dealer. Fold a few small bets to the guys who are stuck. "Well played, Mr. Pensioner. Nice hand, little-old lady. You're getting the hang of it... " Politely leave the table and cash out when your banker hours are up.